Martín Izaguirre Salgado retained a souvenir of his work on a liquid gas tanker, which was shelled in the Red Sea 2 years ago. Four missiles exploded so close to his ship. There were tiny shrapnel on board.
"Some of these exhibits I keep at home," said Salgado, who has worked as a sailor since 2021.
For commercial sailors specified as Salgado, president Donald Trump presently has small to say, which would convince them to sail through the Strait of Ormuz. Trump promised to supply government insurance policies and sea escorts to keep ships moving. However, Iran's threats of attacking ships in the region outweigh the promises of support.
"As long as they fire on merchant ships with rockets and drones, the sense of danger will persist," said CNN of the Gulf oil tanker.
The main shipping lines of Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd stopped receiving most cargo destined for Gulf countries. Since the outbreak of fighting in Iran on the weekend, maritime insurers have withdrawn war insurance for shipping companies.
Trump's plan is to guarantee that shipping companies can flow through the strait. However, Gene Seroka, executive manager of the Los Angeles port, said he knew no shipping line that would take that risk.
"I have no evidence that (these promises) can be fulfilled," said Seroka, who had previously worked for the American president Lines in the mediate East. “I just don’t see how that can happen, given all my years in the industry. And I do not see how we could put people at even greater hazard and become targets for attacks on the open sea." Seroka said that after talking to representatives of shipping companies, he determined that a ceasefire would be needed to resume the movement of commercial ships.
"I see no request to decision cargo and put crew and resources in danger," he added.
US certain escort plans
High rank A U.S. administration authoritative told CNN that for now "there is no circumstantial timetable" for the launch of the naval escort, but coordinated action was taken to establish the conditions of the operation as shortly as possible.
"At the moment, physical safety is the biggest problem," said a high-ranking administrative authoritative on Friday. "Today we do not want to carry a large tanker through the Strait of Ormuz, but this will change in the close future".
US representatives believe that the Strait is part of an active conflict region in which Iran has taken action to attack respective tankers.
The military focuses first on limiting the anticipation of Iran's “terrorizing” the region, said an official, but only then will it be able to aid reconstruct the movement of ships from the Strait of Ormuz.
The administration is besides not afraid by the emergence in oil and gas prices, which led to an increase in the average price of the US gallon to the highest level in Trump's current term.
"The most crucial thing is that present we are dealing with a conflict that will have a transitional character," said the official. "The planet is absolutely without the hazard of oil or energy depletion as a consequence of this conflict, but we experience short-term price fluctuations".
However, the administration's actions over the last fewer days bear witness to the level of concern that is not reflected in Trump's more optimistic public statements and its key officials.
Risk to more than 1 tanker
The shipping manufacture has serious concerns about operating so close to the war zone.
As Sanne Manders, president of Flexport, a global transport logistics company, said, the companies primarily care about crew safety. However, they do not want to put their cargo ships at hazard even if they are promised insurance.
There are besides serious doubts as to whether there are a adequate number of naval vessels to escort merchant ships, given that there are on average 60 or more tankers passing through the strait all day.
"Sea escorts would aid reduce the threat to protected ships," said Jakob Larsen, manager of Safety and safety of the Danish shipping association BIMCO. "On the another hand, providing protection for all tankers operating in areas presently at hazard by Iran is unrealistic as it would require a very large number of warships and another military resources".
Gallo Images/Orbital Horizon/Copernicus Sentinel Data 2025
As Helima Croft noted, the global chief of natural materials strategy at RBC Capital Markets and erstwhile CIA analyst who worked in the agency during the Iraq War, during the earlier Iraq-Iranian war the US military provided escorts to tankers flowing from oil-rich Gulf states.
But he does not believe that specified a solution would have worked today, due to the fact that then these countries were not straight attacked.
"We were not active fighters at the time," she said. “We are the main hero. We do not service as an auxiliary escort.”
Increasing costs of all shipments
Soon, shippers will face rising fuel prices. The world's largest container carrier, MSC, has already announced fuel subsidies for shipments that will apply at least until April. These costs are likely to be passed on to companies and yet to consumers. But if the ships don't start moving again, there will be more serious problems.
One of the main concerns is that the crisis will disrupt the full global supply chain, as was the case at the highest of the pandemic. Empty containers at inappropriate locations, blocked ships outside ports and another logistical problems dramatically increased the prices of a wide scope of goods.
"The longer it takes, the more likely there will be congestion in the port," said Manders of Flexport, adding that ships sailing to the Persian Gulf will go elsewhere.
"Ports, especially in Asia, are full enough... This will affect global shipping," he added.
The Gulf States, which are allies of the United States, are besides cut off from deliveries. This is crucial due to the fact that six Gulf countries – Oman, Saudi Arabia, United arabian Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait – It imports about 85% of its food.
The Salgado ship has been on anchor outside Iraq since February 26, about 400 nautical miles from the strait. He's inactive waiting to be loaded and taken to Bangladesh.
His contract was originally due to expire on Friday. He inactive regrets that there is no more day to go home to Spain.
"This is how we feel now, we are stuck in a dead end and we are incapable to foretell erstwhile we can log out," he said.
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