Twilight coalition? How much longer can he hold out?

This is most likely a signal to the Prime Minister before the reconstruction of the government, in which Poland 2050 will most likely not receive the portfolio of the Deputy Prime Minister. And this is just the beginning. The prosecution began counting votes in more than 200 election committees, but has not yet found any irregularities. After the reconstruction, which will take place at the end of July, the government will most likely change. The tension in the coalition will grow until the president is sworn in. We have a hot political summertime ahead of us.

Time's moving out, Tusk.

Conversation with Prof. ANTONIM DUDKI, historian and polytologist from the University of Warsaw

- The coalition's squinting. But most politicians of today's power think it'll end there.

– The shaking always starts at the weakest point. Now we know that this weakest point is Simon Holovnia.

– But that shouldn't be a surprise, due to the fact that that's what you thought a year and a half ago.

– There's always the top force in the political center due to the fact that 2 powerful formations are pushing it. The PSL, due to its experience, structures and money, is more resistant to these pressures than Poland 2050. fresh groups frequently experience a situation where I will remind the Modern, Palikot Movement or even Kukiz’15, although the second was not as centred as the another two. But so far, nothing peculiar has happened. The coalition continues, and at least for a while.

Will he make it to the 2027 election?

“The fear of returning the Law and Justice to power can make it to the elections, although all period there are less and less chances. For now, he has 13 votes in the Sejm. If it were just a fewer Members, possibly Kaczyński could pull them out of the coalition, but to draw 14 (to have at least 1 vote of advantage), that is simply a bigger matter. It seems the most likely to be a number government from a certain point on. The question is, erstwhile will this happen? A number government can operate if it has a budget for the following year. So I can imagine that the coalition will last to vote on the budget for 2026, and then become a number government, and it will collapse at the next vote on the budget for 2027. It's hard to foretell so far. Much will depend on what the polls will look like in the fall. erstwhile Tusk plays the coalition. We don't know what the change in the position of talker of the Sejm will look like. The acceptance of this function by Vladimir Czarzasty does not appeal to all in the coalition and any will most likely want to block this nomination. So it may turn out that it is Nowa Lewica, and not Poland 2050 will then become the weakest link of the current coalition. There are many unknowns, but above all we do not know how rapidly the most turbulent co-habitation will begin in the past of the 3rd Poland – president Karol Nawrocki with Prime Minister Donald Tuski.