The president of the United States is having increasing problems with the mediate East war

On the thirteenth day of the war, it is increasingly evident that Donald Trump's calculations are little about the freedom of Iranians and more about the stableness of global energy markets. Tehran scares the price of a barrel of oil up to $200. It is an component of propaganda and intellectual pressure, but at the same time a signal that the Iranian government is willing to escalate the conflict almost without regulation — even if the consequence would be an ecological disaster on a immense scale.

In the north of Israel today, the strongest fire has been heard since the start of the war. Missiles are constantly flying across the region, and their whistling is mixed with a bang of military helicopters.

In the area of Karmal, Israeli machines searched the area at a tiny tallness for hours. Previously, the military reported an airspace breach by an unidentified object — possibly a drone.

At the same time, tension increases on 1 of the most crucial energy routes in the world. On Wednesday, it was reported that in the Ormuz Strait, through which about a 5th of global oil trade passes, sea mines appear alternatively of tankers. According to reports, at least a twelve loads have already been dropped. This may explain the actions of the American forces that declared the demolition of 16 units capable of mined this crossing.

Iran practically paralyzed shipping through Ormuz in the early days of the war. The authorities in Tehran say all day that all ship trying to swim through the strait must number for drowning.

The consequences of this threat are already visible. From the stern of the Mayuree Naree, flying the flag of Thailand, smoke continues to rise. The unit was hit by an Iranian rocket; the engine area is on fire. 3 crew members were reported missing — most likely in the fire - cut part of the ship. Thailand's authorities are demanding an authoritative apology, although in the current situation their importance seems purely symbolic.

Other merchant ships — including ships under the flags of Liberia and Japan — were besides affected. Tankers in Iraqi waters are besides on fire. 2 Iranian boats filled with explosives exploded close them. In response, Iraq closed all oil ports and halted oil export operations.

Tehran declares that it will destruct all ship owned by the United States, Israel, and their allies — a large part of the global commercial fleet in practice.

The consequences of the conflict are besides beginning to be felt by countries that have tried to stay out of war so far. In India, the first protests appear on petrol stations after announcements of possible fuel and gas regulation. Authorities in Delhi say they have negotiated for their ships a safe passage through the Ormuz Strait, nevertheless Tehran rapidly denied this information. If they were true, this would mean that India — China’s main Asian rival — was granted the privilege that Beijing, a declaring relationship with Iran, is inactive incapable to supply itself.

Meanwhile, the global release of strategical oil reserves has begun on an unprecedented scale. The global Energy Agency announced that 400 million barrels of warehouses would be placed on the market. another countries, including Japan, have besides made akin decisions. It is Asia that is most affected by the blockade of Ormuz — so far, about 80 percent of imported energy fuels have been imported through this strait.

Trade disruptions are besides visible on land. In Turkmenistan, products imported from Iran are rapidly expensive. In Ashchabad, the prices of potatoes, cucumbers and fruit increased by up to 50–70 percent. The border formally remains open, but the actual stream of goods has clearly shrunk.

In Australia, the government reported that fuel supplies would last for about 2 months. However, it was officially acknowledged that their usage would mean a simplification in the quality of fuel available on the market.

The conflict besides hits civilian aviation. Global air traffic is gradually beginning to go back to the levels known from pandemic times — not only due to restrictions in the Gulf countries, but besides due to the rapidly rising prices of aviation fuel. Airlines announce crucial increases in ticket prices.

Transporters from Australia and fresh Zealand have already announced a simplification in the network of connections — about 5 percent so far. At the same time, the prices of tickets from Amman to Poland for people trying to leave the region reached about PLN 3,500 in 1 direction, which is about twice as much as before the outbreak of the war.

With the escalation of the American-Israeli attacks and the absence of any signals with a possible end to the conflict oil becomes a key component of global political play. Power and resilience of governments are being determined by their fossil fuel reserves. The sooner they shrink, the stronger the force will become on Washington and Tel Aviv.

Donald Trump seems to realize the importance of the situation, although he publically minimizes Iran's military capabilities, claiming that its aviation and Navy “actually do not exist”.

One of the solutions considered would be to send U.S. Navy ships to the Strait of Ormuz. specified a step, however, would mean beginning up another highly dangerous front — in a war that is already gradually taking over much of the mediate East.

Comment: I point out that despite the first intentions of the American-Israeli political leadership, the military clash with Iran will take a long time...