Increase in entropy

I mentioned that I value the portal very much. Geopolitica Forum. Articles are at a decent intellectual level, which is unfortunately uncommon today. A very interesting article, which perfectly sums up the world’s situation, was released again. The only thing that annoys me about him is the author's misunderstanding of the word entropy. Apparently, he heard they were calling, but he doesn't know what church. He correctly writes that entropy is simply a word taken from thermodynamics, which was transferred to everyday life as a measurement of mess. In short, the bigger the mess, the higher the entropy. I couldn't aid myself, and I made any adjustments in the right places.

Due to the dimension of the article, I decided to comment inside the text. They are marked with a different stem and color.

Unfortunately, I besides failed to enter the video in the links to X.

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Global turning points lead the planet to a state[growth]entropy.

We experience not one, but many turning points in planet past simultaneously. The planet is in a state [growth] entropy. Analysis of a situation where predictions are no longer possible.

Peter Hänseler

Saturday 26 September 2026

Return points in history

History had many turning points. To mention just a fewer examples:

The Westphalian area of 1648.

French Revolution of 1789

Vienna legislature 1815

World War I 1918

World War II 1945

Many of these turning points have led to changes in power in Europe. These were simply changes in leadership in the world, which we now call the “collective” West. Examples are the fall of the German Empire, Austro-Hungarian, Ottoman Empire and Russian Empire at the end of planet War I.

These changes in power were significant; however, what is happening present is incomparable to erstwhile turning points due to the fact that it covers the full globe. The control of power is not passed on within the West, but alternatively there will be a shift of power to the East, towards the “global South”.

From Return Points to[growth]entropy

The scale, number of countries involved, geographical coverage and the velocity at which current geopolitical crises are developing are astonishing.

Ukraine as a war platform for the US, NATO, EU and Russia

Russia will win a military victory.

Looking at military reports from the front, for all observer it becomes clear that Russia will accomplish its military objectives. While the successful conclusion of the peace agreement in the spring of 2022 could mean Russia's resignation of control of Donbas, Cherson and Zaporozh, this agreement is unrealistic under the present circumstances due to the fact that Donetsk, Lugansk, Zaporozhye and Cherson have been part of the Russian Federation since September 2022. Currently, Russian military advancement cannot be predicted. I mentioned this in the article “The summertime area died.“ To whom I am sending. ” For information on the situation on the front, I mention again to Military Summary; I've been following this channel for almost 5 years and reporting events objectively.

The disastrous mobilization situation in Ukraine

Thousands of films show how young men are hunted like animals in the streets of Ukraine, forced to recruit. Recently, however, films have besides appeared showing how these conscripts were transported to the front line, sometimes without uniforms or even in handcuffs, like criminals – to prevent them from escaping. I leave readers a reflection on the combat effectiveness of these men in a fight against the combated and motivated Russian soldiers.

The latest decision by Ukrainian military command is forced recruitment of women. Given this situation, it is no wonder that Scott Ritter claims that Ukrainians lose 30 times as many soldiers as Russia. This inhuman treatment of own soldiers in Ukraine has not been recorded in the West.

Ukrainian volunteers, who later disappeared without a trace, reportedly utilized drones and artificial intelligence to calculate soldiers' graves in Ukraine. They counted 2,000,054 graves. Adding to this the dead buried by their own citizens in mass graves and wounded – Ukrainian losses seem truly astronomical. Yet Zelenski claims that only 50,000 Ukrainian soldiers were killed. A fewer weeks ago, I was at a ceremony in Russia. The soldiers' graves are easy recognized by the Russian flag and flag of the fallen squad. There were graves of soldiers, but there was no sea of flags like in Ukraine.

Military triumph will not solve Russia's geopolitical problem.

Regardless of what military action will be necessary, Russia will accomplish it, but this will not solve Russia's geopolitical problem on its western border, due to the fact that the goal is not fresh territories, but peace in the West. This is the goal Russia has been pursuing for centuries and has never achieved. Russia has repeatedly been attacked from the West and has regularly paid a advanced price with blood, money and industrial powers, which are utilized for armaments alternatively of civilian targets. This has repeatedly hampered Russia's social development.

