The next Sunday, June 1, will be the second circular of the 2025 presidential election. Only an hr is left to begin the election silence, and polls are published rapidly. Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki, 2 candidates who went to the second round, cannot be certain of the victory. Who wins the 2025 presidential election? Here's a list of polls that will aid us answer that question.
The polls before the second circular of elections
The majority of the polls before the second circular of the election indicate that Rafał Trzaskowski, a candidate for the Civic Coalition, holds a tiny advantage over the Nawrock Karo, a candidate supported by the Law and Justice. The analysis of the latest polls shows that support for Trzaskowski usually oscillates around 45-51 percent, and in 1 survey reaches up to 51 percent. Nawrocks, in turn, most frequently get from 44 to 48 percent.
Survey analysis
Although the trend seems to favour the candidate of the Civic Coalition slightly, the advantage is besides tiny to be considered that the result of the election is bound. Here are any polls that will aid us realize social sentiments:
* OGB for WP (date: May 28-29, method: CATI, sample: 1000 people)
* IPSOS for OKO.press (date of execution: May 27-28, method: CATI, CAWI)
* Pollster for “Super Express” (date performed: May 25, method: CAWI, sample: 1011 people)
* Opinion24 for RMF FM (date of execution: May 25-27, method: CATI, sample: 1000 people)
* United Surveys for WP (date performed: May 25-26, method: CATI, CAWI, sample: 1000 people)
Charles Nawrocki closer to victory
Karol Nawrocki is closer to triumph in the second circular of the presidential election – according to the latest survey of the National investigation Group for Virtual Poland. In a survey which was carried out on 28-29 May, a candidate supported by the Law and Justice overtook Rafał Trzaskowski by 1.26 percent points. Karol Nawrocki received 50.63 percent of support, while 49.77% of respondents pointed to Rafał Trzaskowski.
Support in various social groups
Rafał Trzaskowski has a clear advantage among women – 55.01 percent of them support him, while Karol Nawrocki – 44.99 percent. The other situation occurs among men, where Nawrocki gains 54.56 percent of votes and Trzaskowski 45.44 percent. Nawrocki gains strong support among the youngest voters (18-39 years), gaining 58.58 percent support in this group. Trzaskowski wins among people aged 40-59 (52.32%) and seniors over 60 (55.73%).
Undecided
From an analysis of the polls it is clear that 6 to 10 percent of respondents declare that they do not know who they will vote for. It is the undecided group that can find the final result of the elections. The campaigns of both candidates in fresh days before the voter silence focus on mobilising these voters. However, there are opinions that they are those who do not want to uncover their decision.
Election polls – an crucial tool for describing social sentiments
Election polls are an crucial tool for describing social sentiments, but their explanation requires caution. Here are any key issues to remember by comparing investigation results before the second circular of the presidential election. The presidential election of 2025 is 1 of the most crucial elections in Poland's history, and their consequence may decide the future of our country.
Continued here:
Presidential Election 2025: Who will win?
