Venezuela, Maduro, Trump and the mute Polish elite

Luke Warcheshpch/venezuela-maduro-trump-i-oniemie-polskie-elity/

(Fig. push24/AI)

To put it plainly: the US attack on Venezuela has found a large part of the Polish political and commentator class with – forgive me for being blunt – pants in hand. What happened is beyond the mainstream Polish debate (sorry for the usage of this surplus word, but no better) gInjuries of understanding. These are the simplest, not to say: simple claims of the kind “Trump is bad/good", “Maduro deserved”, “Venezuela was with the Russians, so it is good for her so”. As usual, the basis for any assessment is not an analysis of the possible effects of events, but an a prioritizing position towards them. Which, of course, makes no sense.

In the face of events in South America – and 1 can presume that this is only the beginning, due to the fact that the situation in Venezuela is not clear – it was accepted in the Polish class commenting on about 2 attitudes.

The first is that U.S. actions were justified due to the fact that Nicolas Maduro was elected illegally and destroyed Venezuela and otherwise collaborated with the Chinese and the Russians. In this position, either the US's violation of global law is completely disregarded, or it is claimed that this violation was not unconditional due to the fact that Article 2 of the United Nations Charter can be interpreted narrowly.

The second apocalyptic attitude is that the U.S. created a precedent, followed by an avalanche of akin actions. They trampled on global law and so others will besides trample on them now, so no 1 is safe, including Poland. And of course, you could have expected that from Trump.

Each of these positions is not only affected by defects, but besides does not take into account the Polish situation. The question of the stabilising value of global law is not zero-one. The fact is – as I mentioned late on the PCh24 portal, writing about the movie "Norymberg" – that it has long been an instrument in the hands of the stronger and applies where they want it, and is not where they do not want it. It is not that it has no value, but it is not that the current US action has created a precedent. Not at all. Even in fresh history, there are many examples of open violations of global law through aggressive military operations without a UN mandate or at least an EU mandate. Poland even took part in specified an operation – it was the Second War in the Persian Gulf, that is, an attack on Iraq (under a windy pretext) in 2003, which was a classical assault war. Another akin operation was the North Atlantic Alliance's attack on Serbia, allegedly to halt cultural cleansing on the Kosovo Albanians. Indeed, it was a consequence of the idealistic attitude of the then administration of Bill Clinton and the very clever usage of this idealism by the Kosovos.

By the way, you can't miss the Trump administration starting to play nation building, i.e. what she herself powerfully criticized in the fresh safety strategy (NSS), and what neoconservatives primarily promoted in the early 2000s. It's just that the criticism was mostly about the mediate East, and here we have operations in the Western Hemisphere, and so to any degree it's convincing the another U.S. claim from the NSS: that this hemisphere would be the exclusive domain of the United States (Monroe Doctrine).

It is crucial that the enthusiasm of those who see the announcement or at least the chance to remove Mr. Tusk should be quenched. Apart from how profoundly postcolonial it is essential to have a mentality to anticipate a abroad force to remove from the position of the Polish Prime Minister, chosen by Poles (although and worst), supporters of this communicative do not see that Europe is no longer a western hemispher. Thus, demonstration of self-depreciation in that area does not mean that akin U.S. actions should be conducted outside.

Returning to the importance of action, the force of global law is relative, especially since there is no real interstate institution with the power to force the enforcement of this law (it is not besides available to global courts: the global Court of Justice, the UN body, or the global Criminal Court, acting on the basis of Roman Statutes). Without doubt, the US's actions in Venezuela have lowered global law. So we have a situation in the middle: neither is it precedent and abrupt tragedy, nor is it meaningless. The ethical assessment of Maduro's governments or the horror of what state he has led his own country to is of no importance here and does not justify anything erstwhile it comes to external intervention.

Moreover, breaking standards is extremist and even ostentatious. It's not just about overthrowing the president, it's besides about his abduction and intent to bring him to American court as a private criminal.

Truly, it is not essential to be a prominent expert in global law to know that the jurisdiction of a court of 1 country does not include the head of another country. And this opens the way for another forces to act more boldly than before in their spheres of interests. Those who claim this action will scare Moscow may be rather wrong. It may have precisely the other effect: it may be read as a photograph of any brakes in case of a desire to take akin steps towards countries which Russia considers to be threatening them in any way. With Ukraine in the lead.

But is this all origin for outrage? No, due to the fact that outrage is simply a reaction from another order. It's just another reminder that the organized planet has gone back into the past. And it didn't last, I admit, for a long time. Our problem is primarily the intellectual failure of the Polish elite (in a purely descriptive sense), inherently incapable of cold analysis of the situation. The chief conclusion that we could draw from specified an analysis at this point is that we cannot believe in the power of global law (we should never have attached excessive importance to it) or in our powerful protector, who has at least the advantage that he communicates his interests openly and brutally. In this case, by subjugating the country, with 14-17% of the world's oil reserves, the most in the world.

But remember, kidnapping Maduro was the easier part of the plan. On virtually all of his contemporary missions of the kind nation building The U.S. was falling over. And it could be similar, even if it's not so much. nation buildingbut Drill, baby, Drill.

Luke Warches

== sync, corrected by elderman ==

Mirosław Dakowski:

It is so inconceivable that not only “elites”, but even usually reasoning people, are giving contradictory “certainties”. possibly individual sprayed any kind of stupidity powder over the world. Let us pray, it will aid us. How about the world?