Staff surprised. “In the end of emotion” in the campaign, records are dropping

news.5v.pl 2 months ago
  • The evidence interest in election debates amazed staff and candidates.

  • The polls gain Simon Holovnia present at all events held so far.

  • However, experts do not foresee that momentary interest will importantly influence election turnout and final results.

  • More crucial information can be found on Interii main page

Three tv debates of presidential candidates are behind us. Each of them enjoyed evidence interest, both in front of TVs and netizens who commented on them.

According to Nielsen's Friday data debate in Koński, organised by the staff Rafał Trzaskowski and broadcast on TVP, TVN and Polysate and in the channels of another broadcasters (the debate was broadcast, among others, in Channel Zero) saw a full of 6.22 million viewers (data per VirtualMedia service). Earlier clash of candidates at the Konski Market, organized by tv Republic, in Poland24 and tv Trwam followed a full of 1.89 million recipients.

Monday's debate in the Republic studio was equally interesting. The station reports that at times the debate followed up to 2.5 million viewers.

Presidential election. evidence interest in electoral debates


Why so much interest in the election run and debate itself?

– So far, the run has been boring, due to the fact that it has been going on for a long time, slow to get started, and yet there has been any confusion, any emotion, which caused it to be attractive in the eyes of voters – he believes Prof. Bartłomiej Biskup, a political scientist from the University of Warsaw. He adds, however, that the debate that we have been observing all week has been the most affected by the debate.

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It shortly became apparent that the staff were incapable to agree on the terms of the debate. Nawrocki Staff He insisted that alongside Polsat, TVP and TVN the debate could besides co-organise and broadcast right-wing television: Republic and Poland24. That was not allowed.

As a result, the Republic decided to organise its own debate in the Konski Market, for which it invited all candidates. Trzaskovsky Staff He besides had to change the expression from 1 to 1 debate to all candidates.

At the debate of the Republic in Horses They didn't. Rafał Trzaskowski and Magdalena Biejat. For the debate Trzaskowski did not arrive in turn, among others. Sławomir Mentzen, Grzegorz Braun and Adrian Zandberg. He turned up unexpectedly for it. Karol Nawrocki.

There was besides no Rafał Trzaskowski on Monday's debate. In all the debates he was present for this Marshal of the Sejm and candidate of the 3rd WaySimon HolovniaWhich, according to the polls, he gained from it.

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– These pushes with the organisation of the debate only increased interest. People want emotion. We like the games, we like what happens – explains Prof. Bishop.

Who gains and who loses in election debates?


Interestingly, talks with staff of various candidates show that they did not anticipate specified ratings and interest. Everyone was betting that people would start to be curious in elections at the earliest after Easter.

In the meantime, debates have besides sparked large interest in the network. As quoted in Virtual Media's analysis of Res Futura agency, within 12 hours of the start of the debate in Koński, the subject generated over 1 billion coverage on social media. The event was mentioned in the network on average all 3 seconds.

While the PiS staff convinces that the debate in Koński may be a turning point in the campaign, KO staffers stand in the position that for Trzaskowski, who is the leader in the presidential race, the debates are not of large importance.

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However, a mediologist Prof. Jacek Dąbala believes that the strong emotions that influence the large interest in debates are primarily linked to polarisation and 2 large camps that have been focusing social experiences around them for many years.

– Sympathics of the 2 largest political camps inactive feel obliged to make certain their views are seen and heard. They are the ones who are passionate about politics, they live it, they are curious in it, they watch it, they comment on it," he emphasizes in his conversation with Interia. – It is these people at this phase of the run that turn interest in her. They simply want it to be their candidate, their organization is right and wins, whether in the election debate or later in the vote itself," he adds.

Change in polls after debates. Experts reduce emotions


United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland after 2 debates In Horse However, it clearly showed the impact of the debates on support for candidates. Rafał Trzaskowski lost 4.8 percent points. Like the 1 absent in the Horse Mentzen (a decrease of 5.4 percent points compared to the survey last week). It gained Hołownia (an increase of 2 percent points) and Nawrocki (an increase of 5.4 percent points)

Both Professor Bishopand Prof. Dąbał However, they agree that in the long word the interest in debates will not translate into either an increase in election attendance or the election results of individual candidates. "This may yet affect a tiny percent of the indecisive, but debates are alternatively hardening those who already had a certain view. They are the main recipients of debates and fans," she says. Prof. Dąbał.

– Turnouts in the presidential election are always advanced and this has nothing to do with debates. Debates usually have a tiny translate into election results, especially since there are and there will be many in these elections," he adds. Professor Bishop. – Which does not mean that 1 should not show and fight in them, due to the fact that from the point of view of the main candidates any way of obtaining voters may prove crucial – he adds in turn Professor Bartholomew Bishop.

On 12 May, a debate was scheduled for all candidates participating in the first circular of elections. Another debate in the fresh expression was announced by the tv Republic before the first round. After the first circular we will most likely have one-on-one debate, organised by the main television. The Republic has besides announced its own debate before the second round.

Kamila Baranowska

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