War and Peace

I decided to imagine what Russian analysts thought. There are 2 roads.

• They can deal with Ukraine room. present it means admitting defeat. No intent of peculiar Military Operations has been achieved. Banderism is getting stronger. Sweden and Finland in NATO. It's a flop. Chief Chief has outbid.
• They can continue. War. Many people fear atomic escalation. In Moscow, this thought is taken seriously by at least 1 man - Karaganov. I would reject it due to the fact that the effects are hard to foretell and alternatively catastrophic. Similarly, the attack on the Baltic countries or Poland is risky. Why Poland? Answer is short - Poland provides logistics of deliveries. but it's NATO. The situation is akin with the Baltic countries. large hazard with small benefit. What would I do if I were in the skin of Gerasimov analysts? specified a script seems real to me and may prove effective. Namely, I would attack transport routes in the west of Ukraine and cut her off from the primary origin of her strength. I'd wait a while for the weapons warehouses to run out and the Ukrainians won't be able to launch transport through Romania. At this point, I would hit you with full force. What indicates specified a scenario? Zelenski and Lukashenko were confronted. This would mean that the Ukrainians fear specified a development. Belarus is very well suited as a place where an air attack would be harder to defend. Ground attack - less, due to swampy terrain. My recorder noted the subtle motion of Lukashenko's mediate finger toward Putin. He doesn't want another non-war on his territory. Belarus, not Poland, is Europe's biggest disaster. A complete triumph over Ukraine can besides be embarrassing, due to the fact that this country will request to be guarded by business forces. It's not easy. It's a large part of land with a hostile population. In the 1970s, a Polish tourist coach went to Ukraine and disappeared. The consulate in Kiev (the 1 where the embassy presently houses) was incapable to get any information about its fate. It's not my idea, it's the consulate insider's story. Nevertheless, 1 can effort due to the fact that in Chechnya it worked. As the Russians say 'можем повторить'.