He caught the Cossack of Tatar...

brand.w salon24/marek-w/zlapal-cosak-tatarzine

“Always” at the Pentagon G 3 branch has been planning and preparing future military operations, based on available information and predicting possible risks.

Currently, for at least 2 months, the Pentagon had to consider a possible war with Iran, in which the Americans would be drawn into and prepared for Israel comprehensively. The concentration of naval and aviation forces started to begin and the OPL was strengthened [Anti-aircraft defense] Around military bases in arabian countries, after many weeks of unsuccessful negotiations with Iranian authorities, president Trump began a "short, victorious war".

The beginning was wonderful, never before in the past of wars utilizing aviation attacking aircraft had specified a immense advantage over the OPL of the defending state. Suffice to say that in the course of respective 1000 raids, Iranian (or more specifically Russian and Chinese) anti-aircraft batteries did not shoot down a single enemy aircraft. 1 more time, 1 more time! respective machines were lost due to the "friendly fire" of an arabian aircraft and the plane crash, but no from the enemy fire. And then “the miracles began” - I will skip the issue of mediocre allied preparation of the OPL in arabian countries, due to the fact that it is simply a separate interesting topic, while I will take care of the Thin ORMUZ, through which about 20% of all oil produced in the planet is transported, so an exceptionally crucial place for the full global economy.

As I have already written, the task of G 3 is to analyse the situation and the threats expected in the course of operations and to plan the appropriate actions and, above all, to mobilise the appropriate forces for their implementation. The Pentagon had at least 2 months in which it prepared to raid Iran, while Apparently he ignored the Strait itself, In particular, Iran's ability to block it, which has led to large embarrassment to the American army and Trump himself.

The blockade of Ormuzu caused an immediate surge of oil and gas prices, which was lifted by stock exchange speculators, which forced the top president of America to search rather desperate aid both in previously neglected allies from NATO and in abroad powers like China and India. Worse still, the further improvement of the operation bears all the features of a alternatively desperate improvisation, even more engulfing the authorities in the White House. What the hell is going on here?!

One thing is absolutely apparent to me – I absolutely don't believe that G-3 at the Pentagon is so blithe, not seeing the apparent dangers. In the end, American generals and admirals have repeatedly proved advanced competence, and the unique meaning of the Strait, as they say, would even blind people see! But 1 by one: The Strait can be blocked in respective ways, first simply by mincing it, both utilizing submarines and larger speedboats, since larger ships were sunk. Secondly, utilizing terrorist fire from the Iranian shore with rockets or drones of defenseless tankers, as the Iranians do with large enthusiasm. There is besides a threat from surviving submarines that can torpedo very easy targets.

To defend against mines, the best ones are the trawlers, but so interestingly enough, the American trawlers stationed on the site was transferred to the Red Sea, where he is to defender the second crucial waterway before Huti, who, surprisingly, do not burn to another brawl, seeing the accumulated impact forces. But there are no another trawlers, most likely by distraction... Much more dangerous is the fire from the shore, and in order to halt it, it is essential to concentrate aviation, attacking launchers and rockets and drones themselves on Iran, but for now, aviation has other, surely more crucial tasks.

Since aviation alone is not enough, a strategy of convoys shielded by destroyers and frigates will be necessary, which was most likely forgotten before, and no 1 else is willing to deliver their fleet under Iran's impact in the narrow strait. The most extremist solution is to blow the landing on the shore and cut off the Iranian troops from the anticipation of shelling the tankers, in the first phase you gotta take the island of Keshm, lying in the very throat of the Strait and then even 10 1000 km2 of the coast, which means full-scale land battles with all of these associated “pleasants”. But for now, the White home does not request to be afraid, due to the fact that the first elite Marine conflict Group is just sailing across the Atlantic and there is no another force, including any allied, rushing to fight the Iranians.

In my opinion, there are only 2 explanations for specified a unusual situation. First, andThe Pentagon decided to repeatvery interesting “internal operation” to remove powerfully disliked politicians to make more sense. Let me remind you that this happened in 1980, during the election run for president of the United States. The White home is scheduled for a hostage recovery operation in Tehran, but The army, by a unusual coincidence, sent out marine helicopters with no sand filters over the desert, which ended in a immense scandal and Carter's loss.

Identically after 45 years Trump and his joyful Olsen Gang were put into a akin face, in cold blood watching them rotation like bare in nettles :-), due to the fact that it is clear that the full affair is 1 large surprise to them. Trump has a chance to appear from this trap only if the island of Kharg is mastered, which is the central port of gas and oil exports in Iran, due to the fact that then he will be able to trade it for unlocking the Strait of Ormuz. However, it is essential to wait until the Marines arrive or the Brigade from the 82nd Paratroop Division arrives, and Trump will gotta make a decision about the desanction of the associated casualties in people, from which he was so reticent.

The second version of the translation is even more interesting due to the fact that assumes Trump's conscious action to temporarily block the Strait. It's about increasing oil and gas prices, which will give the American oil companies an additional, very welcome profit, especially those companies that extract LUNG fuel, in rule having higher mining costs. If you look more closely at Trump's current policy in this area, it starts to look more likely.

I will remind you of the ruthless pushing of Russians out of the planet market, especially Europe for American concerns, the takeover of Venezuela with its immense stocks, or the attack on Iran itself, the main nonsubjective of which may be to gain control of its fuel exports. Then all those Trump clowns can prove to be a clever “mask” of the right goals. As for the sharp emergence in prices at U.S. gas stations, Trump inactive has his last word and possibly he does not care about further politics, but more concrete evidence of gratitude from American concerns to him and his family. And its MEGA organization will treat it identically to the Kurds, Ukrainians, Democratic opposition in Venezuela or, in fact, Putin.

As you can see, for a change today, I have been drawn into the “conspiracy explanation of history”, but I find it hard to believe in the translation of specified apparent matters by the conventional folly of the trepidates and politicians themselves. (although as usual I can be besides optimistic :-))