Trump is returning to Ukraine. Europe does not want a peace deal over Kiev's heads

Donald Trump again talks about ending the war in Ukraine. Following a gathering with Volodymyr Zelenski at the G7 summit in Évian, the president of the United States argued that Russia should make an agreement, and he himself is willing to aid bring the talks in. It sounded like the announcement of a fresh diplomatic opening. The problem is that Trump's words inactive don't show a clear plan of force on Moscow.

For Ukraine and European capitals it is simply a peculiarly delicate moment. Kiev needs peace, but not an outside room. Europe besides does not want to be brought into the function of an observer who finances the safety of Ukraine, delivers weapons, bears the political and economical costs of war, and then learns what conditions have been agreed elsewhere.

Trump promises the end of the war again

Trump has long been portrayed as a politician capable of cutting through conflicts faster than conventional diplomacy. However, in the case of Ukraine, this promise sounds peculiarly risky. According to Reuters reports, Trump's conversation with Zelenski at the G7 summit was rated by the American side as good. The Ukrainian president sought first and foremost further support in the air defence and increased sanctions force on Russia.

Construire la paix et la sécurité pour l’Ukraine et l’Europe. pic.twitter.com/VgMo2HjCkV

Kiev doesn't want a area written behind his back

Zelenski tries to convince the West that Ukraine is not a passive associate in another's diplomatic game. Kiev wants talks, but those that do not start with the presumption that part of Ukrainian territory can simply be entered into the price of peace. For Ukraine, an agreement without real safety guarantees would not be the end of the war, but a break before another Russian strike.

That's why it's so crucial who sits at the table and who sets the terms. If negotiations were brought into a fast agreement between Washington and Moscow, Ukraine could find itself in a state whose future is discussed above its head. This is not only feared by Kiev, but besides by European allies of Ukraine.

Europe wants a place at the table

Europe's leaders support peace talks, but they increasingly emphasise that they cannot take place without Ukraine and without Europe. It's not just a substance of prestige. all agreement concerning Ukraine will have direct consequences for the safety of the full continent: from Poland and the Baltic States, through Germany and France, to Britain.

Europe besides knows that Russia is watching closely the divisions of the West. If the Kremlin considers Trump to be looking primarily for fast political success, it may effort to take advantage of this pressure. Peace concluded besides early, besides poorly secured and besides beneficial for the aggressor could be read in Moscow not as the end of imperial politics, but as evidence that patience and brutality are profitable.

Peace or political shortcut?

The biggest question is not whether to talk to Russia. At any point, conversations may prove necessary. The question is, under what conditions, with whose participation and with what guarantees. Ukraine needs the end of the war, but it does not request a diplomatic shortcut that will frost the conflict, leave Russia to profit from aggression and weaken Europe's security.

Trump can become a policy that will aid force real negotiations on Moscow. However, it may besides consider that the specified fact of declaring a "room" is more crucial than its sustainability. In the second scenario, the bill for a fast agreement would pay Ukraine primarily, but the consequences would be felt by all Europe.

Europe is not afraid of peace. He fears the peace of the ill-written: without Kiev, without permanent guarantees, and without knowing that concessions against Moscow may not end the war, but simply shift it in time.