A truce on paper only. In practice, as Jacek Palasiński shows in "Allegro has no troppo", the mediate East is inactive on the brink, and the planet is relieved to grasp any communicative that allows to announce the end of the crisis. but this crisis isn't over.
Donald Trump politically did not lose this war, but he besides did not win it. The announcement of a ceasefire allows him to sale the public a image of an effective leader who stopped the apocalypse. And this – more than real stabilization – could be his top success.
Palasiński aptly points western relief response. As shortly as the bombs are silent, the victims, the infrastructure destroyed, the wounded soldiers, the broken states and the bill that is yet to come will cease. 1 thing that matters is that tankers are to sail again, and oil prices will not get out of control.
The real weapons of Iran were not rockets
The war unexpectedly showed that Iran's most crucial tool was neither a rocket program nor a atomic program, but the ability to close the Strait of Ormuz.
This rapidly put force on the US and their allies. In an effort to prevent Iran from developing weapons of mass destruction, the United States gave it another – control over the global energy trade.
In the commentary the subject of the Strait of Ormuz is peculiarly reverberating. That's where the truce doesn't mean normal. Formally, the way was to be opened, but the real movement remained paralyzed, with the threat of forceful control and political blackmail hanging over the trade.
Palasiński shows the fundamental thing: Iran's top strength was not a atomic or rocket program, but the ability to strangle the planet economy with 1 transport throat. That's why the planet was so tense about all message from Ormuz.
The Iranians are alone
The most poignant are fragments of temper in Iran itself. After the bombings stopped, there was no relief, but the fear that erstwhile the bombs stopped, "regime rifles" would be called. That's 1 of the strongest sentences of the full comment.
Palasiński shows the drama of people who hoped to weaken the regime, and present fear that they were betrayed. The planet will take distant Iran's atomic problem, but will leave the Iranians with a violent apparatus stronger than before.
The second strong accent is the truce scenes. Not the UN, not Europe, not a large slogan about peace, but a hard business. Pakistan as an intermediary, China as a silent architect of pressure, its own trade routes and its own strategical accounts. The area is not born in ethics, it's from calculation.
And possibly that's why Jack Pałasiński's comment stays in his head. due to the fact that he doesn't tell a communicative about the triumph of diplomacy. It talks about a planet where a truce is frequently just a gap between subsequent scenes of the same chaos.
It is worth watching the full comment, and it is available on our YouTube channel on Thematic.
