In the last 2 weeks, during the dense Ukrainian strikes on Russian port and energy infrastructure in the Leningrad region, any drones came down from the designated course. The machines were found in Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Finland. Most of them fell distant from the buildings, but 1 of the unmanned workers hit a power chimney close Narwa, close the Estonian-Russian border.
Estonian military noted that Tallinn requested Ukraine to change its flight corridors to reduce the hazard of breaching Estonian airspace. However, he added that the complete elimination of specified situations could be difficult, as the impact on the trajectory of drones besides has Russian anti-aircraft defence activity.
At the same time, specified situations cannot be completely excluded, and the surest way to prevent drones entering Estonia is to end Russia's aggressive war, which would remove the request for Ukraine to attack targets in our immediate neighbourhood – added Colonel Kiviselg.
Russia targeting drones?
At the same time Russia accused the Baltic States of allowing Ukraine to usage their airspace to carry out attacks. Colonel Kiviselg powerfully denied it. In turn, according to the findings of the Ukrainian intelligence services, Russia can intentionally direct Ukrainian drones towards the Baltic States.
Experts point out that 1 of the most likely causes of specified incidents are Russian GPS interference, which may confuse Ukrainian unmanned and alter their course.
Kremlin takes the initiative
In assessing the overall situation of the war in Ukraine, Colonel Ants Kiviselg stated that the front line had not changed much in the last 2 years. He noted that in late February and early March, Ukrainian forces succeeded in regaining the initiative and recapture any of the areas previously under Russian occupation. In his opinion, however, since last week it is possible to get the impression that the initiative is starting again to decision to the Russian side.
According to the head of the Estonian Military Intelligence, the Russians increased their activity especially in the northern front section, where they could search to make the previously announced buffer zone. At the same time, he stressed that despite this intensification of action on the front, there have been no major breakthroughs late or amazing developments.
However, Kiviselg besides highlighted affirmative aspects. As he estimated, the effectiveness of Ukrainian air defence remains an crucial success. He pointed out that in March the Ukrainians managed to neutralize about 90 percent of the air raid measures directed in their territory even before reaching their target.
