Nawrocki wants atomic weapons in Poland. Gen. Koziej: We cannot be a lamb on the altar

natemat.pl 3 weeks ago
Charles Nawrocki's words about atomic weapons have spread the world. Suddenly, not only did Poland learn that the president of Poland is simply a "great supporter" of Poland's accession to the atomic program. An avalanche of comments has moved. Does Poland request atomic weapons? How do I receive his declaration? The experts asked by us are divided as to whether the president has done the right thing.


– I am a large supporter of Poland joining the atomic project. The road to the Polish project, to Polish atomic potential, with respect to all global regulations, is the way we should go," said Karol Nawrocki in an interview in Polsat News.

For 1 shock. For others, surprise. Others believe that the president has rightly raised the atomic weapon thread. The case is written by abroad media. And Russian propaganda.

But does Poland truly request this?


Former head of MON on Nawrocki's thought of atomic weapons


– I don't think there's any need. This would mean a immense breach in the global strategy and in the treaties on atomic non-proliferation, which Poland is simply a signatory of. It would besides be an incentive for another countries to go in the same mode,” commented Janusz Onyszkiewicz, erstwhile head of the MON.

– Furthermore, making our own atomic weapons – aside from the issue of costs that are immense – could consequence in a immense financial sacrifice and a immense political cost for us having weapons, whose usefulness will be very limited, due to the fact that compared to what Russia has, it will be an absolute margin," he adds.

He emphasises: "I so think that the financial and political cost and possible military consequence are definitely against this position.

However, these trends are seen in another countries. akin voices appeared in Germany, for example. Everyone knows why this is happening.

Janusz Onyszkiewicz believes that erstwhile submitting specified a proposal, president Nawrocki questions the credibility of the US atomic umbrella and the credibility of president Trump. And this is simply a surprise to him:

– In the mouth of president Nawrocki, who speaks so powerfully in favour of the robustness of the American warrant and the importance of Poland for the US, it sounds rather strange. I do not know if the president is starting to share the doubts that arise in this matter, due to the fact that he has consistently been highly strong in defending president Trump and his actions.

General Koziej: God forbid I talk of this arrangement


The atomic weapons case is dividing experts. For respective days, discussions have been going through the media. Questions arise as to whether it is possible that Poland has atomic weapons and answers, that it is "impossible in the foreseeable future". Or that "already withdrawing" from the Treaty of Non-Proliferation of atomic Weapons "would mean far-reaching problems on the global stage". Itp. etc.

But the issue is more complex than it seems.



– I think it is good that the president raised this problem at specified a time. erstwhile the safety strategy is unstable so far, we request to signal to all our allies and opponents that we cannot be a passive lamb on the altar, who will do nothing – says General Stanisław Koziej, erstwhile Head of BBN from 2010 to 2015.

He believes that discussions on this issue are needed. However, as he points out, it is not about Poland appearing from global agreements.

This is the Non-Proliferation Treaty, which has signed nearly 200 countries in the world. Poland became its signatory in 1968. States which do not have atomic weapons undertake to neither produce nor get specified weapons. In turn, those who have weapons undertake not to pass on them. There are 9 of them. This is: Russia, USA, China, France, large Britain, India, Pakistan, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea.

"God forbid I'm not talking about stepping out of this arrangement. I see no reason for us to appear and become a black sheep in the mediate of Europe. I'm talking about the black screenplay that this arrangement could just fall and become out of date. We request to take into account the situation that, as the treaties on arms control have collapsed, so this crucial treaty is threatened and can lose its meaning," commented the general.



"Let's show that Poland can afford to think about atomic weapons"


Gen. Stanislaw Koziej draws a black screenplay erstwhile global alliances weaken, a fresh arms race begins, he loses the atomic Non-Proliferation Agreement in importance. That's what we gotta prepare for. No 1 knows which way will lead us to accelerate the demolition of the global order that is better or worse regulated by different treaties, agreements, alliances.

The planet is moving distant from this towards a policy of force, which is risky especially for non-mandatory states and located in zones of close interest in powers like Poland. This course is clearly shown by Donald Trump's policy.

