"Israel cannot function without the US" — Douglas Macgregor warns against regional conflict and the collapse of American force projection.

• uncut-news.ch 25 May 2026.uncutnews-ch/israel-kann-ohne-die-usa-nicht-weitermachen-douglas-macgregor-warnt-vor-regional-flaechenbrand-und-dem-zerfall-americanischer-machtdesignion

While Western media are inactive talking about possible negotiations, diplomatic breakthroughs and the alleged "deescalation" between Washington and Tehran, the erstwhile Pentagon adviser, Colonel Douglas Macgregor, presents a completely different image of reality. In a controversial interview she describes The mediate East as a region on the brink of historical geopolitical reconstruction – and warns that the United States can be drawn into a war that they will not be able to control or win.

Macgregor is sure:
The conflict with Iran is no longer just a regional war.
It became part of a much wider power struggle.

• the future of Israel,
• to keep American supremacy,
• global energy supply,
• and strategical reorganization of the full mediate East.

His analysis is devastating:
The US has drastically underestimated Iran, ignored its own vulnerability to threats, and now faces a geopolitical dilemma from which there is no easy way out.

"The withdrawal of the US would be disastrous for Israel".

Macgregor begins his analysis with a message that is shocking:
Israel simply cannot afford to retreat America from war.

He argues that the Israeli authorities know that their full strategical position is based on the continued support of the United States.

Should Donald Trump abruptly announce:

• "there is no military solution"
• The United States will withdraw,
• or battles would be frozen,

According to Macgregor, this would be “catastrophic” from Israel's perspective.

Because:
Israel must constantly affect Washington in conflict.
Only in this way can Tel Aviv prevent geopolitical isolation.

Fear of the End of American Protection

Between the poems, Macgregor describes a immense strategical panic in Israel.

In his opinion
Israeli leaders fear alternatively this,
that 1 day the United States will no longer be willing or incapable to bear the main military burden than Iran itself.

That is why, according to his analysis, the fire of war should never be completely extinguished.

Because as shortly as Washington withdraws, there's a dangerous question immediately:
why the U.S. would later reinterpret militaryly —
For example, against Turkey, Iran or another regional opponents of Israel?

"Great Israel" and escalation in Lebanon

Macgregor's statements on Israel's strategical objectives in Lebanon are peculiarly controversial.

He openly claims that
Israel is now gradually trying to "gase" confederate Lebanon — that is, to destruct it militarily and to transform it into a controlled region in the long term.

This is part of a broader plan:
territorial enlargement and safety of Israel's policy.

Whether that assessment is correct or not —
It is different that the erstwhile U.S. Military Advisor is now publically speaking in these categories.

Turkey becomes a strategical rival.

The interview becomes even more breathtaking erstwhile Macgregor starts talking about Turkey.

He now considers Ankara to be 1 of Israel's most dangerous geopolitical rivals.

According to Macgregor, Turkish strategists are increasingly implementing Neo-Osmanian ideas:
spheres of influence in:

• Syria,
• Iraq,
• Lebanon
• and parts of the east Mediterranean.

He even reports discussions on Turkish maps of the ancient Ottoman territories that Ankara inactive sees as a historical sphere of influence.

This creates a completely fresh scenario: Israel could face face to face in the future
Not only with Iran, but besides with the increasing power of Turkey.

The fact that
Macgregor cites the statements of erstwhile Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, who stated that Turkey could be a longer-term opponent of Israel than Iran itself.

Egypt – underrated state of powder barrels

Macgregor besides warns against a phenomenon that Western media seldom say:
growing anger in Egypt.

It describes a country whose inhabitants are increasingly rebelling against government inactivity in the face of demolition in Gaza and Palestine.

Many Egyptians asked:

• Why isn't Egypt doing anything?
• Why does the largest arabian nation just stand by and watch?
• Why isn't anyone intervening?

Macgregor says:
If Egypt becomes internally destabilized,
The full mediate East could explode.

"Trump works emotionally, not strategically"

One of the sharpest parts of the interview is directed against Donald Trump himself.

Macgregor openly states:
The attacks on Iran have never been rationally calculated.

If it were strategical thinking,
Washington would never attack Iran.

In his opinion:

• Emotions prevailed over reason
• Trump is impulsive,
• and are increasingly under political pressure.

Macgregor was peculiarly critical
to the fact that Trump seemingly assumed that
The conflict will shortly end —
it was a misjudgement that could have disastrous effects.

Iran has adapted and is stronger than expected

Macgregor's assessment of the military situation is peculiarly alarming.

Explains:
Iran has now made a extremist adaptation of its armed forces:

• mobile rocket launchers are deployed
• distributed infrastructure
• Command structures stabilized,
• Analysis of Western flight patterns,
• Anti-aircraft defence adjusted.

In addition, they would have to:

• Russia,
• China,
• Satellite recognition,
• ISR systems,
• technical assistance
• and rocket support

Iran has become much more resilient.

Macgregor even claims that
Western air operations have become predictable,
while Iran's possible has been drastically underestimated.

Ormuz Strait as a global shock point

Energy supplies stay a key issue.
Further escalation can disrupt the full global energy architecture.

The Ormuz Strait is considered the most dangerous bottleneck in the world.

In case of escalation of a serious conflict:

• Oil prices can emergence rapidly,
• The supply chains are breaking down,
• The global economy has entered the shock phase.

Especially dramatic is that
Macgregor talks about a possible decade of global economical damage.

End of American military domination?

However, the most crucial part of the interview does not concern Iran,
but the United States alone.

Macgregor explains:
The full American military strategy of fresh decades is technologically outdated.

The Doctrine of planet Military Bases (‘Depleted Presence’) no longer works:

• modern rockets,
• Hypersonic weapons
• Drone swarms
• Satellite recognition,
• Precision impact

It would put large American bases at risk.

According to him, many bases in the mediate East are practically indefensible today.

The United States itself is simply a threat to its allies.

Macgregor goes even further:
American military presence is increasing
seen not as protection, but as a threat.

Because:
Wherever the U.S. bases are,
potential targets for attacks automatically emerge.

Therefore, in the future:

• Germany
• South Korea,
• Japan
• and another allies

More and more questioning the American presence.

Real Intelligence

Among all geopolitical analyses, there is 1 central message throughout the conversation:

The order of the planet changes faster than Washington is willing to accept.

Macgregor describes:

• America in a strategically excessive enlargement,
• Israel in increasing uncertainty,
• Iran, which is more resilient than expected,
• a Türkiye on the rise
• China and Russia as silent winners,
• and military doctrine, which is technologically falling apart.

His grim conclusion:
The U.S. may not win the war with Iran,
But they can inactive sharpen it.

And here is the top danger:
a conflict that was initially regional;
could turn into a global energy, military and systemic crisis,
the effects of which will scope far beyond the mediate East.