What are the real losses of Ukrainians during the current war phase beyond our southeast border? No 1 knows, possibly even the command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
We know for certain that these are hundreds of thousands killed and most likely many more wounded. It is not worth mentioning about intellectual conditions: it is likely that individual will be conducting a survey on it in any time.
Moulding for All
The mobilization capabilities have actually exhausted. Further reports indicate that people over 50 years of age are now facing the front without any military training. A list of diseases has been depleted so far relieving the men suffering from them from the collection. A ticket to the army can now even be given to those suffering from tuberculosis and HIV. Kiev is reasoning intensively about how to bring together those fortunate people who managed to flee abroad before being "mogilized" (so called mobilisation in Ukraine).
"Mobilisation in Ukraine will increase soon" – says Meanwhile, a popular commentator, and until late an advisor to the Office of the president of Ukraine, Alexey Arestovich. According to him, shortly the rules will enter into force, according to which persons with an unregulated attitude to military service will not be able to undertake any legal work. If the war lasts 3 more years, they'll be in the army. "all Ukrainian men but very fewer exceptions". This means that hundreds of thousands more will not survive, and at best they will become disabled or mentally disturbed. Thus, it is hard to presume that they can start families and make children.
Demographic black hole
In the demographic divide Ukraine has been falling consistently for a long time, actually since the dissolution of the russian Union and its acquisition of statehood. This is confirmed by statistic from the following years. According to authors Article In The Wall Street Journal, the first six months of this year saw a 28% drop in birth rates compared to times before the current conflict phase. There has already been a clear regression in this area. First, it was caused by the emigration of millions more Ukrainians due to the economical and social devastation of this country, following the oligarchy-neoliberal "reforms". The first decline occurred in 2014, with the failure of the Crimea and part of Donbas's coup – the decrease was 12%.
Effect? Scary predictions of a demographic hole. Ukrainian Demograph Alexander Gladun believes that in the next 2 decades the number of Ukrainian citizens will fall to 30 million, while before February 2022 it was around 43 million. Let us emphasise: in this forecast, the thing about citizens, not residents. The latter, according to many estimates, are presently around 20 million. It is likely that erstwhile the war is over, those who last will gotta choose to emigrate, and the erstwhile migrants will have small to go back to.
Ukrainian genocide
If any action against the Ukrainian people (we presume its existence within the meaning of the state-citizen) could bear the meaning of genocide, then these are the decisions leading to the extension of the current armed conflict. It does not substance that Kiev was ordered to retreat the then British Prime Minister from the peace negotiations in March 2022. Boris Johnson. He can bear at least ethical responsibility. A much more severe political or even legal work should be borne by the current Ukrainian political class. The Ukrainians had no luck with it since the beginning of the past of their young statehood.
Is Volodymyr Zelenski and his squad will 1 day face a tribunal for their decisions leading to the liquidation of the Ukrainian people? most likely not. If they are not removed from power by their Anglo-Saxon protectors, they can even last in the form of any cabaret, puppet government in Kiev for years. There are not adequate people to organize another Majdan.
Mateusz Piskorski
