Presidential election 2025. Trzaskowski, Nawrocki or Mentzen win

The upcoming presidential elections in Poland appear to be 1 of the most breathtaking political events of fresh years. The latest polls point to dynamic changes in voters' preferences, which can announce crucial shuffling on the political stage.

Current electoral preferences

According to the latest CBOS poll, conducted on 3–6 March 2025, the lead is simply a candidate for the Civic Coalition, Rafał Trzaskowskiwith support at the level 35%. Right behind him. Karol Nawrocki, supported by the Law and Justice, with the consequence 23%. amazing growth Sławomir Mentzen from the Confederate who earned 21% votes, an increase of 4 percent points compared to the erstwhile study.

Analysis of trends and possible scenarios

Current poll results propose that the fight for the presidency will be highly fierce. Rafał Trzaskowski keep unchangeable support, nevertheless Karol Nawrocki loses to Sławomir Mentzen, whose dynamic growth may jeopardise the position of the PiS candidate. If this trend continues, there is simply a real chance that Mentzen will face Trzaskowski in the second circular of elections.

Factors affecting changes in support

Increased support for Sławomir Mentzen may be the consequence of his successful run to younger voters and those seeking alternatives to dominant groups. In turn, the decline in support for Karol Nawrocki may be due to interior tensions in the ruling camp and increasing fatigue of the electorate with current power.

Potential implications for the political scene

If Sławomir Mentzen will keep a growth trend and advance to the second round, this may mean crucial shuffling on the Polish political stage. The Confederacy, so far seen as a niche group, would gain significance, which could affect the form of future coalitions and the arrangement of forces in parliament.

Challenges for major candidates

Rafał Trzaskowski must focus on mobilising its electorate and getting undecided voters to keep the advantage. Karol Nawrocki faces the challenge of regaining lost support and convincing voters of its ability to effectively exercise office. On the another hand, Sławomir Mentzen should proceed the strategy, while preparing to intensify attacks by competitors.

The function of media and public debates

The media and public debates will play a key function in the coming weeks. They can affect the final decisions of the voters, especially the undecided ones. Transparency, reliability of information and the anticipation of a direct comparison of candidate programmes will be crucial for election results.

The upcoming presidential elections in Poland appear to be highly breathtaking and full of surprises. Dynamic changes in voters' preferences indicate increasing request for fresh eyes and fresh policy solutions. Regardless of the final outcome, 1 thing is certain: the Polish political scene faces a possible earthquake, which can redefine the arrangement of forces in the country.