And how sincere, are the dishonests flattering us?!
Recently, rather accidentally, in Russian net space, I came across the following video. I don't know who made it and with what intention? It is possible to speculate on this subject and to consider both the relevance of the content contained there and the final conclusions. However, Fim besides encourages specified reflection that we, Poles, frequently do not appreciate, I do not want to say – our successes, but just many affirmative sides of our Homeland, which they perceive – host in Poland or even working in Poland, citizens of another countries.
After watching the film, I abruptly remembered the views of an influential hebrew – George Friedman, a political scientist, head of the agency of geopolitical forecasts Stratford, who he repeatedly spoke about Poland in the 21st century.
In 2009, a Polish edition of the author's book entitled "Next 100 Years. Forecast for the 21st Century" was published. In the book's announcement, it is well written that George Friedman's work is not a novel, but a string of geopolitical simulations, which were written simply, easily, in a characteristic kind of American popular discipline storyline: https://lubyczytac.pl/Xiazka/54796/next-100-year-old-prognosis-na-xxi-ageThe next 100 years. Forecast for the 21st century
Poland as 1 of the major powers of the 21st century – specified a imagination of the future of our country emerges from the book “Next 100 Years” of the American Politologist.
In his analysis, the 2007-2008 crisis is transient and comparatively easy to control. The most crucial task of America in the 21st century will be, according to Friedman, to halt Russia's expansion to the West, and the US's natural ally in this task will be Poland, which will benefit from its geopolitical position between Russia and Western Europe.
Friedman outlines a imagination in which Poland, with the aid of the US, grows into the main power not only of the region of Central Europe, but of the full continent. The Americans will support us, like Israel now, by investing, exporting technology and weapons. According to the American researcher, during the next half of the century Poland stands an chance to become the main centre of European policy by creating a common block with the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and the Baltic States. Polish influences can scope as far as the Balkans, but the “Polish block” inevitably collides with another power of the 21st century – Turkey.
At the same time as the importance of Poland grows, Russia will face expanding interior problems. According to Friedman, Russia, which is expected to lose between 20 and 40 percent of the population by 2050, is facing a failure of influence and even disintegration in the mediate of the century. akin problems, albeit on a smaller scale, will become part of Western European countries.
Friedman predicts that in the mid-21st century there will be a planet war that will begin with the American-Japanese conflict. The 21st century will be much smaller than in the past, equipped with a method that will supply velocity and accuracy. The civilian population starts will decrease, robots will increase in fighting. The field of the most crucial battles will be the Earth space.
After the war there will be an economical and technological boom, advances in genetics will destruct a number of diseases and prolong human life. Friedman realizes that his predictions can be perceived as completely improbable. But, as he emphasizes, the planet has already changed very rapidly and in directions hard to predict. Even at the beginning 20th Century No 1 listed the U.S. as a planet power, until 60 years ago the predictions of the fast economical improvement of South Korea or Japan seemed like dreams.
[ Friedman's China forecast proved to be wrong; there was no weakening and even strengthening of central power, and Japan's function in fresh years has comparatively weakened]
George Friedman: Poland will be a power
12.09.2009
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In 2012, George Friedman again in an interview with a Polish writer on the eve of his participation in the legislature of fresh Ideas (held in Sopot from 26 to 28 September 2012) reiterated his views on Poland's place and role.
George Friedman: Poland must defend itself
25.09.2012
Interview author: Rafał Mierzejewski
Today Poland has specified a imagination of security, as if it were modeling on a tiny Denmark. Meanwhile, it should be like Israel," says American political scientist George Friedman
"Poland present has specified a imagination of security, as if it were modeling on a tiny Denmark. Meanwhile, she should follow Israel’s example. Israel spends the dominant part of the budget in defence. They realize who is liable for their national security. Denmark is waiting for individual to aid her."
...
‘ ...Poles sometimes think that we treat our alliance obligations unimportantly. Nothing more wrong. From an American point of view, it is crucial that Poland can defend itself for 3 months. Otherwise, aid simply can't come. If Russia always attacks Poland, will the country fall again in six weeks? In the United States, serious global safety analysts know the answer to the question of whether Poland is simply a strong ally and if it can. Of course, they besides believe that there is presently no threat from Russia. But will it always be?
