The latest presidential poll commissioned by TVN24 featured the first major shuffle. Although the ranking leader remains the same, 1 of the candidates amazed by a clear increase in support. The results propose that the fight for presidency is entering a new, more dynamic phase.
In a presidential poll published on 24 April, conducted by Opana24 for "Facts" of TVN and TVN24, Rafał Trzaskowski inactive holds first place. The candidate of the Civic Coalition, presently acting as president of Warsaw, can number on the support of 32 percent of respondents. Although he inactive leads the race for the presidential seat, his score marks a 1-point drop compared to the April 9 survey.
Karol Nawrocki of the Law and Justice
The second place in the ranking is Karol Nawrocki, representing the Law and Justice. His numbers increased importantly – he gained as much as 4 percent points compared to the erstwhile study, reaching 26 percent. This is the biggest increase among all candidates, which can show an effective election run or a change in social sentiment.
Stable position of Sławomir Mentzen
The podium closes Sławomir Mentzen of the Confederate. His support remains unchanged – 15 percent. Despite the deficiency of growth, maintaining a unchangeable consequence may be good news for Mentzen's staff in the context of keeping in the lead of candidates.
Other candidates: Hołównia and Zandberg with minimal changes
The 4th place is taken by Szymon Hołownia, the leader of Poland 2050 and the candidate of the 3rd Way and besides the Marshal of the Sejm. It obtained 6% of the vote – this is an increase of 1 percent point compared to the erstwhile measurement. The 5th position was taken by Adrian Zandberg of the Together Party, who maintained support at 5%.
Left and independent: tiny profits and stagnation
Grzegorz Braun (Confederation) and Magdalena Biejat (Levice) were placed in further positions, with a consequence of 4% each. It is worth noting that Biejat saw an increase in support of 2 percent points while Braun's support remained unchanged.
Krzysztof Stanowski with 2 percent support (an increase of 1 point) and Joanna Senyszyn and Marek Jakubiak, who won 1 percent of the vote. They are candidates with marginal influence on the course of the race, although they should not be completely ignored.
Undecided
From crucial changes, it is worth noting that the number of undecided voters has clearly decreased – only 1% of respondents declare a deficiency of decision on the choice of candidate. That's 9 percent points little than the April 9 poll. This may mean that the run is gaining momentum and voters are starting to talk more clearly on a peculiar side.
Possible second round: Trzaskowski with advantage, but rival chases
If a second circular were to take place with Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki, the current poll shows that the president of Warsaw would win 51% of the votes, and his rival with the Law and Justice – 45 percent of respondents inactive do not know who they would vote for.
Compared to the survey on 9 April the differences are clear – Trzaskowski gained 7 percent points (from 44 percent), and Nawrocki improved the score by 7 points (from 38 percent). At the same time, the number of undecided in this hypothetical second circular decreased from 18% to just 4%, suggesting that the electorate is increasingly crystallizing.
