If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the winner would be Law and Justice, gaining 30.5% of support - according to the latest IBRiS poll. The second place would be the Citizens' Coalition, which recorded the biggest drop in quotations from all groups. The survey besides took into account the situation of Poland 2050 and PSL after the breakdown of the 3rd Way.
The latest IBRiS studio poll for Onetu shows that voting for Law and Justice declared 30.5% of respondents. This is simply a decrease of 1.7 percent points compared to the survey last month.
She's in second place. Civil Coalition with 25.8% support. The group counted a drop in support of 7.6 percent points compared to the last poll.
SEE: They asked Poles about expectations of the government. There's a fresh poll.
Political podium closes Confederation with a score of 16.8% and a decrease of 0.3 percent points.
In the Sejm there would besides be a debut in the poll Confederation of the Polish Crown. Grouping Grzegorz Braun won 5.1 percent. support.
Quotations of the 3rd Road after the breakup. Groups under the electoral threshold
The authors of the survey indicated that except the Sejm both parties would be present until late forming The 3rd Way, then. Poland 2050 with 4.6-proc. support and PSL, for which 4 percent of the respondents declared to vote. The survey indicated that the earlier measurement gave their coalition 6-percent support.
Outside the parliament there would besides be Total Party, for which 3.9% of respondents declared to vote (an increase of 1.4 percent points).
3.2% of respondents chose the answer "I don't know/difficult to say".
SEE: Support for Poles for Ukraine. The poll leaves no illusions
The simulation conducted by Onet, based on this survey, shows that PiS would have won in the Sejm 192 mandates (reduction of 2 mandates, compared to the October 2023 elections).
Civil Coalition would get 154 mandates (decline by 3 mandates) and the Confederation 95 seats (growth by 77). The Left would receive 19 seats (decline by 7), and the Confederation of the Polish Crown would receive 6 tickets.
The survey was conducted by the Institute for marketplace and Social investigation of IBRiS on 23-24 June 2025 on a nationwide example of 1.1 1000 people. The survey was conducted by telephone utilizing standardized questionnaire interviews supported by computer-aided (CATI).
Politicians comment on the fall in KO ratings. "Donald Tusk passes disaster"
A large drop in support of the Civic Coalition in the latest poll has not escaped the attention of politicians. "The latest poll. PO up to 7 percent down and right close to the constitutional majority" - noted Euro MP PiS Patrick Jako.
Mr Confederate besides commented on the survey Przemysław Wipler. "Donald Tusk ate appetizers, himself besides He's had a disaster.. If the buses arrive with thousands of refugees, and it will be this time next year, then in the next election the Tuska organization will get a worse score than the Kamrats" - said the politician.
SEE: So many PiS voters want Andrzej Duda in the party. fresh poll
According to the head of the fresh Left Parliamentary Club Anna Maria Żukowska the inheritance of the KOs is the effect of accepting members of that organization Romana Giertych. "Congratulations (...) keep doing that," commented the MP.
"If even the IBRIS (and this on behalf of Der Onet!) gives the Confederation of the Polish Crown a consequence above 5 percent, delight know that this force can no longer be calculated" - he stated in turn Jacek Wilk, a erstwhile Confederate MP who late joined the Braun Party. "We're going for a two-digit score. in the upcoming elections to the Sejm" - announced the politician.
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