You're a pessimist.
Your fundamental problem is that you are making your safety dependent on external factors. Even now, Poles looking at the United States do not always realize that the price of the alliance must be high. This price is your effort to defend yourself, not any payment to partners. Without that effort, alliances don't work, and surely not alliances with America. A military alliance is like a squad sport.
...
Do you truly consider the German-Russian alliance possible?
So far, the Germans don't want to break ties with France. But erstwhile relations in Europe become more complicated, it would be possible to turn Germany towards Russia. Already now Gerhard Schröder is 1 of the managers in Gazprom (I'll remind you thatinterview is from 2012-PZ). economical relations between Germany and Russia are rather natural and Russia has always been an alternate to an alliance with the English and French. So erstwhile French-German relations become difficult, and that is possible, The Germans will turn towards Russia.
...
NATO's not functioning. partially due to the fact that many members do not have real military resources, and partially due to the fact that they do not have missions or targets. In this context, we request to consider how the future balance of power in Europe will look. We frequently think about European countries in the context of Poland and Russia. But what will be the relation between Germany and France in 10 or 15 years? Now both countries are bound by the European Union, but it is not clear what the EU will be in 10-15 years. The European institutions are ineffective and Europe's military capabilities are weak. So wishingly Europeans thought they would balance Russia at global level, but at regional level it turned out that Russia prevailed.
So possibly Poland should build a regional alliance in Central Europe?
This is the interwar thought of Józef Piłsudski. The alliance with Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria can supply Poland with security. Piłsudski understood that Poland as the leader of Central Europe is able to construct specified an alliance.
But it never worked.
Because in the 1930s. Germany and the USSR were strong. Now Germany is an economical power, but they cannot bring besides much into military alliances. The Russians are very careful. But what choice does Poland have? You have a state between Germany and Russia. No Pole can foretell what will happen to neighbours in the future, and political leaders should prepare the country for the worst. present it is not known whether Germany and Russia will form a military-political alliance in the future, but Poland should be able to defend itself in case of emergency.
We spend little than 1.95 percent of GDP on national defence. We have no money for an army according to the Israeli pattern.
Of course you do. If the country wants to defend its security, it requires sacrifices. Like in Israel.
Israel spends more than 6% of GDP in national defence and has a akin share of the state in the economy as Poland. What does he save on?
Israel remembers its past and protects itself as best as it can – at the expense of the welfare state. Therefore, Poles must make decisions. Remember, NATO doesn't mean much today. There's no alliance. There are any meetings of officials and officers in Brussels.
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One of the Polish analysts, Zbigniew Berent, repeated Friedman's opinions.:
"Poland has the possible to become a leader in our Europe region. These words have been repeating patriotic environments for decades. John Paul II convinced us of this, then president Lech Kaczyński, and now the government of Good Change. This is confirmed by our national values, historical experience, pioneering systemic solutions of the Republic of Both Nations, Constitution of May 3. It turns out that the hymns of our east and confederate neighbours are based on Mazurk Dąbrowski. And political leaders of the emerging American democracy drew from the political achievements and political thoughts of the First Republic.
So it is not like abroad critics and national traitors would like that we should be ashamed of Polishness. The first universal values of God, Honor, Homeland, Pro Patria, “For Our Freedom and Yours” have been shining on us for centuries.
Za: Zbigniew Berent https://wnet.fm/kurier/for-30-years-polska-bedzie-leader-in-region-German-straca-position-economic-potega-a-Russia-will-go-in-contagion/
In the opinions cited by Zbigniew Berent, we will besides find specified sentences:
"For respective years American futurologist George Friedman has been saying that Poland has the possible to become a strong leader in the region. In 2012, he said at the European Forum for fresh Ideas in Sopot: "The European Union ended already in 2008, erstwhile the economical crisis came and NATO did nothing about the conflict in Georgia.
