According to the latest poll conducted by the Pollster investigation Institute commissioned by the “Super Express”, Rafał Trzaskowski of the Civic Coalition would win the presidential election if they were held next Sunday. As a leader of the Civic Coalition, 35% of the respondents declared their willingness to speak.
Karol Nawrocki of Law and Justice ranked second, scoring 23% of the vote. This means that Karol Nawrocki overtook Sławomir Mentzen from the Confederate, who obtained 19% of the vote. This is simply a change compared to the erstwhile survey by the Pollster investigation Institute, which predicted the passing of the leader of the fresh Hope with Nawrock.
Experts say that this will reflect the fresh controversial statements made by the Confederate associate on abortion. Sławomir Mentzen categorically opposed abortion, even from rape. "You must not kill innocent children, even if this kid is associated with any unpleasantness," he said. This caused Mentzen to lose any of his voter support.
Dr. Bartłomiej Machnik of the UKSW says it is simply a informing signal for Karol Nawrocki and at the same time additional motivation for Sławomir Mentzen. “This is simply a difference that falls within the limits of statistical error,” says Dr. Machnik. – Mentzen must not forget, however, that specified events as have taken place recently, his words about paid studies or abortions can overturn tesondas and origin him not to enter the second round," he adds.
Szymon Hołownia from Poland 2050 ranked fourth, winning 8% of the vote. It was followed unexpectedly by the replacement of the seats of co-leader of the organization Together Adrian Zandberg (4%) with the Left candidate Magdalena Biejat (3%). The following places included Grzegorz Braun (3%), Artur Bartoszewski (1.12%) and Marek Jakubiak (1%).
The survey carried out by the Pollster investigation Institute from 31.03 to 1.04.2025 by the CAWI method on a example of 1007 adult Poles. The structure of the example was typical of Polish citizens aged 18+. The maximum estimation mistake was about 3%.
The poll results show that Rafał Trzaskowski is the leader of the presidential election, but Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir Mentzen are inactive in play. The 2025 presidential election will be very balanced and unpredictable. Voters will gotta choose between different candidates and programs, and the election consequence will depend on many factors.
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Presidential Election 2025: Rafał Trzaskowski Leader