If Russia wants to keep its competitiveness in the civilian economy compared to the main countries, reliable securing of its western border is simply a essential condition. Although Russia is the only industrialised country in the world, who is self-sufficient, and so capable of carrying out a war lasting a decade, specified confrontation would seriously impede the accomplishment of real improvement goals.

[My comment: the author is right!] That is why Russia says that in the event of war it will not fight Europe, it will destruct it and erstwhile and for all solve the threat on its part. We must yet realize what we are getting into!!!]

Lack of credibility of the US in negotiations with Russia

The deficiency of credibility of the US towards Russia has many aspects. On September 15, abroad Minister Lavrow virtually said:

"If the Americans had not withdrawn from the Anchorage Agreements, if Europe had not withdrawn them from these agreements, we would have lived for a year without war."

Sergei Lavrow, 15 September 2026

Russia would make serious compromises under this agreement. Russia would hold Donbas, frost the conflict in Zaporozh and Kherson, and waive further territorial claims. Objectively, it would be an unfavourable arrangement for Russia, but a sign of the Russian's very advanced readiness to compromise. The Russians felt that this oral agreement had gentlemen's power. However, gentlemen's agreements should only be made with gentlemen. The Americans taught the Russians a lesson. The Russians are not only annoyed by this incidental and had to admit that no agreement with the American government is possible. I am personally amazed by this observation, considering how late it was. Even written agreements with the American government are worthless. This is evidenced by the breach of the Memorandum of knowing that the Americans concluded with Iran in June. It must so be concluded that this conflict, like any another conflict in which the US is straight or indirectly involved, must be carried out to the end. A bitter lesson for all US partner in the treaties.

The hazard of escalation is considerable.

Ukraine is desperately attempting to formally affect NATO in this armed conflict. It is astonishing that European countries – mainly Germany and the United Kingdom – not only signal readiness, but do everything in their power to prepare their societies for war with Russia.

As an example, Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg, a erstwhile minister and associate of parliament from the northeastern Somerset, who compares the situation in Russia in this passage – without mentioning it by name – to the situation from the times of planet War I and II:

“It is possible that in the next fewer years we will face a war, and if it does, we will request people who will join the armed forces and set out to do their duty. It may even happen that people will gotta die to save their country, as happened during the First and Second planet War and many another wars before and after. That's what keeps the country alive.

If people do not want to do their duty, the country will be taken over by another country. Ultimately, in 1 way or another, this is 1 of the reasons for the fall of ancient Rome. People no longer wanted to fight for what they believed in, the strategy they had. They paid others to do it. They had mercenaries who fought for them, and yet mercenaries decided that they could take over themselves.”

Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg, 21 September 2026.

Young people are so called to the army to prepare for war with Russia. In Germany, specified attempts resulted in a pathetic failure. Out of over 300,000 young Germans surveyed, only 0.17% volunteered to service in the Bundeswehr (German armed forces). Moreover, a fewer days ago, it was revealed that the Bundeswehr itself was incapable to find up to 5,000 volunteers for 1 battalion in Latvia.

It is incomprehensible what these European countries are doing outside propaganda. Together, they do not have armed forces that would give them even the least chance to fight Russian armed forces. The Russians are in no way impressed by this puppet show in Europe; on the contrary, they are disgusted by it. I presume that this war propaganda in Europe serves only to perpetuate anti-Russian narrative.

Both president Putin and abroad Minister Lavrow have repeatedly stressed that they have no interest in attacking NATO targets outside Ukraine. However, if European states prove unreasonable adequate to send even tiny contingents of European troops to Ukraine, the situation could change dramatically.

The top current hazard of escalation lies in the anticipation that Europeans, together with the Americans, are planning a alleged false flag attack in Europe in order to someway invoke Article 5 of the NATO Charter. According to geopolitical analyst Warren Thornton, the preparations for the attacks under the false flag go full steam. He writes on X:

‘These are the objectives: the airport in Majorca, Spain. Hotel Sorrento Continental in Italy. The English promenade in Nice. Area west of Sardinia from which the attack is to be carried out. The attack involves the CIA, French naval intelligence and the Ukrainian safety Service (SBU). The method utilized is 3 Gerber drones recovered after Russian attacks. The goal is to kill civilians and bring Europe into war. More details can be found on our website. We have 5 independent sources: 2 employees of French naval intelligence, 2 employees of the Spanish embassy and 1 authoritative of the Ukrainian SBU. We keep our reports 100%.”

