If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the winner would be PiS, which would gain 29 percent of the vote - according to the United Surveys by IBRiS survey for WP. KO - 27.1%, Confederation - 13.2% and Left - 7.4% would besides enter the Sejm. The threshold would not exceed PSL, Poland 2050, organization Together and the grouping of Grzegorz Braun.
The survey summary opens Law and Justice with result 29 %. (plus 1.6 percent points compared to the mid-August poll).
Support for Civil Coalition elevated 27.1%. (minus 1 percent point), Confederations - 13.2 percent (minus 4.1 percent point) a Left - 7.4 percent. (plus 1.9 percent points).
The latest poll. What parties outside the Sejm?
They wouldn't enter the Sejm - PSL with 3.9% support. (plus 0.3 percent points), Poland 2050 - 3.4 percent. (plus 0.8 percent points), Total organization - 3.2 percent. (plus 0,1 percent points) and Confederation of the Polish Crown - 3.1 percent. (no change).
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Every 10 respondents - 9.7 percent - selected the answer "I don't know/hard to say". This is an increase of 0.4 percent points compared to the erstwhile study.
The highest number of PiS tickets. Together with the Confederate they would have a majority
Based on calculations Prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University, Virtual Poland calculated that the agenda of tickets would be as follows: PiS - 193 mandates, KO - 165 mandates, Confederation - 73 mandates and Left - 29 mandates.
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"In specified a parliamentary arrangement A full of 266 mandates would be available to PiS and the ConfederationWhich would be the majority. KO along with the Left would 194 places (not adequate to the parliamentary majority)" - WP notes.
The survey was conducted by United Surveys by IBRiS for Virtual Poland from 28 August to 1 September on a example of 1000 people by CATI&CAWI.
