Demography of Europe and 2 million Germans

maciejsynak.blogspot.com 3 weeks ago



The subject of the post is theoretical reflection on:

- if the population increases over time
- how to check the share of 5 columns in the population
- how the population is affected by 5 column and abroad peculiar services

For the purposes of deduction, I have adopted a very simplified scheme, surely bearing many errors. I print the subject on a rule - to inspire people with the right cognition and methodology to investigation in this area.



I was wondering about these "lost" during the war 2 million Germans.

I uncertainty that they were lost, alternatively they were scattered throughout Europe, in the worst option - they remained only in Poland impersonating Poles. I'm certain there's individual left, just wondering how many.

Are these 2 million in Poland, or is it in the full of the II of Poland, or in another countries? Was there 2 million or more? How many of those killed on the front survived and impersonated?

There are clearly links between UPA and the Nazis, the "opposition" in Belarus besides refers to the flag of the puppet Belarusian government formed by the Germans.

It can inactive be assumed that this happened in the countries occupied by Germany, now the question of how much they were distributed in east Europe, in the Balkans.

How powerful they are today.


And against this background - how to see what size the German population would have today, which would possibly have secretly blended into Polish society after the war.

In fact, there are suitable patterns for calculating population growth over a given period of time, but it's besides complicated for me. I looked at the Wikipedia demography of various countries in Europe.

I made a table in my notebook and it came to my attention that after 80 years - counting from 1920 - about half of the population from 1920 arrived, for example, in France or Italy. I was wondering, is there possibly a universal surviving "rule" that says that a given community in peace conditions over the last 80 years is demographically increasing by half the state from the start year (i.e. from erstwhile we start checking)? And would it be a good way to see how the number of Germans in Poland grew? Theoretically, specified a "rule" exists.

Can You foretell very simple, that each population will increase by 1/2 of the values from 1920 (it is known that they are migrants)?

In any case, I make this presumption here, and I mention to this presumption in the text.


So I wrote out this table and it looks like this:
- half of the value of 1920 is entered in the first column
- in the "pluses" columns - if the population grew in the next decade
- "miss" means:

for Poland "should be" 26,7+13,35 = 40,05 million people - and there is 38.7 million, i.e. "missing" us 1.35 million people, but for Italy for example - there is no shortage in them, but there is more about 3 million people - they crossed the "standard".



After the war, France, Germany and the United Kingdom accepted a very large number of migrants from Africa or Asia - I do not know what this is included in the statistics, so my remarks are affected by any mistake.

So here's the deal.

Poland, Germany, large Britain, Romania and Russia - they deficiency population in relation to the "predicted" condition: +1/2 states of 1920.

France is aiming precisely at the plan, but that statistic are likely to reflect the influx of African and another populations - that is, theoretically, native French people are little than it should be - about the amount of external migration.

Italy, Spain and Ukraine have even recorded a crucial increase over the "founded plan", Bulgaria has somewhat improved its consequence - i.e. in these countries "there is no shortage" of the population, and even it is simply a small better than theoretically expected to be.


1.5 million "miss" in Poland - what can be caused?

- migration for work abroad?
- reproduction fluctuations
- other

According to statistics, Poland lost 11 million citizens as a consequence of the war - we are most frequently talking about 6 million killed, murdered - but 7 million of lost Borders (the statistic of Ukraine number the 7 million on their plus) and 6 million killed gives 13 million, and where are those who fled to the border and stayed there?


Germany - the largest "miss" of the countries mentioned, surprises because:
- postwar years are economical prosperity
- large influx of foreigners

And despite that, 10 million people lost?

Did they leave for Spain, Italy, Ukraine?
To Poland? How about the U.S.?

Is it possible that in the post-war years there was a population exchange in Poland - who yet kept a hold on everything?


The UK besides surprises: "no" for nearly 7 million people despite a large influx of foreigners

Maybe in Germany and Britain there was more moral relaxation, the availability of contraception, consent to abortion?

Data on Ukraine and Russia besides burdened with additional errors, i.e. I did not get into details of population exchange between these countries.


However, I note that Ukrainian data in wikipedia are alternatively incorrect, due to the fact that according to the wiki after the accession of the Polish territory in 1939, about 7 million people arrived in Ukraine - that is, as much as they lived in occupied areas, and we know that there were escapes about Poland, exports to Siberia, mass murders, etc.















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