The first weeks of the "predictable" presidency of Donald Trump (and Elona Muska, due to the fact that the formal vice president of the United States is present present at a further margin of power) are proof that Russia did not win (yet) the war with Ukraine, but already won the war with the West.
1. End of globalisation
Putin and his allies won the war with a long-known version of the West. And besides with a western (started by the West and by the West to a greater or lesser degree controlled) globalisation that was (better than another possible versions of the past of the World?) colonization conducted by various means. Globalisation is always force (symbolic, physical), but it is worth seeing what this force builds, what it chooses, and from what set of possibilities.
The pro-western ambitions of Ukrainian elites and parts of the Ukrainian nation proved to be “untimely”. Ukraine wanted – like many another peripheral countries (including Poland) or many another social groups in peripheral societies (women, cultural minorities and moral minorities) – to join western globalisation, defend itself from Russia. Ukraine had enough. bullying Russia. Like many nations and minorities before her, she had adequate local bullies, local sadists (individual and collective) who liked "absolute and non-negotiable sovereignty" due to the fact that specified "syphernality" always gives the weak in the hands of the strong without any legal or normative restrictions. specified ‘syphericalness’ allows the peripheral bullies to do everything with the weaker in their “spheres of influence”.
These local ‘swingers’ bullies They even liked to call themselves catechons sometimes. Each of them had its own Carl Schmitt, its own Alexander Dugin, and in the most intellectually clear countries of its own Peter Nowak, who legitimized their sadism on the scale of their peripheral empires. In fact, peripherals bullies They're always agents of chaos.
That was Russia until yesterday. Second-class empire, sadistic bullly, under whose authority the Ukrainians tried to escape into Western globalisation (well for Agamben's outrage, what an outrage of Badou). Putin tried, right after taking over the Jeltsinowska schema, closer contacts with western globalisation, he tried to modernize his country. He didn't make it. China has found itself a gigantic niche in Western globalisation, which they are besides trying to build in their own way and to influence the full globalisation with expanding force. But erstwhile Putin had nothing to do with Russia's modernisation, he decided to rebuild the peripheral empire. He besides utilized all the "nuclear mines after the Cold War" (quoted for Stanisław Ciosek of 2014, his informing about Putin's future anti-Western reaction to Majdan), that is, learned during the Cold War of "catches" on the western public opinion, preserved after it "agents of influence" in western elites, societies, business, to destruct the surrounding world, the Union, America, the West... so that the citizens of Russia no longer see the difference.
It was after Majdan that brexit and Trump's first presidency, and even after Majdan utilizing Falenta tapes, a business partner of Putin's people, was actually overthrown by the pro-western, pro-EU government in Poland. With the loud applause of the Polish “swinging” right hand.
2. No more hypocrisy.
Francis de la Rochefoucauld, who learned his misanthropic cognition of man by participating in conflicts tearing France apart at the threshold of its mature absolutism, is the author of aphorist praise of hypocrisy. In his opinion, “hypocrisis is simply a tribute paid by the transgression of virtue.”
The liberal-democratic West developed somewhere midway between the pure ethicalness of Christian Puritanism (secularized slow towards secular private and public morality), and hypocrisy that average people (and even politicians) simply let to live and survive.
Trump's hypocrisy is abandoned. It is simply a actual “man-homar” within the meaning of Jared Petersen. Petersen in his mad naturalism, appreciated present by both the post-humanist rightist and the post-humanist leftist, likes to represent lobsters as masters of survival, of which a decadent man should follow the example. Therefore, 1 of the jokes about his work is the question: “What would lobsters do in specified a case”?
Trump was a lobster man before it got fashionable. Before Christianity, Judaism, Tomism, Enlightenment (not in his naturalist mainstream, which besides the triumph of lobster people foretold), cantism, Heglism, and a fewer another moral schools did not evaporate from the minds of the Western elites and Western people. Trump is not the cause, but the fruit and most visible sign of Western decadence.
The fresh president of the United States is most likely the definitive end of Western globalisation. A breakdown of a truly single-polar order, or even dreams of a single-polar order, based on universal ethics, on universal law (in a certain dimension and application called "international law"). Trump means moving to a truly multipolar system, to a fresh “powers concert”, as he called it.
In this multipolar world, no longer based on universal morality, global law (or again, even the dream of them), Israel will sale Ukraine in exchange for Russia's consent to the demolition of Iran, which is "forever" (there is nothing in this planet "forever") to guarantee Israel's safety.
In this multipolar planet no longer based on universal morality and almost Donald Trump says Ukraine gave itself Ukrainian strategical natural materials in exchange for protecting at least part of its territory. During Biden's time, specified negotiations were besides conducted, but under the table, under hypocrisy. Putin couldn't appeal to these conversations that easily.
