Donald Tusk, leader of the Civic Platform, took office as Prime Minister after the October 2023 parliamentary election. The coalition, which he creates, consists of six groups: PO, PSL, Nowa Lewica, Poland 2050, Modern and Initiative Poland. For a long time there have been voices of increasing public impatience resulting from delays in the implementation of run promises, slowdowns in reforms and interior tensions in the coalition.
Against this background, 2 fresh polls were created to measure whether Poles wanted Tusk to stay Prime Minister and even opinions on the anticipation of his resignation. The results show an increasingly polarized image of society.
The first study, United Surveys for Virtual Poland conducted by CATI and CAWI method on a typical group of 1000 people indicated the following:
- 41.5% of respondents believe Donald Tusk should resign.
- 41.2% advocates that he stay in office.
- 17.3% said "difficult to say" or "I don't know."
This is almost the perfect division of opinion: almost half for, almost half against, and a clear group of indecisive. specified a balanced situation reflects a deep political and emotional division in society.
Donald Tusk's social evaluations are powerfully correlated with the respondents' organization preferences. Among the coalition organization voters, specified as the Civic Platform, Poland 2050 or Nowa Lewica, as many as 75 percent of the respondents support the Prime Minister's continued office. Only 14 percent of this group feel that Tusk should resign, and 11 percent have no opinion. The other is the case with the electorate of Law and Justice and the Confederation. There, as many as three-quarters of respondents want to resign the head of government, and only one-fifth supports his further office. Among those not explicitly connected with any party, the situation is more diverse: 28 percent are in favour of resignation, 35 percent want Tusk to stay in office, and as much as 37 percent cannot take a clear stand.
The confirmation of this political polarization brings another survey – conducted by SW investigation for Rzeczpospolita. In a survey of 1 and 2 July 2025, which included 800 net users, 45.5 percent of respondents advocated a change of Prime Minister. The opposing resignations were 32.3 percent, and 22.4 percent had no opinion. A detailed analysis of the results reveals crucial demographic differences. Among the men, as much as 50.4 percent advocated the resignation of Tusk, and among the women dominated votes against his departure – 36.4 percent. The villagers would mostly like to change their position as Prime Minister, which besides confirms the advanced level of discontent among those with lower education – in this group 55.5 percent supported resignation. Age besides matters: in age groups from 24 to 49, the majority of respondents advocate the departure of Tusk. In turn, people over 50 and women are more likely to believe that the Prime Minister should stay in office.
The polls of late June and early July clearly indicate a increasing political polarisation. The ruling camp, on the 1 hand, can number on the loyalty of its electorate, but on the another hand, must face a tough, determined opposition whose voters request an immediate change. There are besides tensions within the coalition itself. Following the unsuccessful run of Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential elections, PSL and Poland 2050 increasingly propose the request to change the leader of the government. There are reports in the media of informal talks between coalition organization leaders and even rumors of contacts with opposition, which only fuel speculation about possible government reconstruction.
The image of Tusk himself does not aid either. According to CBOS and IBRiS, about half of Poles express distrust towards him. This means that while his political background is inactive stable, he loses individual credibility. Experts point out that exchanging the Prime Minister in the current political situation could mean the end of the coalition and the request to set up early elections. prof. Anna Paczeniak of the University of Wrocław believes that the script of changing the position of head of government without losing the majority in the Sejm is not realistic today. This would mean a immense political hazard that the rulings do not want to afford.
Social and media force on government is likely to increase. Donald Tusk and his political background must show a clear direction of change in the coming weeks. If they do not velocity up improvement work, peculiarly in the areas of justice, security, wellness and housing policy, social discontent may proceed to grow. Especially since part of the government electorate already present expresses impatience by slow pace of action.
In the average term, the government must besides think about the parliamentary elections in 2027. Without regaining the assurance of voters from smaller towns and younger social groups, the current majority may have serious re-election problems. The Prime Minister's resignation in specified an arrangement could only deepen chaos, which is why there is much evidence that the coalition will put on endurance alternatively than extremist change. The opposition will surely usage all chance to weaken Tusk's position and search support among the indecisive.
