PO-PiS and 2 Confederates. specified a Sejm has not yet been [SONDAŻ]

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Such a Sejm has not yet been present, but it could if the predictions of the National investigation Group were confirmed, and parliamentary elections were held next Sunday. 2 confederations would enter the lower chamber of the Polish Parliament. The 3rd force would be the Confederation of Sławomir Mentzen and Krzysztof Bosak, and the last formation that would be able to cross the electoral threshold – Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun. specified a consequence would mean decisive dominance of the right on the Polish political stage.

Deaths with the latest OGB poll for the Stan360 portal Citizen Coalition can number on solid 38.12 percent support. Law and Justice ranks second, but with an almost 10-point difference in support. Jarosław Kaczyński's organization can number on 29.81 percent support.

Third place is the Confederate who would like to vote for 15.5% of the respondents. Another confederation would enter the Sejm – Confederation of the Polish Crown Grzegorz Braun with the support of 6.02% of respondents.

And... that's all. The remainder of the party, including four, whose members include mandates in this parliamentary term, would not enter the lower home of Parliament. Just below the threshold was Nowa Lewica with a score of 4.13%. The 5th place included the Polish People's organization with the support of 2.78% of respondents, then together with 2.03% of support and Poland 2050, for which only 1.61% of respondents would like to vote.

Turning the percent support into the number of mandates, the composition of the Sejm would be as follows:

Civil Coalition – 202 mandates

Law and Justice – 170 mandates

Confederation – 76 mandates

Confederation of the Polish Crown – 12 mandates

Majority – 231 seats

If the Confederate Coalition is established, it could form a government with the PiS or the Civic Coalition.

The current ruling coalition wins the majority in the election option in 1 block

The OGB besides prepared an option of joint launch of the ruling coalition in the next parliamentary elections, which would include: KO, Nowa Lewica, Poland 2050 and Polish People's Party.

This block would receive a full of 46.73 percent support, PiS – 28.7% votes, Confederation – 16.54 percent, and Grzegorz Braun's organization – 5.84%. The Sejm would not have entered together with the support of 2.19%.

Breakdown by mandate:

KO-PSL-PL2050-New Left block – 234 mandates (most Sejm)

Law and Justice – 144 mandates

Confederation – 75 mandates

Confederation of the Polish Crown – 7 mandates

The survey was conducted by CATI method on 15-22 October, on a group of 1000 respondents.

Source: OGB / state360 / polsantews.pl