Warren Thornton, September 24, 2026

I cannot justice whether this explanation is right, but the thought that Europeans will do something so perverse is not impossible.

[My comment: European instigators are already so desperate that anything is possible. erstwhile the disaster of Ukraine becomes apparent, the situation may slip out of control]

American military campaigns in the mediate East since 2001.

Looking back on the past 25 years, the United States, starting in 2001, has tried to transform the mediate East according to Wolfowitz's doctrine. no of the wars launched by the US during this period (in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, etc.) have been successful. It became clear that hegemon lacked resources, military strategy, strength and credibility to act effectively. But if you believe that the real goal was destabilization and chaos, these wars were highly effective. Nevertheless, the United States returned to the stage, along with Israel, seemingly after Israel succeeded in taking control of American politics completely.

Israel: Genocide and large Israel

A direct starting point for the genocide and projects of large Israel was on October 7, 2023, erstwhile Hamas' military action was organized as an attack under a false flag to justify the genocide of women, children and another civilians in the Gaza Strip, and later in the West Bank and Lebanon. This in turn launched the continuation of the large Israel project; Syria and Lebanon were initially attacked. Although the Western press not only trivializes Israel's genocidal and imperialist actions, but supports and fuels them – including the media of Switzerland's “neutral” – Israel is seen with expanding scepticism by Western planet societies. According to Pew Research, 60% of Americans have a negative view of Israel. The Western media so transmits a image that is not supported by the general public.

On Thursday, erstwhile Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanjahu stood on the podium to talk at the plenary session, UN General Assembly delegates left the hall massively.

Netanjahu called these delegations "moral cowards" – in another words, genocide requires courage – I deficiency words.

[My comment: Polin's delegation remained at the Hall and applauded! No wonder our (or indeed ours?) country is again the destination of the immigration of the chosen nation. Western media informs

“Our” are someway silent...]

An interesting image depicts the plenary area during speeches by Netanjah and Perseshkan.

For me, it is crucial to constantly remind my Western readers what is truly happening in the Gaza Strip in front of us – many of whom do not want to see.

Large escalation in the mediate East – failure of control

The planet experienced further acceleration of events starting in February 2026. Since then, everything in the mediate East has gone incorrect for both the West and Israel. The Global South has already taken the initiative from the West. While Iran initially limited itself to reacting to American-Israeli aggression, it is now being tempomed by the Iranians and the Yemeni Ansar Allah movement.

Ansar Allah managed to take control of the full west coast of Yemen in a very short time, controlling not only the Bab al-Mandab Strait, but besides Perim Mayyun Island, located just off the coast. Western media are not reporting any progress, and Aden will shortly be captured.

Moreover, the Saudi East-West pipeline was paralyzed and targets close Riyadh were attacked. So far, the Saudis seem incapable to carry out a serious military counterattack against this serious offensive due to the fact that they themselves seem incapable to do so, and repeated calls for assistance directed at Trump and others have proved to be fruitless. The Mecca Alliance, uniting Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey in the military coalition, besides seems to be nonexistent due to the fact that these “friends” besides refused to help.

President Macro's large message to send troops to Saudi Arabia won't change anything. Arabia is called Saudi Arabia due to the fact that this country is ruled by 1 household – 1 tribe – Saudis. A tribe protected by Americans. However, about 100 another tribes live in Saudi Arabia. It is rather possible that they will join forces with Ansar Allah and overthrow the Saudi dynasty. The Saudi household no longer has any income, and it seems that it is incapable to further silence those who may pose a threat by paying them salaries as they have done in the past. It's possible the Saudi card home will collapse, and then I wouldn't care about the another Gulf states.