Today, the fresh president of the United States is speaking publically to the dying Ukraine: "Give me your gold, and I may aid you survive, even on your knees." The first to welcome this declaration with delight are Putin's propaganda and staff. They say to the Russians and the Ukrainians: “And did you truly consider us inferior to America?! You truly wanted to flee us towards this supposedly better West?!”
From the fall of Western hypocrisy (which was the last tribute paid by western vices to remnants of Western virtues) is enjoyed by the alterglobalist western left, always oicophobic to the limits of blunt suicide. Will Ukraine last the Western Defeat? Honestly, I uncertainty it. Poland will not last it either.
The European “powers concert” destroyed Europe, a global power performance could destruct the world. The last outbreak of fashion for "universal morality", universal law, global law and global organizations (UN, NATO, Union...) resulted from the trauma of the First and Second planet War. As long as trauma was remembered, the value of universal institutions and standards was better guarded. All you had to do was forget. Did we forget about the net due to the Social Media? No, Trump is not a millennium or a generation of Z.
One can besides forget in a psychotic attack, and Trump and Musk are psychotics. Psychosis knows no limitations, psychosis rejects memory, which is the origin of limitations. Even if psychosis doesn't destruct memory, it surely doesn't usage it. Musk investing in an alternate to Germany (in which Germany besides celebrates their miracle of oblivion) is simply a psychotic who rejects the limitations of remembering (and at best besides working) historical trauma.
Will the sadism and psychosis of Trump and the Muska remnants of the liberal West (poor superego) be able to resist? There is talk of a Union that could become politically, economically, even militarily stronger. There is talk of rebuilding the Democratic Party, 1 from the liberal center, not from Sanders or Cortez, which would be an alterglobalist grotesque compared to Trump's serious alterglobalism. But for now, there is only a power in the global marketplace that lacks value and power. It's an explosive compound, apocalyptic. In addition, Poland has never been or will be a power in the “powers concert”. It will be food for “powers”.
3. Waiting for September
What to do after the Western War? We request to start preparing Poland (Poland) for September ‘39. We request to start preparing for this September smarter than the late sanitization, which saw before the Polish abyss, decided to hide it in a propaganda power shell. I erstwhile read the issue of the monthly magazine “The Sea” (issued by the Marine and Colonial League) from the summertime of 1939. The joy of taking Zaolzia as the first of many future Polish colonies. In fact, there is simply a text about the future Polish colony in Madagascar (this was not just the mockery of the Polish People's Republic or Munka). Moments later, the war broke out, after a week Germans were in the suburbs of Warsaw, and after 2 truly no longer a Polish state, "a country of average size and average potential".
Today, the language of Polish politics, Polish geopolitical experts, especially the right, although the "national left" does not realize why "libks do not want Poland as a power" – it is not so different from the language of that issue of the monthly magazine "The Sea". present many “young political realists” think that it is not September that is waiting for us, but we are preparing for the conflict of Grunwald or the capture of the Kremlin. Of course, it is possible that this fresh September will take place initially (and possibly to the very end) on business or news fronts. But that doesn't mean you can't lose it.
How should the country of "average possible and average size" prepare for September? It is the right idea, however, that I quote somewhat polematically behind the creator and leader of the fresh Confederation, Bartłomiej Radziejewski, who likes this term, although in my opinion he does not rather realize what it truly means about Poland. Which means for a country that only restores its economical potential; for a country that alternatively squanders its own normative, cultural or organization achievements, alternatively of cumulative it; for a country that always melts in a full and sterile interior pseudoideal and pseudopolitical conflict.
Firstly, we should prepare for September, softening the interior political conflict, not escalating it (I am laughing at my own advice, due to the fact that by repeating it, I am crossing the limits of any realism). And in abroad politics, not looking for enemies, looking for friends wherever they can. Of course, in this very narrow band, in which the "states of average size and average potential" have in general perpetuity and freedom of choice.
The most crucial thing, however, is to reject the language of “German and Russian agents” utilized by various parties to address political competitors in the context of Polish abroad policy. Back to the dispute over differences in diagnosis, differences in perspectives, besides ideological ones, but which are Polish differences, dividing Poles, sometimes for a very long time. It may then not be possible to make “a commission to survey east influences” (in the ranks of its political competition). It will not block (until in specified a dimension) ambassadorial nominations. He will not be utilized in organization propaganda "Tuska with Putin on the Sopot pier" (because if Kaczyński were the Prime Minister then he could – and should – talk, besides in the informal part of the interstate visit, with Putin on the Sopot pier or in Warsaw, somewhere close Parkowa Street).
So badly managed interior conflict is the nation's worst equipment for the minute of the most dramatic geopolitical test. The theatre of “tender and German agents” can be set, the media will support it, but behind its scenes must begin a serious, even informal conversation. How to save Poland, how to place it safely in a fresh geopolitical game that has just begun. After losing the Western War.
