Written by Tyler Durden
Through the Eye of the mediate East
The day before Israel's attack on Iran, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was in Knesset, welcoming Argentina's president Javier Milea with open arms. "Argentina became a safe haven for thousands of Jews" – He said Nice to Israeli politicians. "They sought refuge from economical difficulties and anti-Semitic persecution. Not only in east Europe but besides in the Ottoman Empire," he said. "Imperium that I don't think should be renewed anytime soon, even if there are those who disagree with me."
Comments which were explicitly addressed to Turkey and its long-term president Recep Tayyip Erdogan did not escape the attention of officials in Ankara. Turkey, a increasing regional power, has played a immense function in the mediate East since so-called arabian Spring Uprisings in 2010.
Faced with the fresh dynamics of power that developed in the region, Ankara recorded an increase in its shares in the major western capitals. His tallness was so large that on Thursday Turkey is part of a tiny group of US allies, who have been notified In advance, Israel will launch an attack on Iran.
A fewer hours later, early on Friday, Israel launched an attack on Iran's military and atomic installations and launched attacks on high-ranking security, intelligence and military commanders, as well as atomic energy scientists. In attacks aimed besides at residential areas and civilian infrastructure, More than 500 people have been killed so far and at least 1300 have been injured, including many civilians.
In response, Iran launched rocket volleys towards Haifa, Tel Aviv and another large Israeli cities.
Turkey laments the escalation, describing the Israeli attack as unprovoked, especially at a time erstwhile American intelligence suggested,thatIran is not actively seeking atomic weapons. While the escalation was characterized as abrupt and amazed many countries of the region, Ankara has long been preparing for an Israeli attack on Iran.
In September whenIsrael killedHezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah, Turkish officials analyzed possible scenarios in the event of a serious Israeli attack and a possible wider regional conflict. They have prepared contingency plans, including measures for possible exile waves.
In October Ankara besides began negotiations with the imprisoned leader of the Kurdistan Working organization (PKK) Abdullah Ocalan to prevent the usage of this group as a proxy by Iran or Israel.
Israeli-Turkish Relations
Turkey historically maintained a good relation with Israel despite the ups and downs caused by Israel's wars with the countries of the region. Turkey was the first Muslim country to recognise Israel in 1949 and gradually became an ally of Tel Aviv in the 1990s. erstwhile the Turkish safety apparatus needed his aid to argue the PKK during an interior instability.
Since Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan took over in 2003, relations have gradually deteriorated from a strategical partnership to a partnership of neighbours who frequently face each another about suffering Palestinians in Gaza and elsewhere.
The relation deteriorated after Israel raided the ferry Mavi Marmara in 2010, killing 10 Turkish activists in global waters but later improved. However, tensions rose again in late 2023 erstwhile Ankara decided to retreat from approximation from due to the war in Gazawhich, according to Turkish officials, constitutes genocide.
Since Israeli campaigns to degrade Hezbollah last year and the collapse of the Assad dynasty in Syria, the region has been transformed by Netanjah's actions. Where Iran erstwhile dominated, Israel becomes an increasingly key regional power.
Israeli officials began to publically state that the only another player with crucial resources they were dealing with was Turkey.
Turkish abroad Minister Hakan Fidan has repeatedly said since December that the region should not be dominated by any single power, including Turkey itself. The first major challenge between Turkey and Israel was Syria, as the Netanyahu government made certain that it would argue any Turkish bases with radar and air defence installations in confederate Syria.
American officials, afraid about possible incidents, encourage both countries for talks, which resulted in the creation in April hot line between Turkey and Israel.
The talks went to the point where Turkish officials included Syrian representatives in talks with Israelis, hoping to find a compromise to halt Israeli attacks in Syria. Control of Syrian airspace was the main issue. Ankara postponed its plans to rapidly take control of the bases until the talks with Israel on the deconflict ended, which in effect gave Israel an chance to attack Iran.
This did not apply to Turkish airspace. Turkish officials advised Israel to address its concerns about airspace issues straight to Syria alternatively than Ankara.
Acceleration of the rocket program
For decades, Turkey has seen Iran as a destabilizing force and opposed Tehran's ambition to get atomic weapons. However, Israel's unilateral attack Iran, who did not supply convincing evidence that Tehran was close its development, was received by Turkish public opinion as a sign that Israel might 1 day attack Turkey, an NATO ally profoundly integrated with Western safety architecture.
This sense of danger was reiterated by the head of the Turkish Nationalist Movement organization (MHP), Devlet Bahçeli, Erdogan's key ally.
On Tuesday, Bahçeli warned that the Israeli military run against Iran was part of a wider strategy for Turkey's lap and undermining its regional ambitions. "The political and strategical goal of Israel is clear," he said. "To environment Anatolia and sabotage Turkey's way towards a future free from terrorism on behalf of its masters".
To calm Turkish public opinion, officials began to uncover certain details to the media. 1 of the Turkish publicists He claimed that on the night of the first attack, Turkish radar detected Israeli F-35, which prompted Turkey to send F-16 and AWACS early informing aircraft to track Israeli operations.
Another publicist He saidThat any of the Israeli jets that launched the attack inadvertently breached Turkish airspace the same night and departed rapidly after Turkey picked up an F-16 and warned them on radio. "This is not Turkey's war" — said 1 of Ankara's informants close to the government.
Below: Turks went out on the streets to protest Israel and show support for the muslim Republic of Iran.
"However, this shows that we should examine this attack thoroughly and take appropriate steps to prepare for any possible future threats and options". High-ranking Turkish officials held 2 rounds of safety meetings to discuss further contingency plans. The Turkish military besides thoroughly studied the war tactics utilized by Israel.
Erdogan himself responded to the attack by calling regional leaders, as well as US president Donald Trump and Iranian president Masud Pezeshkian. He besides contacted Syrian president Ahmed al-Sharaa and Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' Al Sudani, who lead Turkey's land neighbours.
Turkish communications propose that Erdogan explicitly advised them not to engage in a fresh escalation between Israel and Iran.
On Monday, Erdogan said that Turkey is accelerating its mid- and long-range ballistic rocket program and deepening its deterrence to make Turkey a country that no 1 dares to oppose. He promised. Wednesday, that Turkey would make its defence manufacture completely independent.
He later shared his speech on X, on which she showed the seal of the Ottoman Empire, which Netanyahu mentioned last week. "The Ottoman Empire's winning army had a rule," Erdogan said.
"If you want independence, if you want freedom, if you want to live on this land with your honour, dignity and integrity, if you want economical prosperity, if you want abundance, wealth and harmony, if you want peace, you must always be ready for war".
Translated by Google Translator
source:https://www.zerohedge.com/
