On Thursday we wrote in Oneta that although Mateusz Morawiecki officially declared full support for Karol Nawrocki, as our PiS interviewers say, the erstwhile Prime Minister hoped that Jarosław Kaczyński would quit support for the president of the IPN on the last consecutive and put it on Morawiecki.
However, unfriendly Morawiecki politicians of Law and Justice now propose that the erstwhile head of government quietly writes a script for leaving the party.
At the same time in the race for the Presidential Palace problems are noted by PiS candidate Karol Nawrocki. alternatively of approaching the leader Rafał Trzaskowski, he must tremble about whether he will enter the second round, as in the polls, Sławomir Mentzen ranks better and better. Even a single survey appeared in which the leader of the Confederacy was before Nawrocki.
Can unsuccessful elections affect changes at the head of the Law and Justice?
SW investigation in Onetu's survey asked "If Karol Nawrocki had not entered the 2nd circular of presidential elections, could there be a change of power in the Law and Justice?"
36.5% of respondents replied "yes". The other opinion is 32.9% of respondents.
30.6% of respondents pointed to the consequence "I have no opinion".
Interestingly, the age group that most believes that in the event of unsuccessful elections may change at the head of the Law and Justice Party, are people aged 35-49. In turn, the least specified persons are over 50 years (33.7 percent).
33.6 percent of women and 39.7 percent of men believe in changing power in the Law and Justice.
The survey was carried out on 2–3 April 2025 by SW investigation by an online interview (CAWI — Computer-Assisted Web Interview) on the SW Panel. As part of the study, 804 surveys were conducted with a nationwide adult sample. Quota selection was applied — the example was typical of the combined distribution of the gender, age and size class of the place of residence.
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On Thursday in Oneta, we besides published a poll on whether voters already have a candidate. It shows that over 70% have already made their choice. Especially Rafał Trzaskowski and Sławomir Mentzen may have reasons to be satisfied, as it is the Ko and Confederate voters who are most determined in this matter. In the survey we besides asked whether tv debate could influence the decision of the respondents. It turns out that the tv clash of candidates may have the top impact on the election of PiS supporters and the 3rd Way.
