Russia enters the 5th year of war with Ukraine with a very circumstantial ceiling of possibilities: it inactive has space to effort 1 major offensive run in 2026, but there is no resources to repeat specified attempts indefinitely. This is no longer just a substance of the front map, but of the condition of the full Russian strategy - from individual reserves, through hardware warehouses, to the breakdown of communication after the cutoff [Starlinka](https://pl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink).
