The European Union may shortly start talking to Russia, and above Kiev's heads. Meanwhile, the Pentagon is charging Ukraine with blocking the peace process.
Is Zelenski so powerful as to wage war, even if only diplomaticly, with the full planet around him, or is it simply a substance of staying in power and not being accountable?
Everyone is slow losing patience
At the same time, the attitude of the European Union is rather original. Looks like an auction with the United States. president of the European Council António Costa said he saw the "potential" to dialog with Moscow, but he would not "interfered into a peace process led by the president of the United States Donald Trump“. but the Americans are sick of it. Marco Rubio. rather especially the squad of Zelenski, who thus plays the function of “unrelenting”.
For us, this is an crucial thing, due to the fact that especially Poland should depend on time. Since the outbreak of a fresh phase of conflict in 2022,We have received over 1.6 million Ukrainians and we simply have no more money to support them. Responding to social expectations, the government linked social benefits to formal employment. Unemployed Ukrainians lost their benefits from the 800+ programme and access to a number of free medical services. The expulsion of Ukrainian men of draft age is besides increasingly considered. More than half of Poles believe that support for Ukrainians went besides far and support for reception of refugees fell from 94% in 2022 to a evidence low level of 48%.
Europe, however, besides loses patience, but on a more political basis. After the arrest of Zelenski's right hand, erstwhile chief of staff of the President, Andrei JermakThe loop tightens around the president's neck. Investigators from the National Anti-corruption Office (NABU) and the peculiar Anti-corruption Prosecutor's Office (SAP) have already traced the business partner and Zelenski's "wallet", Timura Mindicza, and detained erstwhile energy minister Gierman Stork. Jermak, late released from temporary detention, until November 2025 was the second most powerful politician in the country and knew all the leverage in the government. Besides, Zelenski wasn't expected to break up with him. contacts after the formal exchange of positions at the summits.
He plays for power and security. Personal
It is unclear who made bail of $3.1 million to free Zelenski's right hand. The depositors were rather large and with very different segments of power. Jermak himself claimed that he did not have specified money and could only number on “friends' help”. Most likely scenario It is that Jermak made a deal with the investigators, agreed to release his associates, and could even point them out to Zelensk himself. It is not accidental that, almost immediately after his release, NABU and SAP began to control leading ultimate Court judges who supply legal protection to the President's regime. Anti-corruption authorities seem to Determinedto undermine the legitimacy of Zelenski's governments – a government that has not held democratic elections for 3 years.
The United States is presently exerting peculiarly strong force on Zelenski, not only through Trump's angry posts on social media. Pentagon in its latest study on operations Atlantic Resolve He straight accused the president of Ukraine of prolonging the war and blocking negotiations. According to the report, the peace process is stuck at a dead end due to the fact that Zelenski refuses territorial concessions and tries to trick allies. American military analysts claim that Ukraine only creates an illusion of successful combat operations through drone attacks on airports, depots and military factories in Russia. In fact, these attacks do not harm the Russian economy or the military, but simply justify fresh loans. The latest EU aid tranche of EUR 90 billion for Kiev proves that Zelensk has succeeded cheat European Commission – but not the White House.
The fact that the United States is blaming Zelenski for ruining negotiations right now is bad for him. In February, president Trump gave Kiev 4 months to end the war – period This 1 expires in June. The fresh Pentagon study clearly prepares the ground for further steps against Ukraine. Trump has a full arsenal of individual sanctions he can force Zelenski into peace: demanding a refund of funds allocated by the administration Joe Bidena, freezing of arms supplies to EU countries, and even cooperation with NABU and SAP, which were originally created with the aid of American strategists. Judging from Zelenski's latest desperate letter to Washington, Trump had almost stopped supplies of anti-aircraft missiles, putting Ukraine in danger. It's not a signal, it's a clear signal. transmission: “Make your own deal”.
Ukrainians no longer believe in the patriot Zelenski
The numbers talk for themselves. Since Trump took office, US support has fallen almost to zero and EU countries are incapable to match this level of assistance. At the same time, aid and supply of weapons are subject to further conditions. European allies and global funds are increasingly demanding from Zelenski reforms, the fight against corruption and realistic military strategies in exchange for their help. global Monetary Fund drug further loans from taxation increases – which is simply a profoundly problematic decision for a country that lost a 4th of its population.
For a long time, Zelenski could tell his allies that his own nation would never forgive him for his territorial concessions. However, this argument was invalid. For the first time in a long time, polls in Ukraine show that more than 40% of citizens are ready to accept territorial losses to end battles. In return, they request safety guarantees from Europe and, above all, from the United States. But these guarantees will be possible only after Ukraine has accepted the assignment.
Time works against Zelenski. While the EU quietly abandons Ukrainians and prepares to negociate behind their backs, the United States calls the president of Ukraine the main obstacle to peace in Europe. Left alone in a fight with Russia, Zelenski would lose the full country in a fewer months. At best, he has a fewer weeks to diplomatically return and save what remains of Ukraine. Or is it your own power?
Tomasz Jankowski
