Polish Democrats in fresh times must learn to navigate in an increasingly complicated geopolitical reality and play different pianos at the same time. In this arrangement, however, the United States should stay a key partner as long as possible. specified a strategy on Polish democratic forces is forced by the global agreement of forces and a realistic look at the future.
Donald Trump and his surroundings, of course, do not inspire me with enthusiasm, but alternatively with reactions like most of you: disbelief, discord, opposition, inactive cognitive shock. I do not request to explain why: customs, isolationism, oppressive moral conservatism, anti-globalism, the approach to global order, the attitude to Russia and Ukraine, and the scandalous kind and way of treating partners. However, public activities request to be able to put aside emotions from real assessments.
If the United States of America is Donald Trump and his doctrine of thinking, then Poland should be permanently identified with Jarosław Kaczyński and his imagination of the world. Meanwhile, democracy until it becomes a repressive dictatorship is simply a conflict for a continuous change that is possible and realistic. He has reasonable reasons for present to be able to say that the US will cease to be a democratic state, though hard to liberal – the politician accept many of Trump's moves.
The engagement of many opinion centres on the liberal and democratic side in Poland in a kind of anti-American wave is in a way emotionally understandable but at the same time a large mistake. In addition, it is contagious and most likely fueled by forces hostile to the Western world. The strategical nonsubjective of Poland should be to counter the erosion of transatlantic relations despite all hard circumstances. This does not mean that Poland is not to respond to the situation: deepening ties with Europe, bilateral agreements and developing its own defence capabilities is present the right state. But you should play all decks you have in your hand and keep Washington's engagement in Poland wherever possible.
Donald Trump is, on the 1 hand, a dangerous populist, a changeling politician, self-seeking and causing chaos on the another hand limited by the support of citizens, the economical situation and geopolitical reality. From this chaos 1 should effort to play for the safety and economics of Poland, Ukraine and Europe as much as possible by deepening economical relations with entities from the USA. American investments in Poland besides represent the safety policy.
Especially due to the fact that the US is inactive a country of large people, large ideas, extraordinary entrepreneurs. They didn't vanish overnight. It's inactive a country that was the cradle of democracy. Can that change? Maybe. In the United States, populism expands its influence. But in Poland there was besides a anticipation in which Jarosław Kaczyński will constantly convince most of the voters and slow change the strategy to authoritarian. At least that hasn't worked so far. Given the full democratic tradition of the United States, all the values and interests from which we know America and the inability and incompetence of the squad The rational Trump is to presume that his squad will lose. Soon. Trump for his first 100 days has been the worst judged by his citizens as president of the United States since specified investigation has been conducted.
Is America coming back? Will it be a reaganist or neoconservative and globalist Washington from the beginning of the century? most likely not. It is worth noting with the remainder that the strategical change of accents in U.S. policy from focus on Europe towards the Pacific and China began not by anyone another than Barak Obama, who in parallel sought to reset Russia's relations despite her aggression against Georgia in 2008. So everything changes, but it repeats in different circumstances.
My editorial colleague late wrote that transatlantic relations before January 2025 would not return in this generation. If he meant ties and sympathy on both sides of the Atlantic, I think he's wrong. I would add that I hope that in 1 dimension they will not return in any generation. A situation in which 1 of the most powerful and richest parts of the planet today, the European Union, in principle, is about the safety provided by an overseas ally, is simply a strategical mistake that can never happen again. Europe, while maintaining the closest possible alliance with the States and their military presence in its territory, must become a full partner in providing safety and military strength.
On the another hand, I can bet that transatlantic relations in terms of values, global cooperation, economical cooperation will return to the erstwhile speech and temperature faster than we think. The United States and their society evolves but nothing changes overnight completely. The US as we know it is not gone, and in addition, they desperately request a European ally to compete with China and another fresh global powers. That is why all the voices that propose that Europe should be brought closer to Russia's supporting China are so unwise and disconnected from reality. China which, unlike the US, remains a single-party dictatorship with a immense apparatus of repression and state-sanctioned surveillance of citizens.
Let us proceed to invest our efforts in building a global alliance of democratic states.
