NATO aircraft shoot down Russian drones over Poland. respective Polish airports were closed at this airport. Chopin in Warsaw, for a fewer hours. Night emergency calls were created between Warsaw and NATO headquarters. What happened in Poland last night erstwhile Russian drones breached the country's airspace on the way to targets in Ukraine, just there is no precedent. Vladimir Putin's fresh aggression was a script that could have ended A fatal blow NATO and Russia, with real losses in people.
The fact that this did not happen – at least this time – was due to the fact that no of the Russian assassin drones seemingly caused any casualties in Poland. If they were not shot down during an air defence operation involving Dutch F-35 fighters, the communicative could have gone differently.
For now, we can draw the following conclusions. Above all, Putin's appetite for hazard and his willingness to test an alliance with the West has increased markedly. It has intensified night-time drone and rocket attacks on Ukrainian cities, and from a purely operational point of view it is reasonable for these missiles to scope targets from as many angles and directions as possible.
Any Russian attack on Western Ukraine would be more effective if drones could fly through Polish airspace. So far Putin has mostly avoided this option, most likely to minimize the hazard confrontation with NATO . But that's in the past. Since last night, he's willing to tolerate more risk.
Secondly, fresh events clearly gave Putin courage. Donald Trump's flattery to his Russian counterpart at the Alaska summit, multiple failure to impose tougher US sanctions and a continuous stream of meaningless terms convinced Putin that he could safely go further and intensify his night raids, even to the point that he would breach NATO's airspace on a large scale.
Instead of paving the way for peace, Mr Trump's exceptionally inept and incompetent diplomacy created conditions for another bloodshed.
Another leader who believes that his peculiar relation with Trump gives him the freedom to take greater risks and do almost everything he wants to do is Benjamin Netanyahu, Prime Minister of Israel. His Tuesday attack on Hamas leaders in Qatar was not only an act of war against the U.S. ally, but besides sabotaged American attempts to end the assassination in the Gaza Strip.
Putin in the same way shows his complete contempt for America's efforts to solve the war in Ukraine. He behaves this way due to the fact that he is convinced that even now there will be no retaliation from Trump.
So far, 1 threshold seems not to be exceeded. Russian drones have breached Polish airspace, but there are no reports of rockets doing the same. That would be another rung of the escalation ladder. If Russian rockets began flying at night over Polish cities and villages, we would be even closer to the death of a immense number of people on earth, with all the consequences.
If Putin decides to take this step, it is due to the fact that he is convinced that Trump's patience will never end. Due to failing diplomacy, Putin's calculations have changed in a way that makes this conflict even more dangerous.