The latest UCE investigation poll commissioned by Onetu shows that a large part of Polish voters are not yet certain of their final choice in the upcoming presidential election. As many as 25.1% of respondents declare that until the last minute they can change their head and vote for another candidate.
According to the survey, 34.7% of the survey participants powerfully exclude the anticipation of changing their choice. An additional 30.8% does not plan to change the decision. On the another hand, all 4th voter admits that he takes specified a script into account ("perhaps yes" – 16.1%, "agreement yes" – 9%). Another 9.4% of respondents could not give a clear answer by choosing the option "I don't know/difficult to say".
Third Road – electorate most open to change
Third Way sympathizers show the top tendency to change decisions. Over 32.9% of them do not regulation out voting for another candidate. Of this group, 9% declare that they are definitely considering the change, and 23.9% say that it allows this possibility. little willing to change are those who responded "preferably not" (38.8%) and "decidedly not" (16.4%). Among the 3rd Way voters, 11.9% do not yet have an opinion.
Law and Justice voters are not unanimous either
In the electorate of Law and Justice, as many as 30.8% of people admit that they could inactive change a candidate – including 12.3% definitely let it, and 18.5% alternatively so. However, almost 39% have declared complete loyalty to the policy presently supported (undecidedly not) and 22.5% are planning to change. 7.9% of respondents expressed uncertainty in this group.
Left and Confederation – average level of indecision
Among those declaring their support for the candidates of the Left, 27.2% talk openly about the anticipation of amending the decision, of which 10.2% "yes definitely". At the same time, almost 2 thirds of this group stay alternatively or entirely determined about the choice: ‘not so’ – 36.4%, ‘not so’ – 26.1%. 10.2% answered “I don’t know”.
For the Confederacy, 22.6% of voters consider changing the candidate, of which 9.5% declare it categorically. However, a higher percent than the Left answered "preferably not" – 39.9%, and 29.2% powerfully ruled out specified a scenario. Undecided in this electorate is 8.3%.
The most determined? CO voters
The top loyalty to their candidate is demonstrated by supporters of the Civic Coalition. Only 15.4% of them let a change of election choice ("yes definitely" – 6.4%, "yes probably" – 9%). The vast majority do not plan any rigations: 50.4% replied "no" and 29.4% "no". Only 5% have no opinion yet.
The survey was conducted by UCE investigation utilizing the CAWI method on 12–13 May 2025. It was attended by 1,006 adult Polish citizens aged 18 to 80, who declared their intention to participate in the upcoming presidential elections.