Desperate effort to save Trzaskovsky? The unusual Sonder

A fewer hours after the first poll showed up indicating that Karol Nawrocki was the favourite of the second circular of the election, a unusual survey showed that Trzaskowski's lead had increased by 5 percent points over the last month. The dry thread on Opinii24 did not leave the CEO of the OGB studio, who straight challenged these results. Shocking information on the backdrop of this controversial survey was revealed by PiS MP Sebastian Łukaszewicz.

A fresh presidential poll of the Opin24 studio was published for RMF 24, which presented absurd data to which all another major studies carried out late contradict.

Results

This survey shows that Rafał Trzaskowski is fundamentally a strong favourite of the presidential election.

The highest percent of respondents would vote for Rafał Trzaskowski, both in the first (35.3 percent) and second circular (52.4 percent)

— handed over.

Karol Nawrocki, on the another hand, pointed to 22.1 percent of respondents in the first circular and 35.2 percent in the second round. The others are indecisive.

The 3rd would be Sławomir Mentzen with 13.2 percent support. Further seats were taken: Szymona Hołownia (6.8%), Grzegorz Braun (2.9%), Magdalena Biejat (2.2%), Adrian Zandberg (1.5%) and Marek Jakubiak (0.9%).

The survey was carried out on 20-24 January on a typical example of 1001 people, according to the survey.

Conflicting data

The problem is that these studies are contradictory to fundamentally all major pollers who have presented their polls in fresh days.

They all pointed to a drastic simplification in differences between Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki and in the survey of the National investigation Group (OGB) for StoryWall_OGB at TikToku, there was even a pass in the second round, where a citizen candidate supported by the Law and Justice Group overtook the deputy PO.

The poll shows that Trzaskowski is growing

However, this is not the end of the hard to believe results published by the studio. The Opinia24 poll shows that among the strong voters, Rafał Trzaskowski would be paralyzed by 41.6 percent of voters and Karol Nawrocki by 26 percent. In the second circular Trzaskowski would win as much as 59.8% to 40.2%.

But this is not the end of absurdities. This survey, contrary to all another studies, suggests that the advantage of Trzaskovsky would allegedly increase. In the survey of the same studio in January the advantage of Trzaskowski was lower. There, 29.8 percent of the respondents would point to Rafał Trzaskowski, and 22.56 percent to Karol Nawrocki. Now it's 35.3 and 52.4 percent, respectively. This would mean that Trzaskowski would allegedly gain over 5 percent points during this month, erstwhile fundamentally all another polls evidence his... declines.

OGB president reacts

Such absurd results drew the attention of the president of the competitive polling area (the 1 in which the minion occurred) OGB – Łukasz Pawłowski, who decided to comment on these studies on social media.

I have a proposal for an opinion24 as part of the transparency of the public debate. Since our results of the 2nd circular are so importantly different from each other, let's print full cross reports for age, gender, residence, etc. Our study is here, we're ready at any moment.

“ He proposed.

Shocking Reports

On the another hand, associate of Law and Justice Sebastian Lukaszewicz revealed his information on how specified an absurd survey was created.

KULISY – Is this how today's opinion poll24 was produced in which Rafał Trzaskowski definitely wins against Karol Nawrocki? 1 of my constituents was late selected to participate in the survey of this studio and answered her questions. According to his account, apart from questions about who he would vote for, there was also... an additional strict question about Karol Nawrocki. A fewer were besides mentioned (e.g. that Nawrocki is “simple” and that it has a “poor vocabulary resource”) and the question with which it besides agrees – all characteristics were clearly negative. Of course, another candidates were not asked like this. The conclusion is simple – these questions were most likely asked to negatively affect the responses of possible Nawrocki voters

— he said.

But of course it's just a poll, and elections are not won in polls, only at the urn, which is why on May 18th we will all show the actual strength of Karol Nawrocki!

“Lukaszewicz stressed.

Media attack

A survey showing Trzaskovsky's dominance is already powerfully distributed by the power-friendly media – TVN and neo-TVP, which seemingly effort to respond desperately to the first survey showing that Karol Nawrocki is the favourite in the second round.