Kaczyński at the gates. The poll results are a red alarm for Tusk

The SW investigation laboratory commissioned by Onetu conducted a poll among Poles, asking them if they thought the Law and Justice would take power after the 2027 parliamentary elections. The results of the survey constitute another informing signal for Prime Minister Tusk and the ruling Coalition on October 15.


Recently, the Civic Coalition has been in declines in polls, which is worrying. Let us remind that more than half of Poles have no assurance in Prime Minister Tusk, which reveals the latest IBRiS poll, conducted on behalf of Radio ZET.

After the defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential election Donald Tusk announced changes in the ruling coalition. Government reconstruction is due to take place in mid-July, but this issue is problematic. Coalition partners do not want to quit their ministries, although the Prime Minister would like to reduce the number of ministries.

According to unofficial information, Szymon Hołownia wants to stay the talker of the Sejm, even though according to the coalition agreement in November this function is to be taken over by the leader of the fresh Left, Vladimir Czarzasta. The Holrow in fresh days is loud due to his night gathering with opposition representatives.

This poll is another alarm for Tusk.

The SW investigation survey asked Poles whether they expected the Law and Justice to regain power after the 2027 parliamentary elections. The results are not optimistic for the current ruling coalition. 48.8% of respondents believe that the Law and Justice will return to power.

26.1 percent of respondents are opposed. The answers were "difficult to say" with 25.1% of respondents.

The most people who believe in the return of the Law and Justice are among the young up to the age of 24. He thinks so 52.7 percent of them. Among older subjects, over 50 years old, 46.6% have akin opinions.

The survey was conducted on 1–2 July 2025 by SW investigation agency by online interviews on a typical example of 804 adult Poles. The selection of the example was based on the amounts in terms of gender, age and residence.

Source: Onet