- Trump seems to be pursuing the alleged inverted Nixon maneuver
- Winning all around and nationalist and large-powered in Trump's rhetoric seems to be against Joe Biden not an American imperialist, but a pessimist whose primary instinct is to uncertainty the power of the United States
- In the background you can see an effort to build a alleged performance of powers
- For Poland this means the end of the Polish east policy in its shape, which we have known since 1990. It will have consequences.
As we wrote in Oneta, even Donald Trump's closest associates are lost in conjecture about what the U.S. Resident is truly about and which his actions are part of the implementation of the plan, which is due to the request to shine and the desire to appear as macho, and which is an expression of irrational and emotional reflexes. In fact, it is not even known whether Trump has any circumstantial plan at all, or whether it is just general intuitions that push him towards certain actions.
‘Bilodomiology’
The effort to read Washington's intentions increasingly resembles alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called alleged so-called "so-called "so-called "so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-so-
For contemporary “whitedomologists”, an interview was crucial, which was shared by the Secretary of State Marco Rubio on February 25. In this interview, Rubio stated that the intent of the United States was to carry out a reversed alleged Nixon maneuver.
The man whose architect was Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, he relied on normalizing the United States' relations with the Communists, then ruled by Mao, China to draw them distant from the Soviets.
‘Inverted Nixon’
The modern "returned Nixon", as Rubio described it, would mean an effort to break the Chinese-Russian alliance with the difference that This time Americans would effort to normalize relations with Russia in order to hit China this way. The problem is that although all the above sounds seemingly reasonable, it contains 1 fundamental error. erstwhile Henry Kissinger went on a secret mission to Beijing in 1971, China was ideologically conflicted with the Soviets, and 2 years earlier even armed clashes occurred between them.
East NewsHenry Kissinger
There's no specified tension between Beijing and Moscow today. It is besides not very clear what Moscow could give Washington in his confrontation with Beijing in exchange for Washington's concessions to Moscow.
At the same time, however, 1 similarity of what Nixon did and what he seems to be going to do, Trump. Richard Nixon, although an anti-communist hawk, as president, did not search to face either the Soviets or China at all, and on the contrary to the alleged détente, or relaxation in relations with both communist powers. Trump, although he speaks much about the Chinese threat, besides seems to want to relax alternatively than face him.
Trump’s Pessimism
Win McNamee / Pool / PAPUS president Donald Trump
Signals from Washington (although imposing lower tariffs on China than on Mexico and Canada) seem to confirm this hypothesis. If the fact were yet to be found and the president of the United States was seeking to relax, and not confrontations in relations with Iran (in relations with North Korea he did so already during his first term) we are dealing with a paradoxical situation.
This is due to the fact that the winner of all around and nationalist and large power in his rhetoric Trump seems to be against the background of Joe Biden not an American imperialist, but a pessimist whose primary instinct is to uncertainty the power of the United States.
An Early Reiterade
The US has been the leader of the West since 1945, and surely since 1956, the Suez crisis.
Washington utilized the alliance strategy to first effectively restrain and then defeat russian communism to de facto rule. possibly not the full world, but most of the world. U.S. advantage as a consequence of Beijing's strength and assertiveness (but no longer strong) Russia was evidently being tested. This does not change the fact that Trump's pessimism seems premature.
The evidence is that for a price of just a twelve percent of the US's yearly defence budget, Ukraine with the aid of the West destroyed half the tanks with which the Russians started the war.
With respect to China, America's advantage was of course lower, but here in turn it was little crucial than in the past, but Still playing an crucial function in self-limiting Beijing, which, though increasingly assertive, seemed to at least geographically limit its ambitions to Asia, if not to its immediate neighbourhood.
PAP/EP/XINHUA/Xie HuanchiChina leader Xi Jinping
Powers Concert
Assuming that the diagnosis that Trump doubts the ability of the United States to lead the planet is correct, the question arises as to what strategy the president of the United States intends to replace the existing planet safety architecture. Everything points to Trump aiming for a alleged power concert.
The replacement of the alleged unipolar, or single-polar world, after the Cold War, with the destiny of states and nations determined by the powers that share work for the selected areas of the world, is, unfortunately, from the point of view of Poland, a bad but not tragic message.
Among the powers that will decide the destiny of nations and states will surely be The United States and China. Apart from the 2 major global powers, of course, there will besides be a place for regional powers specified as India, Japan, Brazil, South Africa or Egypt.
In our region, the powers will surely be United Kingdom and France. Germany, which remains Europe's largest economy, is both internally and militarily weak. But their economical strength surely means that they will be found in the 3 European powers.
The Polish power is not
A country which unfortunately is not and whose interests will be little taken into account than before is Poland. Our country is not, of course, as Wladyslaw Bartoszewski erstwhile said, "an ugly woman on the issue", but unfortunately it inactive has more than 3 times lower GDP than France and Britain and 5 times lower than Germany.
Militaryly, Poland has a chance to make serious land forces, but in the field of combat aviation, the Navy will besides give way to each of these countries. Obviously, unlike London and Paris, we have no atomic weapons. What's worse, we don't have the ability to change that.
End of Polish east Policy
KRISTINA KORMILITSIN / SPUTTER/KREMLIN POOL / PAPRussian president Vladimir Putin during an extended gathering of the Home Ministry Council in Moscow, Russia, 5 March 2025.
But the biggest problem we have is something else. Russia will be allowed to execute a performance of powers. This does not mean a disaster for Poland, due to the fact that unlike Ukraine we are in NATO and in the European Union, our economy is closely linked to the economies of Western powers alternatively than Russia, and a crucial part of it is even under Western capital control. We besides have allied troops on our territory, and besides American anti-missile installations that aim to defend the United States itself.
All of this does not change the fact that specified an evolution of the global strategy is not good news for us. As far as the European powers seem present to lead a more assertive policy than the United States in relation to Russia's possible threat, if Russia is allowed back into planet salons, it will change sooner or later.
This does not mean that we will become victims of the alleged betrayal of the West. The problem is that in the long word this is no longer certain with respect to Ukraine. The essence of a power performance is that the powers share the world.
The situation in Belarus is even worse. This 1 from Russia's arms will no longer effort to teardrop out not due to the fact that Belarus is governed by Alexander Lukashenko, but due to the fact that Belarus, if, of course, Trump's plan is implemented, will yet be considered a region of influence of Russia. In turn, this means that in front of our eyes the Polish east Policy constructed in the early 1990s is dying.
READ MORE: Witold Juras: The EU is not the basis for Poland's security. Trump's madness doesn't change that.
