Presidential elections 2025. Who will win? any conclusions from Saturday's argument between Prime Minister Tusk and candidate Nawrocki

Who will win the 2025 presidential elections in Poland? Who will advance to the second circular of the presidential elections and will a second circular be essential at all? What are the chances that the deputy head of the Civic Platform, the mayor of Warsaw Rafał TRZASKOWSKI supported by Donald TUSK, will win, or possibly KAROL NAWROCKI, the president of the Institute of National Remembrance, supported by prof. Andrzej NOWAK, Knight of the Order of the White Eagle and the Civic Committee of intellectuals and opinion leaders, besides supported by PiS, will win?