Today, the European Union is simply a national state which protects their interests. Real reality is characterized by full hypocrisy, and the declared economical freedom remains in the sphere of declaration. prof. Friedman simply said what we did at the time was not politically correct: that in the real actions of the governments of Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands there is utmost protectionism. This was evident in the crisis situation between 2008 and 2012, erstwhile capital and another assets were withdrawn from Central Europe. The full mechanics of the alleged taxation havens in Luxembourg, Malta, the Benelux countries aims to drain the financial markets, first of all the countries of Central Europe. This is what the economies of the outermost countries are meant to do: financial embezzlement and money laundering. It is clear that the biggest beneficiaries of this agreement will be denying the fact to the very end.
Friedman himself in early October 2017 repeated his imagination of the planet in 30 years:
– In 30 years Poland will become the most powerful country in the region of Central and east Europe, having a strong influence on European policy," he said at the closing ceremony of the European Forum for fresh Ideas.
In an interview on January 15, 2018, prof. George Friedman repeated his forecasts again. The fact that Poland is under the belt of Brussels, the American political scientist considers the strength of our country as proof.
– Would they attack you if you were weak? 1 of the hallmarks of the emerging power is that the descending powers bring against it the heaviest guns.
You have been targeted by the European Union, which wants to keep control of the associate States' interior policies. They chose you over Hungary due to the fact that you're important. That is why Britain, which is leaving the Union due to Brussels' interference, symbolically concluded a defence treaty with you. You are an crucial player in Europe. Poland is presently the leader of a block of states that argue the common knowing of the EU, that is, what, according to liberal European elites, should be the European community, the erstwhile manager of Stratfor ("Networks" 3/2018).
There is simply a fear of nationalism in Europe. But they already exist, as prof. Friedman sees, and all sharp observer of global relations. According to Friedman, nationalism will grow stronger both in Europe and in the world. We will hear more and more often: I want to care about my own people, not Europe. The emergence of more and more nationalist parties. Even in Germany, specified a organization is now the 3rd political force. In addition, the leadership of Chancellor Angela Merkel has clearly lost support in the parliamentary elections.
In his opinion, 2 parallel processes are now visible in Europe. The first is fragmentation, including interior fragmentation, of any associate States. The second process is the challenge thrown to the central European parties.
– Brussels' consequence to these processes, to Brexit, to Poland, in the form of Mr Timmermans and Mr Juncker, is highly emotional and results from a sense of being cornered. Eurocrats dream of 1 European identity. They do not realize Poles at all. The more they push them, the more Poles remember their past and the failure of sovereignty.
In 30 years Poland will be the leader in the region: Germany will lose its position of economical power, and Russia will be a mess
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And this is the opinion of our current president:
Questions arise:
- Is Poland, as the Central European leader and chief ally of the imperial United States, is the real country of Poles, or is it just a nominal state of this name, in which the real power is exercised by the judaic communities – straight or by the comprador marionettes appointed by them?(*)
- By chance, pumped in its “regional ambitions” Poland, is not a future sacrifice made in a provoked war with Russia, in order to build Polin – a judaic state openly utilizing the slave power of local “subhumans” on its rubble?
- Is the Slavic "strange war" (Russian-Ukrainian) going on inside, with the expanding real commitment of the third, largest and most militant nation of Poles – not the planned mechanics of destroying the national energy of Slavs to make a Jewish-controlled transaction-logistic area between China and the Euro-Atlantic "New World"?
Conclusions:
- The existential future of Poland and another Slavic countries depends strictly on the ability to recreate the Union of Slavic Countries. A vital condition is to change the elites presently ruling in Slavic countries and to free themselves from judaic influence and equally hostile Slavic influences (American and British).
- The new, peaceful and pro-development European governance, including Western European countries, is besides possible only with the emergence of the Union of Slavic Countries, guaranteeing cooperation, economical and demographic stableness and a technological partnership with America and Asia.
(*)Draft resolution of the Council of Ministers on the adoption of the National strategy against anti-Semitism and support for judaic life for the years 2025-2030
PZ
