"Think Poland" initiated Polish-American debate on the ongoing NATO substitute war with Russia in Ukraine. Interestingly, the conclusions of Polish and American participants proved to be amazingly similar.
We talked about the causes, course and subsequent possible consequences of maintaining the escalation of conflict Scott Ritter., a well-known American military expert and erstwhile disarmament inspector in Iraq, and with David Pyne, the chief advisor for abroad and safety policy of the candidate in the presidential primaries of the Republican Party, Vivek RamaswamyFormer Pentagon expert. ed. Adam Laughter ("Think Poland") and Krzysztof Tołwiński (President of the Front Party, erstwhile Deputy Minister of Treasury). He led the discussion Mateusz Piskorski.
Gun? Only American!
For a long time in the statements of any European politicians, specified as the French president Emmanuel Macron, the "strategic autonomy" of Europe appears. It would besides consist in developing and deepening the common defence policy of the associate States of the European Union. Meanwhile, the Polish authorities clearly focus on cooperation with Washington, depending on the supply of weapons from across the ocean, frequently at the expense of cooperation with EU partners.
According to Scott Ritter, the case has 2 aspects. Firstly, the U.S. military-industrial complex has a crucial impact on its policies, being 1 of the strongest lobby. Secondly, the import of U.S. weapons over the years subjugates another countries to American decision-making centres.
Krzysztof Tołwiński recalled that the provisions of contracts with armed corporations entail the request to pay immense amounts, even if they were withdrawn from them.
Europe as an enemy
Meanwhile, the EU is seen in the United States as a possible geopolitical opponent, which is not hidden by many American politicians and experts (e.g. doctrine). Paul Wolfowitz or statements celebrated for directness Donald Trump).
Ritter claims that Washington continues systematically to inspire divisions on the Old Continent, marking the distinctness of the alleged fresh Europe covering Central and east European countries in the context of the alleged Old Europe.
The United States does not see a partner in Europe, and as a consequence of the ongoing war in Ukraine, our continent has become even more dependent on Washington," says Adam Laughter. In his opinion, European countries themselves are degrading the global position of the EU.
Reverse effect of sanctions
The alleged Western economical sanctions imposed on Russia are not equal in fresh history. Their scale made any people think that they could usage them to force Moscow to abandon its geopolitical demands. Meanwhile, it turned out that further sanctions packages mainly hit the European economy.
Completely irrational – as Tołwiński recalled in the discussion – Poland demanded the strongest economical blockade of Russia and Belarus. Her actions, especially as regards requests to halt imports of energy natural materials, were clearly contrary to the economical interest of the Polish State.
Will Poles be cannon meat?
Following statements by erstwhile NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen, who stated that Poland and the Baltic countries could enter the war without bringing the full North Atlantic Alliance into conflict, one more time there were serious concerns about the safety of Poles and the likelihood of bringing them into a deadly confrontation that could end with the liquidation of the Polish state.
According to Scott Ritter, the choice belongs to Poland and the Baltic countries. However, we can be certain that NATO as a full will not straight enter the conflict. Therefore, all current discussions focus on creating any guarantees for Ukraine outside the alliance structures. The most dangerous minute in the following months will be the minute erstwhile the Ukrainian army will be completely destroyed, which, according to Ritter, is inevitable. Then there will be force to replace the defeated Ukrainians with Poles. "Poland will lose this war. It will be a disaster for her” – emphasized the American analyst. “This is increasingly likely” David Pyne agreed. He besides pointed out reports of 12 1000 Poles, mercenaries who were already about to die on the Ukrainian war front.
Rasmussen's last message must be considered, in his opinion, as an effort to probe the reaction and test the readiness of Warsaw to engage full in the conflict," said Krzysztof Tołwiński.
How can we bring peace?
Subsequent peace initiatives to end the bloody war in Ukraine appear above all outside Europe (China, Indonesia, Africa). However, it is on our continent, including in the immediate vicinity of the ongoing conflict, diplomatic solutions and stabilisation seem to be the most necessary.
David Pyne presented an American peace plan in this context. It was presented by 1 of the candidates in the Republican Party's presidential primaries, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy. The real ending of the war would, according to the American expert, be the immediate cessation of the arms supply to Kiev and the condition for further financial assistance to Ukraine to enter negotiations with Russia by its authorities. erstwhile Pentagon analyst recalled that the chance for peace had already appeared in March 2022, but the agreement was blocked by administrations Joe Bidena and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.. Meanwhile, it must be recognised that Russia must be part of the architecture of collective safety in Europe. Scott Ritter pointed out that only Russia's military triumph could change the Western viewpoint. "The faster Russia wins this war, the faster a fresh strategy will should be established in the United States" – he said. Meanwhile, as David Pyne stressed, the government Volodymyr Zelensky He will desperately effort to lead to the outbreak of planet War III.
According to Krzysztof Tołwiński, all peace plans must be based on a return to common sense thinking. Logic indicates that there are no real disputed issues between Russia and Poland, there are no reasons for the conflict. Adam Laughter considered the sources of Polish irrationalism, pointing to the messianist and alien traditions of Polish politics.
The debate showed that expert, journalistic and political opposition environments in Poland and the United States find common language on key issues without problem. It is in the interests of Poles and Americans to halt the escalation of the conflict with Russia as shortly as possible and to save themselves from a global disaster.
Andrzej Dołęga