Alastair Crooke repeatedly emphasized that this dynamics could spread to Iraq, another ancient civilization alongside Iran. If that happens, Kuwait will most likely besides fall. Another smoky conflict is besides seen in Jordan. It is so rather possible that the full architecture erected by the British in the mediate East over 100 years ago could collapse in a fewer months, without the anticipation of Americans stopping this tsunami. Arabia for the Arabs, Persia for the Persians, and the Americans won. If this happens, Israel of the perpetrator will become a target; it is surely not possible to talk of sacrifices in this context. How the emerging powers of the mediate East will deal with the genocide of Zionists should be left to those who have suffered the top sacrifices due to the fact that the Palestinians are Arabs.

[My comment: I asked respective Palestinians if they were Arabs, they replied that there were different opinions on the subject among them]

Europe

Europe is in a state of chaos again. Germany is the first country – erstwhile the largest exporter in the planet and the largest power in the EU – to be threatened by the failure of political governance. An alternate for Germany (AfD), which so far the dominant parties referred to as utmost right-wing and Nazi and excluded from the government the alleged fire wall, not only achieved a crushing triumph in 2 elections to the East German Lands, but besides clearly led national polls from the CDU (30% to 20%). The vote of support for Chancellor Merza is 10%, which shows public discontent and would prompt any truly democratic chancellor to resign. It is not certain whether German society, as has already been the case in the past, will stay passive in the face of this political situation. The fall of the Chancellor would be beneficial for Germany. AfD is the only large organization seeking dialog and peace with Russia, which is not only desperately needed by this erstwhile prosperous industrialist country, but besides a condition for its economical survival. An alternate to real and fundamental political change in Germany is the war against Russia, led by Chancellor Merza and ruling political elites. The last time Germany declared war on Russia in 1941, Adolf Hitler sent 3.7 million soldiers east and suffered defeat despite the genocidal actions of the Germans that consumed the lives of about 17 million civilians. As mentioned above, the national Republic of Germany is presently incapable to mobilise 5,000 volunteers to service in the Baltic States. It seems that the Chancellor does not mind, which is clear evidence of the madness that has engulfed him. It is simply a strong proof that it works in the interests of a power outside Germany. The cynic might think it had something to do with his past at BlackRock. Those who have succeeded in appointing him Chancellor can pat themselves on the back for taking a puppet for a symbolic amount of respective million.

[My comment: I would not overestimate AfD! In my opinion, erstwhile the power comes to power, it will not be much different from the current parties. Well, but for the example below!]

The following video presents a presentation of the fresh management in Berlin – the Left organization took over. Unnecessary comment:

The situation in the remainder of Europe is not optimistic. The presidential elections in France will take place in April 2027. Macron no longer has the right to run, and Marine Le Pen has a crucial advantage over the another candidates. The situation is so akin to that in Germany: the organization which the current ruling parties mention to as far right, and which is most popular among citizens. Le Pen's position on peace with Russia is unclear – he seems to talk a ambiguous language: on the 1 hand, he wants peace through negotiations, but at the same time supports training Ukrainian soldiers. As a sober politician, he positions himself to get as many votes as possible. France's financial situation is terrible, but far from pleasant. The increase in interest rates of 10-year French bonds over the last 12 months has been even greater than in any another European country.

Trump

President Trump's policy only seems hard to realize at first glance. His constant hesitations regarding Ukraine, Iran and Israel are counterproductive and harm the U.S.'s reputation internationally. Trump's current actions are based on November parliamentary elections. Trump fights advanced oil prices that he created himself, and which he can, however, prevent from completely breaking down, manipulating futures markets. Real marketplace prices are, however, between 30% and 50% higher than manipulated, fictitious futures. The fact that future contracts are actually manipulated shows, for example, the price of diesel at petrol stations, which are only in 1 direction and worldwide reached unprecedented levels. Diesel is the driving force of the US economy, and advanced prices are 1 of the main drivers of inflation, since virtually all goods are transported by trucks, agriculture is dependent on it, and a large part of the manufacture is based on diesel. The latest Slapstick Trump: blames Zelenski for the advanced prices of diesel as Ukraine attacks Russian refineries. It does so only to divert attention from the major factors affecting prices, namely the blockade of the coasts of Ormuz and Bab-al-Mandab.

