My attention was drawn to yesterday's exhibition by abroad Minister Radosław Sikorski, delivered in the Sejm. I believe that this was the most crucial speech of the typical of the Donald Tusk Government since taking power.
This is for 1 fundamental reason. This is the reason, frequently stressed by me, for the fact that the influence of the interstate situation on Poland's position over the interior situation of the country is the advantage. It is simply a simple consequence of Poland's being an object, not an entity of interstate policy. In the erstwhile text I wrote that Poland's current interstate position is the hardest since 1939. In the meantime, Minister Sikorski's exposé indicates that there is no or hiding this awareness in the ruling crew.
A large part of Sikorski's exposé devoted to criticism of abroad policy, led by the Law and Justice. Absolutely right. The abroad policy of the Law and Justice Government was fatal, if what was happening could be called politics, i.e. thoughtful, consistently conducted actions, aimed at achieving goals in accordance with the Polish national interest. Another abroad ministers in the governments of the Law and Justice were misunderstandings. Their explanation that nothing could have been pathetic. erstwhile you're a scientist with quite a few work and a liable politician, erstwhile you think you can't do anything, you just quit the office by slamming the door or not taking it at all.
In this respect, Minister Sikorski beats the PiS ministers. The current head of the MFA has a definite impact on government policy and has any imagination of office and policy he wants to lead. However, there is something that disqualifies him as a minister in the Polish government. This is the fact that Sikorski's boy for his acceptance is an officer of the U.S. Army. It doesn't substance that the United States is considered our most crucial ally. It would be unacceptable in France, Germany or even in the United Kingdom that the boy of the local abroad minister should service in the U.S. Army. A separate case is Sikorski's relation as a minister with his wife Anna Appelbaumwho is an crucial figure in the American media world, with a much more prominent global position than her husband. This situation may give emergence to doubts.
After these preliminary considerations, I will callback Sikorski's thought, which I considered to be a good motto of his speech. This thought reads, "No 1 has the right to deny Polishness due to the inevitable difference of opinion". If you combine this thought with certain actions of the Tusk government, it is hard to believe that Sikorski spoke honestly. For now, let's take it as a good coin.
If we effort to sum up the exposé in general and briefly about what is to be the content of interstate policy, it was a set of postulates and wishful wishes, dispersing with the realities of this policy. Firstly, the exposé does not show that this policy has any cause. Sikorski was not able to callback any crucial fact which would have been the consequence of his or her interstate policy. He talked a lot about how much Poland gives Ukraine and how crucial it is, but he did not explain in a word why Poland inactive does not have in any group of states that co-determine the situation of Ukraine and interstate policy around it. For this, quite a few “I trust Putin will lose” or “If we do not deficiency the will, Russia will lose” or “with God’s aid we will win”. However, the situation in the war is that Ukraine and its allies must increasingly number on this divine help.
Sikorski tries, contrary to the fact, to reconcile water with fire. His abroad policy is to be based on 2 pillars. 1 is the European Union, including Britain, and the another is simply a close alliance with the US. However, for now, the facts are that the interests of Europe and the US are spreading. Declarations of closer alliance with the U.S. do not sound credible. For president Donald Trump, relations with Russia are a precedence and this is what the Americans have subjected their relations with Poland. There's no area for any unbreakable guarantees. We gotta ask ourselves seriously whether Poland can truly number on effective US aid in the event of the war with Russia. In this respect, the US has become unpredictable.
In turn, the European pillar, as Sikorski defines, is to be “strong Poland in a strong Europe”. And even more clearly, the European Union "is the lion of our strength, our home." This is accompanied by a declaration of support for integration processes to which Poland is to be the leader. However, Sikorski did not say how this integration should look and what it would lead to. As major allies in Europe, he has identified Romania, the Czech Republic and the Nordic countries. Apart from the deficiency of Slovakia in this set, it is simply a real concept, but it does not specify its political and military shape. It is known that neither NATO nor the EU are adequate formulas here. However, in this context, convincing that the countries considered allies of Ukraine have the advantage of possible over Russia is kind of pathetic. Americans are beginning to say that "this is not our war" and that the EU is not a force that is threatening Russia for now. Germany and France are more likely to be willing to trade with Russia than to wage war with Russia.
What I consider to be a threat to Polish national interest in Sikorski is the fact that Poland's destiny depends on the situation of Ukraine. It looks like for Ukraine everything, from Ukraine almost nothing. Setting matters up so that the Russian troops will be kept on the border with Ukraine or will stand on the border with Poland is simply a imagination of the blind 1 eye. Had it not been for this geopolitical blindness, Sikorski would have known that the Russians had been standing above the Polish border for over 30 years, closer to Warsaw than from Lviv. Moreover, all that is incorrect with Polish-Ukrainian relations is the responsibility of Russian propaganda. In this case, Sikorski turns out not only blind but besides deaf to apparent facts. Destroying individual sectors of the Polish economy by favouring Ukrainian companies or Ukrainian companies simply underestimates.
The last part of these longer than usual considerations I will sacrifice Russia. As for Russia, Sikorski's relation can be closed in his message that "a monster has been reborn from the empire of evil." The problem not only with Sikorski, but besides with another political groups who feel the same way, is that if Russia is simply a monster, then the Americans are starting to do nothing about it. They begin to mate with this monster and vice versa than the EU, they talk about abolishing the sanctions imposed on Russia. It is incorrect that the Minister of abroad Affairs and the full government of the current form of Polish statehood avoids referring to these facts and de facto through to exacerbating the conflict with Russia. This can't end well. I am sad to say that from the way Minister Sikorski thinks, he is lost in the inevitable differences he mentioned and confused Polishness with anti-Russianism. This cannot end well for Poland.
Andrzej Szlezak
