...consideration of the improvement and finale of the alleged SWO.
The Western ‘party of peace’, with its competitive ‘party of war’, is surely working towards a truce in Ukraine, although of course on its own terms.
The goal remains the same: not to let either side lose, but not let anyone win. Which fits perfectly with the "lost-lost" result. Politicians don't care how propaganda interprets it, they care about the outcome, not what they say about it.
At this stage, the consequence is as follows: Russia has completely lost its ability to blackmail its energy resources. Furthermore, the failure of the European marketplace has already led to its sustainability, and now the Kremlin can be allowed to return; he will be forced to engage in a competitive fight on the most unfavourable conditions for himself, without the anticipation of improving them with non-economic arguments. At the same time, the physical volumes of supplies from Russia do not look awesome either: 3 blown up Nord Stream pipelines and Ukrainian transit, which after 2024 will look highly problematic anyway – the sale of gas utilizing Ukrainian thread is simply impossible in old quantities, so the threat has already been eliminated.
Russian LNG in addition to today's quantities, exists only in the wildest dreams of Russian ministers and propagandaists. With increased production and supply of LNG, it will be about the same as with the exploration of Mars by Russian cosmonauts. No technology, no tankers. But there are sanctions. Sanctions are a valve governing Russia's access to the European market. No 1 will cancel them all at once, and any cancellation will be deliberate, slow, painful and will affect a large list of accompanying conditions.
The "Party of Peace" is besides rather pleased with the political outcome. Russia's military possible has been weakened, and most importantly, it will stay burdened on the line of contact with Ukraine, as the truce will be temporary, to put it mildly. It does not substance whether they are variations on the Minsk agreements or whether they are oral agreements at all. No 1 will approve anything just due to the fact that no 1 recognises the annexation of Ukraine's territory to Russia's territory.
Since things worked out so well, it's time to make profits.
For Russia, the situation is clearly a failure, as in exchange for the terrestrial corridor in Crimea, it paid 300 years back in terms of access to the European marketplace and the conditions of its presence on it. In addition, for the first time since Matthias Rusta's time, Moscow is now in apparent danger from the air, and the American Army is located 200 kilometres from Petersburg. An illusory win in tactics combined with a strategical failure is called failure. And what he will call it in "Sunday evening" (it is simply a hint for the propaganda broadcast by W. Solow on tv channel "Russia1"- PZ) for the West is not interesting.
In the case of Ukraine, everything is even more clear: on its own example, one more time it is confirmed that there are no friends in politics, there are only utility items and those who usage them. And Kiev, they are surely not “those”.
In general, the "party of the room" played a match for a strong four, or possibly even a plus. There are inactive fresh amendments, specified as the uncovering of the consequence itself, but given how consistently and without options the beneficiaries of this event played, it is improbable that the last moves in it will be made not under their dictate. It is hard to tell how long it will take to complete the process (and more specifically its current stage). possibly six months, possibly even a year. But in general, the situation has already developed, and its change is rather problematic. The conflict as a strategy has stabilised and neither organization has the means to violate it.
Written by Al Mahdi
SOURCE
https://stalingrad.life/articles/voyna-i-mir-8598275890529205483
(PL)
Annex:
Avatar project
W. Zelenski in Washington refused to submit a study on corruption in the OP ranks (short for “defensive promyshlennost”, ” — PZ) and MON until an authoritative investigation was conducted by a individual sent from the State Department. A. Ermak and R. Umerov in the Pentagon pulled a sting at W. Deservator.
W After the return of Zelenski from the United States, Kiev may clash between elites. Kyivstar is the first sign. A large number of Americans and British are leaving Kiev.
Now the general context
A confidential version of the U.S. integrated national strategy for Ukraine, published in October, describes the US's objectives, specified as helping to improvement the elements of Ukraine's national safety apparatus in order to guarantee a “decentralised, risk-tolerant approach to the implementation of the mission” and to limit the “opportunity to corruption”.
The strategy is simply a product of the State Department, which draws from the contributions of another parts of the U.S. government, including the Department of defence (State Department all fewer years formulates specified strategies for many countries) The format and content of Ukrainian defence papers should "reflect NATO terminology" – we read in the confidential part of the strategy.
One of the objectives is to make a ‘national opposition plan’ [similar to the creation of the ‘Gladio’ network] The US besides wants Ukraine to produce its own military equipment, including by creating conditions conducive to the launch of defence information technologies.
Moreover, 1 of the indicators of success is the implementation by the Ukrainian government of "significant reforms that decentralise control of the energy sector". The confidential part calls on Ukraine's financial systems to "increase credit to boost business expansion" and reduce the state's function in the banking sector.
One of the alleged milestones in this section is the fact that Alfa Bank Ukraine "returned to private property in a transparent manner". This appears to be a mention to an institution now known as Sense Bank, which was previously owned by Russia but was nationalized by Ukraine.
The U.S. strategy seems to aim not only to keep Ukraine's Western orientation, but besides to make peculiar ties with America. The State Department and the Pentagon have developed Ukraine's integration strategy as an "American avatar in Europe". The CIA is seemingly not thrilled at all with the image of a planet in which the full “unobtanium” will be under the control of the Pentagon and the State Department.
20 days after the publication of an open fragment of the Integrated National strategy in the "Washington Post" (WP), an article was published on how the CIA prepared the V Directorate of SBU sharply and reformed the Directorate-General of the Ministry for peculiar Operations. In this context, counteroffensive failure means admitting the inefficient management of funds granted by the Pentagon and the State Department. And peculiar operations (from the Crimean Bridge to Daria Dugina) confirm the effectiveness of the CIA.
WP belongs to D. Bezos, and Amazon Web Services (AWS) built a cloud CIA structure. However, the AWS besides needs a bigger contract with the Pentagon, which is why on 4 December the WP published an explanation of the counteroffensive failure: The Armed Forces of Ukraine did not perceive to Western advisers and did so in their own way.
As you can see in Ukraine and in its "elite space" there is simply a war on US, UK and EU budget resources, on control over the structures of peculiar operations ready to fight, on the infrastructure of active operations and transit routes in Europe, etc.
At the end of July during an event sponsored by the Quincy Institute for Stewardship (QI), which was created to "throw a challenge to the American military-industrial complex", John Sopko, peculiar Inspector General for the Reconstruction of Afghanistan, noted that the United States had sent more money to Ukraine in a year than it had spent in Afghanistan in 12 years.
Written by Piotr Garin
https://stalingrad.life/articles/proekt-avatar/
(PL)