At night from 9 to 10 July The Russians one more time launched a massive drone rocket raid on Ukraine. This time, they turned quite a few power to the capital. A day earlier Lutsk was targeted, located respective twelve kilometres from the Polish border. Attacks with respective 100 flying cameras at the same time happen almost day after day. On July 8, Russian invaders released them over 700 – and it was a circumstantial evidence of this war.
Ukrainian soldier operates a combat drone on the front
Most drones and missiles fall on non-military objects, which is simply a deliberate action and part of the Russian panic campaign. The Russians send a clear message to Ukrainian civilians: neither Kiev, with its extended anti-aircraft defense, nor the west of the country distant from Russia, are and will no longer be safe. About Russian intentions in a conversation with “Polish Armed Forces” General Norbert Ivanowski late saidCommander of the 1st Legion Infantry Division. The Russians “are trying to make a sense of danger, panic and deficiency of hope for survival. They hope that the war-stricken society will increasingly influence political decisions about the end of the war, of course on Russian principles." Nothing to add, nothing to say.
Dramatic request surge
Over 400 drones were utilized in the July 9 attack. In the spring of that year, the Russians were able to throw into a single raid of 100–150 machines. Last year 400 cameras corresponded to monthly consumption – in air raids from that period, repeated all 2 to 3 days, took part in 20–40 pilots. We are so faced with a clear escalation of the activities behind which there is simply a drastic increase in Russian production and procurement capabilities. There is simply a reason why I am writing about "collection", due to the fact that there is no clarity as to how the Russians have actually expanded their own production lines. The fact is – this is reported by the Ukrainian services – that more and more wrecks and underflights found in Ukraine have features indicating that they were created in China. It is possible that the final assembly takes place in Russia, but in specified a script this Chinese-launched production capacity is behind the intensification of raids.
This is very bad news for the Ukrainians, besides in the context of the unstable attitude of the United States. Washington late halted supplies of arms and anti-aircraft ammunition for Kiev, then the embargo withdrew, just promising to resume aid. Meanwhile, Ukrainian stocks are melting, and Europe's support is incapable to compensate for the shortcomings (not in the close future). And it's not just that the Ukrainians will run out of "dunk" to the Patriot launcher (and shooting them at shahed drones would be a waste of potential). The problem besides concerns another types of anti-aircraft weapons. The German self-propelled chepard guns work perfectly in the function of "shahed killers", but their weak point remains the limited supply of ammunition. The Germans resumed production last year, but the request for fresh missiles jumped drastically.
Half the drones are decoys.
Ukraine's problem is so much bigger that Russian escalation has a strictly military dimension beyond terrorism. The Ukrainians (for apparent reasons) and the media focus on attacks on civilian objects; the fact is that they represent the majority of the Russian-infested targets. But equally actual are reports of successful Russian attacks in Ukrainian production and retention facilities. For at least a fewer weeks now, the Russians – with unprecedented precision and systematicity for them – have destroyed further Ukrainian plants where weapons and ammunition are manufactured and renovated. With peculiar passion they focus on factories (actually manufacturers) drones and places where components for rockets are produced. Further weakening of Ukrainian "parasol" will surely aid them. Thus, among others, the massity of attacks, frequently seemingly only chaotic, de facto made with the intention of saturating the Ukrainian OPL (its consumption and firing).
That is why raids usage quite a few lures – unarmed drones that are expected to “make a crowd”, engage the attention and resources of the Ukrainian OPL. In fresh days, they account for at least half of the drones. How do we know that? These are disposable machines, they do not return to Russia, they fall in Ukraine after the fuel supply is exhausted. And any of them do their part to the end – I mean the wreckage of machines that had been shot down (so taken as a valuable target). It is worth remembering erstwhile we talk about a drastic leap in Russian capabilities. Quantitatively, it is impressive, qualitatively much less, since "only" half of drones are truly dangerous shahedes.
Remaining on the basis of statistic – drones origin damage, but they have crucial limitations associated with low velocity and weight. They're easy to shoot down and they won't decision besides much of a warhead. The top havoc is caused by rockets and maneuvering missiles – and these Russians have been firing much little recently. In the attack of 9 on 10 July it was 18 pieces, as in the erstwhile strikes. Most of these missiles are ballistic missiles, fired from ground launchers, primarily nightmare-free North Korean equivalents of sparks. What about the aerial maneuvering missiles? After 1 June, the Russians rise the attacks on Ukraine after 3–4 strategical bombers – they are no longer able. It's Ukrainian. ‘Birth’ operation, which importantly thinned the aviation condition of Russia's atomic triad.
