American peace is the defeat of Russia

The publication of the 28 point "American peace plan for Ukraine" worked among commentators and observers of current political events in the world, like putting a stick in an anthill.

The interpretations and comments concerning this plan, shot from the right to the left, not according to cool analysis, but depending on views, sympathy and commenting phobias. In an effort to interpret and measure the possible effects of the signature of specified a project, it should be pointed out first that it does not be either as a final paper ready to sign or reject or even as the authoritative position of the U.S. organization to the discussion and curious parties or active in the conflict.

This, of course, does not mean that specified a proposal does not be and does not live its own, not only media life, as a basis for analysis and counterproposal. Apart from various hysterical reactions in the West, not only journalists, but besides the most crucial European politicians, from the existence of specified a proposal not only in the journalistic version, the Russian side with the president of Russia at the head is not cut off either. In his comment, he expressed that these 28 points of the plan could form the basis for the improvement of a future peace treaty that would address the root causes of the conflict in Ukraine. This is simply a curious statement, especially since Kiril Dmitriev, the peculiar envoy of Vladimir Putin, is not cut off from the discussion of specified a version of the document.

It is alternatively apparent that these 28 points cannot be signed by Russia in the content presented. This form of the proposal actually means losing Russia to the most crucial basic goals that it set before itself by launching a peculiar military operation in Ukraine in February 2022. This possible defeat, occupied by large sacrifices, in Trump's plan is masked by alleged territorial concessions, which, in fact, were never, outside Crimea, the primary nonsubjective of Russia and which are not to be sanctioned by law, by a border treaty.

This plan comes at a time when, on the front, a breakthrough is being made that could in a comparatively short time consequence in a strategical defeat of Ukrainian forces, a bit like the fall of Germany 1918 in planet War I. Meanwhile, the implementation of Trump's plan can save Kiev and Western forces from the defeat and reversal of the effects of Ukraine's takeover operation, launched by the 2014 coup.

In fact, 28 Americans cannot be seen as the basis for lasting peace in Europe, but as another strategical version of the ceasefire to prevent defeat and prepare another phase of armed escalation. besides many easy distant firing of explosives is hidden in this plan so that it could be treated as a basis for lasting peace, not a phase of regrouping forces before the next phase of the war in which others will besides appear outside Ukraine against Russia, among which, of course, there will be naive Poles as usual.

What would Moscow truly gotta agree to if it had accepted this ceasefire called a peace plan? By listing only the most crucial ones.

First,, to leave Ukraine in orbit of exclusive influences, pressures and blackmail of the West, called for unknowable sovereignty.
Second, for the existence on the south-east, borderless from Moscow, militarized, hostile to itself and susceptible to provocation by forces of the western country to which they connect Russia with unregulated and disputed borders. The existence of a state and, in fact, of a US and EU protectorate, with a immense 600-thousand-gun army with combat and armed experience, and trained in and at the expense of the West. For the record. Ukraine had 130 1000 soldiers in 2013 and in 2022 230 thousand. So approval not only to resign from the demilitarisation of Ukraine, but even to agree to the further, highly dangerous militarisation of this country.

Third, accepting the looting of respective 100 billion Russian currency reserves blocked against law in the West and agreeing to usage a large condition of them to do business by the US in this part of the world.

Fourth, resigning from debanderization of Ukraine, satisfying with enigmatic mentions of rejecting this ideology.

Fifth, despite the declaration of the formal non-acceptance of Kiev to NATO, the state will stay in close orbit of the influence of this organization, including safety guarantees in line with Article 5 of the Pact Treaty, military cooperation, reinforcements, etc.

In principle, all the points of the alleged peace plan, in addition to those that defend Washington's interests, are open, susceptible to interpretation, amendment and prosecution of non-compliance, while all alleged concessions for Russia, specified as abolishing the stages of sanctions and its possibilities of re-integration into the western economy and politics, conditional and postponing.

The most crucial thing is that the possible adoption of specified a plan does not destruct any of the causes of the conflict and does not warrant lasting peace in Europe, but alternatively these causes perpetuate and introduces a threat of re-explosion with a scope and consequences many times greater than the current conflict phase.

In fact, we are faced with a request for an unconditional ceasefire, which will see what will happen next, which is to prevent the collapse of Ukrainian fronts, the weakened defence, and which is to give time to reorganize, supplement and supply Ukrainian forces, and to complete preparations for war by a number of European countries supported more or little openly by the United States.

Explaining why, therefore, most European hawks protest this plan, calling it a surrender before Russia, are of an intra-EU nature and require separate discussion.

From the point of view of Russia at this phase and in specified a form of document, there are no visible reasons not only for signing it, but besides for serious discussion of its modification, unless we presume that this discussion is purely apparent and is conducted in order to reject the task without immediately perpetuating the belief that Moscow is opposed to peaceful resolution of the conflict.

Moreover, today, after 4 years of bloody war besides for Russia, the abrupt signing of a paper which, after careful analysis, is not far from the act of surrender, would be dangerous for Putin himself and the surrounding group. interior protests in Russia could harm the stableness of this country more than hundreds of possible sanctions and 4 years of inactive pending struggles on the front.

However, a global, mostly backroom and silent policy is not a policy that we can interpret straight and directly, based on press reports and simple logic. The conflict in Ukraine, and in fact the Western War against Russia, have many times deeper causes than we mostly think and scope beyond 1 or even 2 continents. However, to explain what is happening in this area in relation to the links between conflict and global boiling requires a separate analysis.

Here I just want to signal that the Kremlin's eventual consent to the serious treatment of Trump's initiative may be due, among another things, to the force of any leaders of the global South, afraid about the chaos of secondary sanctions, absurd ones, imposed after considering duties and the decomposition of global markets threatening the crisis and the suppression of many economies, seeking liberation from the dictate of the dollar and Western institutions. Today's economies are inactive poorly integrated and prepared to replace the existing settlement system, transport infrastructure, insurance and financial infrastructure, and those facing the extinguishing of further Western services, crises and conflicts on all emerging strands of "paste and roads" which were replaced by a maritime dictatorship dominated by western communication. But it's besides a separate subject. Today, it is only essential to add that it seems likely that countries specified as India, Brazil, the arabian Countries and even China are intensifying force on Russia to end or frost the conflict in Ukraine, giving time to stabilise the economical and economical situation of countries of the global south and to complete integration processes.

The second origin that may influence Russia's approval of a compromise (strongly modified) plan to end this phase of the conflict may be interior factors. On the 1 hand, the burden of many years of war and sanctions surely costs the economy a lot. On the another hand, human losses, including for a country the size of Russia, are very severe and have social consequences and fatigue of war in large groups of people. We request to know that, today, Russia is actually carrying the burden of armed confrontation with the Western coalition alone, only behind the scenes and to a tiny degree supported by countries specified as China. any groups of Russian elite and business, accustomed to contacts with the West and pressing Putin's environment can besides be under force to reconstruct to average relations, even at the price of crucial concessions and to abandon the first objectives of the operation started 4 years ago.

Time will tell you what's next with Trump's plan. It surely requires a more in-depth analysis, especially from the point of view of Europe's interests, the policy of maintaining the dominance of the United States, BRICS and another countries of the global south, but nevertheless I do not enviate this proposal for a long life and, above all, the birth of fruit, which would be peace...
Andrzej Górzny

photo of wikipedia