– Russia, the United States, China make it clear that they will not brake, they are developing their atomic arsenals. This script of the atomic arms race can lead to a dangerous point again, as during the Cuban crisis in the 1960s – reminds Gen. Koziej.

After that crisis, the treaties limiting atomic weapons began to be concluded.

– It could be now, too. And it could be even worse if there was a phase of global atomic anarchy. erstwhile it turns out that not only the disarmament treaties will be important, but the most crucial Treaty on the non-proliferation of atomic weapons will besides be, and its erosion will be that no 1 will obey it. specified a dangerous world, if we find ourselves in it, requires us to take these conditions into account. And the only fuse in specified a planet is only your own atomic weapon – the expert points out.

Gen. Koziej emphasizes that in the current reality, erstwhile it begins to talk about a performance of powers, erstwhile Poland is between a proverbial hammer and anvil, there are many arguments for us not to underestimate this problem.

– So that we don't hide him under the table and be ashamed of him. due to the fact that it's a shame to talk about atomic weapons. due to the fact that Poland wants atomic weapons the way Iran does? Nope. We must be realistic about this, but we must be realistic about it. And occasionally discuss it publicly. The structures that are liable for the most secret matters of state safety should have different scenarios ready, as we would possibly gotta behave in the event of specified a necessity," he says.

– Let us discuss it, let us consider it, but let us be aware of how rationally we must proceed in this field. Let us show that Poland is simply a strong country that can afford to think about atomic weapons besides – he adds.

Nawrocki’s words were discussed by European media


They read about it abroad. The words of Nawrocki were discussed by European media. "Poland should make its own atomic defence, says the President" – this is the title of an article by the American press agency Bloomberg, which is replicated by another planet media.

"Charles Nawrocki's message about 'nuclear potential' of Poland was noted by planet press agencies. As the Western media report, these words came after the German Chancellor declared in Munich that he was negotiating with France on a possible European atomic defence," wrote Mateusz Przyborowski on Thematic.

Nawrocki spoke in Polsat News, among others: – We are a country located right at the border of the armed conflict. It is known what is the attitude of the aggressive imperial Russian Federation to Poland. I will not say whether it will happen, whether it will happen, erstwhile it happens, while building Poland's security, even on the basis of atomic potential, is the direction I support.



NATO atomic Sharing, or 3 atomic options for Poland


Gen. The goat is looking at atomic safety more widely.

– Yes, we should consider it. But it's not just about having your own atomic weapon, due to the fact that that's a long shot. The problem of atomic safety in the fresh global environment for Poland has at least 3 dimensions, says Gen. Koziej.

The first is the possible participation of Poland in the NATO atomic Sharing programme. Today, Italy, Turkey, Belgium, the Netherlands and Germany participate. These countries have about 20 American atomic warheads on their territory. They besides secrete their own dual-use aircraft to their possible usage in American atomic operations.

– To date, the Americans have not expressed their acceptance of our efforts, but I think that we should strive all the time to participate in the atomic Sharing programme, as this would be a immense reinforcement for Poland's safety – the general estimates.

He explains that participation in the program may have different forms and does not gotta mean only the deployment of American atomic weapons in Poland. This could be the usage of Polish F-35 aircraft and Polish pilots, making our airports available, or participating in the fighter shield of atomic weapons carriers.

In his opinion, we should besides have various options in the secret plans to search specified weapons, if it were essential not to be amazed by specified a necessity, and should it appear on the horizon of probability, we should not act in a forced manner, that is, ad hoc.

– From time to time, it is besides worth raising in public, as we are doing at the moment. The Poles themselves must be strategically aware of what this means, what risks this entails, what challenges and what benefits. Is that a muss? Are we doing this by choice? It is about shaping the strategical awareness of Poles in the field of security, including this atomic security," he emphasises.

– Secondly, specified public analysis, reflection and signaling to the outside planet is important. Both possible enemies and Russia, who can blackmail us with their atomic weapons at any time. But besides our present, future and possible allies. To make them aware that if atomic powers neglect us, Poland will begin to search atomic weapons – says Gen. Koziej.

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