For more than 3 decades, geopolitics has been based on the silent presumption that the United States remains the only center organizing planet order...
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Text for:https://neon24.net/3gnvpklq,usa-chiny-a-kque-Russian-geopolitics-po-epoce-loone-hegemon
author:Zbigniew Jacniacki
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During a fewer days the planet witnessed 2 deeply, in my opinion, related summit meetings: first Donald Trump with Xi Jinping and present Vladimir Putin with Chinese leader. For any observers, these were only 2 further diplomatic episodes. In fact, they clearly signal the fundamental transformation of global order.
For more than 3 decades, geopolitics have been based on the silent presumption that the United States remains the only center organizing planet order, and another powers operate within the framework designated by American hegemony.
Today it is clearer that This model goes back to history..
This is not the fall of the United States, but the transition from the single-polar planet to a multi-polar strategy where Great civilization centers negociate fresh coexistence rules.
In this context, the reaction of any Indian commentators to the Putin–Xi gathering was peculiarly meaningful.One of them noticed with bitternessthat India consistently supported Russia as a strategical counterweight to China for 30 years, while Moscow and Beijing present formalise a deeper partnership. "Strategic autonomy – wrote – sounds beautiful in declarations, but it becomes highly complicated as your main supplier of weapons, oil and atomic technology openly approaches your top rival.”
This comment perfectly illustrates the trap of mediate countries in the era of large reorganization. Over the years many of them have built up their position on skillful balancing between powers. The problem arises erstwhile the powers themselves change their relation faster than the local elites are able to adjust their own strategies.
India is simply a model case here. On the 1 hand, they stay a natural rival of China and fear their expansion in Asia. On the another hand, for decades they constructed their defence and energy possible based on Russian supplies. If Russia becomes increasingly anchored in the Chinese system, the Indian doctrine of “strategic autonomy” may prove much harder to maintain.
And the problem of India is besides a problem of the full world. The era of simple binary divisions is ending. Only late the West tried to treat Russia and China as 2 separate challenges that could be played separately. Meanwhile, Western force paradoxically strengthens their common knowing and long-term coordination.
Therefore, Trump-Xi and Putin-Xi meetings should be analysed not separately but as elements of the same transformation. Both events, however, disagree in character. The American-Chinese gathering had the dimension of the performance – Trump works in the logic of media, emotions and large theatre of history. all appearance of it automatically becomes a global event, broadcast as a possible "returning minute of the era". Trump–Xi launched a powerful symbolic charge: hegemon meets with the aspirant state to succeed, America negotiates with its own civilization rival, The West is watching its own transformation. This is the perfect material for modern media machine.
The Putin-Xi gathering has little spectacular potential, but much more structural burden. The Moscow–Pekin relation develops in a technocratic and profoundly pragmatic way – in the fields of energy, infrastructure, currency settlement, Arctic, logistics, technology, military coordination and strategical positioning towards the West. It can so be said that: Trump–Xi is simply a theatre of global consciousness, Putin–Xi is simply a quiet but consistent reconstruction of the foundations of the system.
Trump seems to gradually accept the reality of multipolarity. Beijing builds a fresh model of the world, not through an ideological crusade, but through a patient network of economic, technological and infrastructure dependencies. Russia plays the function of an invaluable background: raw, military and geopolitical. China gains strategical depth and resources, Moscow – a partner capable of balancing the force of the collective West.
This is not, of course, a perfect harmony. past teaches that the cooperation of large powers lasts as long as their interests converge. However, the ability of Moscow and Beijing to coordinate systematically over many years already changes the global balance.
But the most crucial thing is something deeper. Modern geopolitics increasingly resembles classical imperial wars of the 19th century. The key is not so much the conquest of territories but the ability to organize global flows: energy, technology, capital, data, infrastructure and – most importantly – collective awareness. In this sense, Beijing summits are not just political negotiations. They are trying to arrange a new, coherent communicative about the planet after the era of the single hegemon.
For medium-sized countries – from India to Turkey to Poland – this means at the same time greater hazard and more area for manoeuvre. The multipolar planet is little predictable, but gives more space for intelligent, flexible policies. The condition remains one: It must be understood that today's geopolitics is no longer a moralitet "good with evil" or a simple clash of empires. It is increasingly like a complex process of reorganizing the full global civilization system. And specified historical processes never fit in the headlines – they last for years and are usually much deeper than they initially seem.
Zbigniew Jacniacki
https://events.interia.pl/foreign/news-declaration-putina-i-xi-ujrza-day-wspolnie-uder,nId,23480624
