Act 1: Trade War 2018 - Covid 2020 culmination
Act 2: Russia's invasion of Ukraine 2022
Act 3: Empire counterattacks 2025

We entered the 8th year of the U.S.-China Hegemonic War. For the sake of historical analogues, let us give them names of Allies vs. Axis. For 7 years, Axis forces have been attacking with laws, regulations, treaties on the principle: the West must abide by them, we know how it will behave, so we have the advantage.
The Chinese slow entered Panama, Venezuela, Iran, Europe. Based on inexpensive fuels from Russia, Iran and Venezuela, by subsidising exports and paying politicians, they could afford dumped prices to destruct European production.
It has come to America that there is no more power to play the function of police. The regulation of law is over, the sheriff has to enter the town and shoot out the banditos. Take out the key channels (Panama), the Straits (Ormuz), reconstruct control of oil deposits (Venezuela, Iran).
So in 2025 a fool sat on the throne, who removed the biggest obstacle to the asymmetrical war: predictability. It's his only job: to make noise, to show tricks, to obscure Deep State's actual intentions. The jester is like a consciousness that makes a reasonable communicative the decisions made by the Shadow. Rationalizing him, uncovering meaning in speeches, is focusing on the show. He did it due to the fact that he wanted Nobel, kidnapped the leader, got active in an unnecessary war.
Axis stuck in Ukraine, bought a carrot with a free winning area that she couldn't fight. During this time, the sheriff regained control of the Panama Canal, Venezuelan deposits (80% of oil exports went to China) and reached full air control of Iran in a week. It can bomb what it wants, it can block the country's trade and bring it back to the mediate Ages. He doesn't gotta send 1 soldier. It can besides pretend that the fight was heavy, almost symmetrical, and sign the deal, de facto giving it control over oil and the strait. Not bad for a reportedly lost war.
Let us not be besides happy, however, due to the fact that the way to triumph is far away, and the victims may fall on our side. After all, we were assigned the function of the Confederates in the clash with the Union.