Trump is inactive trying to reverse the situation, but it looks like he's going to lose the supplementary election in about six weeks. According to Polymarket, an American online forecast marketplace where users bet on the results of future events and marketplace prices reflect aggregate probability estimates, there is simply a 66% probability that Republicans will lose the majority both in the home of Representatives and in the Senate. If that happens, Trump will most likely face impeachment procedure. He risks becoming a "dead duck" from a "ball duck" and being replaced by his opportunistic vice president Vance – which is not a good possible for the United States.

Trump's last speech this week before the UN General Assembly was evidence of his psychopathic character: he announced—notabene after the election—that he would either make Iran a rich country or completely destruct it.

Trump is no different than Adolf Hitler. In his speech in Berlin's Sportpalast on September 4, 1940, Hitler said, "We will destruct their cities." Trump wants to annihilate a 5,000-year-old civilization, of course without any legal basis, acting like a god. Thus Trump publically calls for the genocide of all civilization. 1 may wonder if he belongs in prison or in a intellectual hospital, but the fact that he can unpunishedly make specified statements to the planet shows how low Western civilization has fallen. I mean, the speech, I gave in Switzerland on September 3.

Financial markets

I have written many times about the instability of financial markets. Now my pessimistic predictions seem to be coming true. In addition to the overestimation on the stock markets, I have repeatedly pointed to the unsustainable situation on the bond markets. Fear begins to appear among the more observant marketplace participants. Mr. Bessent has lost control of interest rates. On August 28, 2026, I checked the average debt interest that the United States had to pay; at that time, it amounted to 3.35% (May), resulting in a percent charge of $1.34 trillion a year. Currently, this average interest rate is 3.49% (August); the top debt is presently $40.07 trillion, and it has already increased by $70 billion. yearly interest payments thus increased by $56 billion over this short period, reaching $1,396 trillion a year.

Over the past 28 days, the profitability of 10-year US government bonds has increased from 4.722% to 5.185%, an increase of 0.46%. This trend shows no signs of inhibition. If this pace continues, not only the government bond marketplace will collapse, but besides the tops of the debt accumulated in the artificial intelligence sector. The same image emerges in Europe and Japan. The question is not whether the collapse will happen, but erstwhile and to whom the United States will give precedence – to nipponese or Europeans. That's my individual opinion. I'm regularly incorrect about the time that taught me to stay out of these markets. I have the large honor of gathering regularly with 1 of the most successful investors in the world. At our last meeting, he fundamentally agreed with me, but stated that I could not imagine what tricks and resources the Americans inactive gotta postpone the inevitable.

The scale of this crisis will overshadow everything that humanity has always seen. Compared to today's crisis, the 2008 crisis was like a walk in a sunny park with a delicious picnic. specified a breakdown in the West will besides affect the geopolitical freedom of action of the countries involved; abruptly they will be very busy. Whether this will lead to escalation in the geopolitical arena, nobody knows. However, “experts” who proceed to drive markets with their shouts of joy will surely explain with seriousness that this simply could not be predicted – as always.

Entropy

All these individual tectonic movements lead to real entropy [real growth of entropy], word from thermodynamics. Turning this to geopolitics, I describe the situation as a huge, irreversible chaos and uncertainty within various global systems. The existing structures of power, principles, institutions and hierarchy are losing their binding power, and the fresh order that promises stableness cannot be predicted.

Because the West, which until late held the controls firmly in its hands, is not inclined to compromise in order not to endanger its position as a hegemon.

Surprised by the velocity of events, the Global South has inactive not developed a coherent, common and effective policy that would let the West to take control.

It seems that the Global South, under the military dominance of Russia, China and, now the 4th military power of Iran, is in the process of adapting and coordinating the fresh situation, yet leading to its victory.

As long as it takes and if the West uses atomic weapons to keep its hegemony, it remains an open matter, and I have doubts about that. So far only Adolf Hitler believed that Germany should die with him. Let's hope that now more reasonable people will make apocalyptic decisions.

Let us not lose all religion in humanity.

[My comment: Hope dies last...]

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