Trzaskowski in the lead, but his rivals are on his heels

Three months before the presidential election, emotions grow, and the latest CBOS poll reveals clear voters' preferences. 1 of the candidates clearly leads, but his rivals do not intend to lay down their weapons. What is the arrangement of forces on the political chessboard?

In this year's presidential election as a candidate of KO Rafał Trzaskowski, 34 percent of Poles would vote; supported by PiS Karol Nawrocki, they would choose 25 percent of respondents, and the candidate of Confederation Sławomir Mentzen - 17 percent - according to the latest CBOS poll.

As CBOS notes, about 3 months before the vote, participation in the presidential election with at least 99-proc. It is likely that 71% of those entitled to vote will be declared.

Regardless of the declared certainty of participation in the vote, the biggest support among the candidates is Rafał Trzaskowski, for whom 34% of respondents would vote. The second place in the poll was Karol Nawrocki (25 percent), and the 3rd was Sławomir Mentzen (17 percent).

The next place is the talker of the Sejm, candidate of the 3rd Dear Simon Hołownia - would vote for him 5 percent of respondents.

Former associate of the Confederation, Euro MP Grzegorz Braun received 3 percent support; writer and publicist Krzysztof Stanowski - besides 3 percent.

New Left candidate Magdalena Biejat and organization candidate Together Adrian Zandberg received 2-percent support and Free Republican candidate Marek Jakubiak for 1% of the votes surveyed.

As CBOS points out, the most assured votes for the candidates indicated by them are possible voters of Trzaskowski and Nawrocki - the average percent of certainty of voting for these candidates is 94 percent and 93 percent. In their case, the highest percentages declaring 100% support can besides be observed - 72% and 76% respectively.

90 percent is the average percent of vote certainty for Braun and 89 percent for Mentzen. In the case of Braun, we talk of a 66-percent percent of certain votes per 100 percent. As for Mentzen, it is 51 percent.

The average percent of assurance in the vote against the another candidates is as follows: Hołownia (84%), Stanowski (80%), Biejat (78%) and Zandberg (76%). percent of certain 100% votes: Hołownia (27%), Stanowski (14%), Biejat (20%) and Zandberg (24%).

The survey besides examined how individual political parties would support the elections. 94 percent of supporters of the Civic Coalition advocates Trzaskowski. Nawrocki - according to the survey - could number on 82% of the voters of Law and Justice.

Mentzen's candidate supports 71 percent of the Confederate election, and all eighth would vote for Grzegorz Braun (12 percent).

Among the 3rd Way electorate, Simon Holovnia (70 percent) is the biggest support, but all ninth voter of this coalition intends to vote for Rafał Trzaskowski (11 percent) and their supporters among TD voters are besides Magdalena Biejat and Sławomir Mentzen (4 percent each).

CBOS points out that the most divided in their preferences are supporters of the Left. The biggest support among them is Rafał Trzaskowski (39%), more than a 4th would vote for Magdalena Biejat (27%), and 1 in 8 would vote for Adrian Zandberg (12%).

The survey was carried out utilizing computer-aided telephone interviews (CATI – 90.0%) and net interviews (CAWI – 10.0%) between 17 and 2025 on a example of 1002 adults in Poland.(PAP)