Except that the Law and Justice have a breath of breath, there's nothing to discuss, due to the fact that it's apparent to the bare eye, but let's stick to the definition of shortness of breath and let's not spell the reality a crisis. The shortness of breath is simply a momentary state of weakening form, You don't die from that. And first of all, it'll take time for things to get back to normal. A completely different phenomenon is the crisis and specified more serious states of the Law and Justice were besides in his account, and the first was the conflict on the line of Novgorod – the President. There have besides been coalition crises, or the fight for all MP in the Sejm, and there is inactive a devastating war between Morawiecki and Ziobro.
If you take the last week out of this short list with a march on June 4 and a “Russian bill” at the head, then all reasoning man will immediately realize that it is not even short of breath, it is hiccups. no of the current events will affect the election consequence of the Law and Justice, as there is no more foolish way of fighting for power than to construct a message exclusively to the top political fanatics who hatred Kaczyński and PiS. Here it is not even about the celebrated convincing of the convinced, but about the trap in which the leaders of the opposition fall constantly. March 4 June had only 1 political effect, but it does not should be permanent either. Of course, it is about the flow of anti-PiS electret, that is, pouring from empty into vain.
Hołównia, Kosiniak-Kamish and Czarzasty were cornered and humiliated by Tusk, which slow begins to scope them. "The 3rd Road" and "Left" lose voters, due to the fact that Blind fanatics who want to kick the Law and Justice at all costs, they control to the stronger side, which is simply a average phenomenon in politics and in nature. Only that all of this is inactive happening in a "family" that does not grow, and what is more, it reduces, due to the fact that the Confederacy takes over the Liberals and young voters. Kaczyński, on the another hand, has no secret plan, he according to logic and ruthlessness from the beginning, and almost explicitly says that the opposition needs to fasten Tusk's “face” and the remainder will become itself. The problem is that the PiS took it as stupid as he could, which means he made the impression that the committee wanted Tusk out of the election. specified things Poles hatred due to the fact that we are a good-hearted and naive nation.
However, it is widely known that where the PiS screw up something concertally, opposition comes to the aid, and so it happened now. Motivating fanatics makes about the same sense as mixing tea without adding sugar. What is more, specified a march Tusk could only have organised erstwhile and this erstwhile had already been, 4 months before the election. It would should be a full disaster so that the PiS does not scope 35% in the election, while for the PO the glass ceiling is 30%. Math makes it clear what happens in this configuration. The PO has virtually no chance of 35%, but if by any miracle it exceeds 30%, then the 3rd Road and Left can fly beyond the electoral threshold as it did with the SLD and Corwin in 2015 and that's how the Law and Justice gained the majority.
The focus of opposition around Tusk is simply a game for the PiS, due to the fact that specified a strategy leads straight to the erasure of future coalitions PO and in the Sejm we can see only 3 parties: PiS, PO, Confederacy. This means that PiS unexpectedly gets another chance for self-government, thanks to D’Hondt's legendary method. Furthermore, PiS does not should be completely afraid about what happens in the full opposition electorate, the only task and reserve of the PiS is to regain the electorate they lost. The paradox of fresh days is that the PiS, despite a number of errors and even embarrassments exacerbated by Duda, only gains from all this. erstwhile the specifics enter the game purchase of the III word of officeThe opposition will only be a punching bag in this exchange. So nothing changes, the PiS can only lose to the PiS, and the opposition is the top force of the PiS.
