Like a long and wide world, experts present wonder what our planet will look like in a fewer months or years. Especially now that president Donald Trump changes post-cold rules of the game internationally. The U.S. destroys the order that they themselves have created, and Russia can exploit it and will most likely do so. It is so essential to show the various scenarios that are written by experts during the crisis. It is time to take these scenarios apart as first factors and realize on which foundations the planet of next day may be based.
The year 2026 will be crucial in terms of the creation of a fresh global order in the world. During this time, the parliamentary elections in America and Hungary will be held. These 2 events will consequence in a change in the “coalition of the willing” that will be strengthened or weakened. It is simply a reason to presume that Russia will interfere very powerfully in this election.
Another aspect is the change of power in Venezuela, due to the hijacking of her dictator by American peculiar forces. This action certifies the opinion that Trump wants to make his sphere of influence in South and Central America. This origin was not taken into account at all in the considerations on global developments as it was not considered to be a viable scenario. Now European decision-makers are afraid about Greenland's status. The reason for their worries is Donald Trump's desire to take control of her. The island has a geographically strategical location – it is about the proximity of the Arctic, where there are quite a few natural resources, including oil and natural gas. Trump's words about Russian and Chinese activity in this region do not give hope for a peaceful solution around Greenland.
These 2 aspects are not taken into account in expert analyses specified as German political scientist Carlo Masala. This insightful analyst writes in his book If Russia wins a script of the provocation and migration force of Russia in the Mediterranean Sea and on the Polish-Belarusian border, as well as the Kremlin's attack on the town of Narwa, which is mostly inhabited by Russians. specified a turn of events would, according to the author, consequence in a gnash in the interior NATO arrangement due to a deficiency of readiness to start a war on a atomic state, which is Russia. In his script there are besides hybrid attacks in Europe from Russia. 1 of these attacks is causing a crisis in a major German arms company. Another attack is to show the capabilities of the Russian Navy, which jams the flag of Russia on the island between Canada and Greenland.
China's ability to handle its interests is being exploited by China, which is gaining in this script by limiting the United States' attention in Asia and the South China Sea. This script assumes a number of factors that cannot be predicted. According to him, the American president will be more inclined to believe Russian propaganda, which will justify his actions than his allies. Another aspect is the change of the ruling organization in France. In this country, according to the script, the utmost right is to win. This will consequence in a decline in the country's commitment to a favourable end to Ukraine.
These 2 elements are very overwhelming to the awareness of those who believe in the global legal order that was created and maintained by the US, and now is dismantled by the Trump administration. This is an astonishing strategy, since this global order was alternatively strengthening the US than weakening it. The effects can be very negative for Europe and the world.
Another origin that author If Russia wins emphasises in his interviews for Polish media, there is the desire of German elites focused around the SPD to return to the European marketplace with their inexpensive gas and oil. but it's a burning hope, wishful reasoning that in the past gave us NORD STREAM 1 and 2. We cannot accept the words of the leaders of countries hostile to us and then underestimate them. Putin's words in Munich in 2007 should strengthen our vigilance. We ignored them, and we have consequences for our actions. Now we cannot do that with the words of Vice president Vance, who gave an anti-European speech in Munich in 2025. He signaled his willingness to influence European elections to bring to the victories preferred by the current White home of candidates.
All this means that Europe and the Liberals should strengthen their message to Russia and effort to be assertive to the US, which have interests another than the EU or Ukraine during this war. Finally, it is crucial to realise that the EU does not have hard power. This is seen present erstwhile a fresh global order is created. We must so make our own military possible to become independent of the US. At the same time, however, we request to work with America. We inactive request military support from the US troops.
The second crucial task is to make a framework for assistance to liberal parties that operate in countries of strategical importance for the future of Europe. We should exchange cognition about effective electoral tools and strategies to mobilise circumstantial segments of the electorate. specified actions are already taken by the populist right, which has its golds and conferences. This creates fresh run ideas or contacts needed to make specified ones. Liberals must besides answer the question of whether society has opposition to renunciation during a armed or hybrid conflict. Another question is the question of individualism, which, in certain situations, may be harmful alternatively than beneficial to us.
We request to realize that the planet we know is slow falling apart. Everything on which we have based our safety and well-being begins to endanger us. We request to redefine our national and global safety system. Not only a military context, but besides an economical context. So we are faced with the challenge of changing our thinking, where the behaviour of conventional liberal values is founded on Community reasoning – reasoning whose common denominator is security. Our safety.
