The first was a sensational poll for “Wprost” from the end of February — he showed that Sławomir Mentzen could defeat Karol Nawrocki. PiS politicians made a good face for a bad game, undermining the methodology of this study.
The problem is that in fresh days there has been a poll by the Pollster investigation Institute commissioned by the “Super Express” in which — again — Nawrocki does not enter the second circular of presidential elections.
Kaczyński got mad. Or, to be precise, his erstwhile assistant Radosław Fogiel, who runs Kaczyński’s social media, was furious. “What Super Express has been doing in fresh days, starting with polls... is openly engaging in a run on the side of Rafał Trzaskowski,” wrote Fogiel a.k.a. Kaczyński.
The creators of the "Special State" presume that Nawrocki inactive has a good chance of defeating Mentzen. The problem is that the PiS candidate does not arouse affirmative emotions in the electorate — it is adequate to say that among his constituents, the PiS raised about PLN 5 million for his campaign, while people paid three-four times as much to the party.
Tomasz Waszczuk / PAPSławomir Mentzen during a gathering with voters in Lidzbark Warminski, 8 February 2025.
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Even in the Law and Justice, there is small belief that Nawrocki will win the election
We will tell you this — even in the PiS there is small belief that Nawrocki will win the election. Leading figures in the organization distance themselves from his run — they do not aid him, among others, Mateusz Morawiecki, Beata Szydło, Zbigniew Ziobry, or Daniel Obietek. Competitions for the presidential start, specified as the Euro MP of PiS Tobias Bocheński, compose to the president of the Nawrocki campaign. Private Members do not want to hold Nawrock meetings. There's besides more and more grievances between the staff led by Paweł Kierzernaker — the man Joachim “Jojo” Brudziński — and the strict, several-person environment of Nawrocki. It's about a squad that goes to meetings with him — mostly his trusted associates from the planet War II Museum and the Institute of National Memory. erstwhile athletes and nationalists — Mr. Charles's peculiar court.
Bartłomiej Zborowski / PAPJoachim Brudziński, Paweł Kiebernaker and Marek Suski at the session of the Sejm, 21 October 2016.
These tensions, as we hear, are for many people in the organization a informing that in the event of the win of Nawrockie everything will not go as Kaczyński had planned. According to the head of Nawrocka, without strong roots in the PiS, he will become Second Andrzej Duda from the beginning of the presidency — a humble performer of Kaczyński's will. According to Kaczyński Nawrocka's plans, as president, he will sign what the president will order him to sign, and he will start by vetoing everything the president tells him to veto — to overthrow the Tusk government even before the parliamentary elections in 2027.
Titus Żmijewski / PAPDaniel Obietek at the panel "Where is the European economy going?", 7 March 2025.
But 1 of the staffmen tells us: “I don’t think so. Nawrocki is evidently right-wing, and that would be his presidency. But first of all, it's closer to the Confederate than to the PiS, and he's clearly going to have his own policy of building relations with the Confederates. And secondly, he's an erratic guy. As shortly as he gets the position of President, protected by his word of office, and with a large deal of power, he will completely oil the President. It will not be the guy Kaczyński will have on the phone.”
Radek Pietruszka / PAPMateusz Morawiecki and Zbigniew Ziobro during the celebration of the National Day of Memory of the Cursed Soldiers, 1 March 2020.
In this situation, the pain breaks our hearts. all variant is bad for Kaczyński. Nawrocki's triumph is simply a hazard that as president he will push on the right and effort to send Kaczyński to a well-deserved retirement. If Nawrocki loses, Kaczyński will be in problem anyway, due to the fact that the political aristocracy of the PiS will rise his heads, all those who, like Morawiecki or Szydło, are disappointed that they were not the ones put up in the election.
Waldemar Desk / PAPBeata Szydło during a gathering with residents as part of the "Stop the Increases" campaign, 27 May 2024.
Out of this desperation, the president threw himself into a campaign, announced a tour of Poland. And that means that shortly Nawrock's ratings could fall even more.
Tomasz Waszczuk / PAPDonald Tusk and Rafał Trzaskowski at the beginning of the Polish Campus of the Future 2024, 23 August 2024.
The MEPs of the Law and Justice have voted in Europarlament against the resolution on defence reinforcement. It was Tusk's trap.
We have the impression that Kaczyński's legendary social proceeding is getting worse. In the past week, the President's individual decision Euro MPs of the Law and Justice voted against the resolution in Europarlamenta on strengthening European defence.
Filip Naumenko/Reporter / East NewsTobias Bochenski and Jarosław Kaczyński at the PiS election picnic, 26 May 2024.
The paper discussed for the last six months was accompanied by the strengthening of the Shields of the East — this is simply a flagship task of the Tusk government, consisting in defending the Polish east border. Despite the opposition of the Law and Justice and the Confederacy, the task passes due to the fact that there are over 400 Members of the European Parliament. The PiS vote was immediately utilized by Donald Tusk. "We are doing everything to guarantee that Poland is safe, that the Shield of the East is simply a common task for Europe as a whole. In the European Parliament, only Russian supporters voted against. In this... PiS! No more illusions.”
We wouldn't have thought of that. It would be truly hard for us to believe that the PiS would fall so easy into a trap set by Tusk. We may inactive be able to believe in any kind of distraction, but not on the occasion of 2 votes in the European Parliament by Members sent to Strasbourg by Jarosław Kaczyński. Meanwhile, the writers went consecutive to the EP. First, Euro MPs of the EPP, or faction, to which PO and PSL belong, tabled Amendment 87, which added support to the European Union safety Resolution to the Polish Shield East.
The Law and Justice had no choice but to support this amendment. He then voted against the full resolution. A horse with a row to explain what happened here. due to the fact that no 1 remembers the amendment, but everyone remembers that Euro MP Kaczyński was against it. That's the kind of self-play Donald Tusk hasn't had in a long time.
And then a simple message like a brick construction: PiS against the safety of Poland.
What the writers say about the Europarlamment resolution and what truly is there, we explain
PiS politicians headed by president Kaczyński immediately went to counterattack. Or, to be precise, led by his erstwhile assistant Radosław Fogle. "Independence is your own currency, your own budget, your own military. Giving up the ability to decide our safety is losing sovereignty. Today's vote in the European Parliament was not about the “Hard East”, which, unfortunately, has been just an image task for months, not real. This is another example... of EU interference without foundation in the treaties in the competences of the associate States," wrote Fogiel aka Kaczyński on X-Twitter.
Jacek Domiński/Reporter / East NewsRadosław Fogiel and Jarosław Kaczyński at the 61st session of the Sejm of the 9th term, 15 September 2022.
Former head of MON Mariusz Błaszczak began to explain that the resolution was a weakening of NATO and an introduction to the transfer of defence powers from Warsaw to Brussels. Immediately after the erstwhile minister, the same points began to be repeated by MEPs of the Law and Justice. This tense reaction was caused by the fact that the PiS knows how it works – the communicative "PiS voted against Poland's security" will be hard to undo.
The co-author of the “Exclusive State” of Dominic Długosz verified translations that were widely sown by erstwhile spokesperson of the PiS government of the Euro MP Piotr Müller. "NATO weakness is simply a gift for Moscow. The warrant of our safety is NATO, and not any “European defence structures” created from scratch, without experience, without proven procedures and without a community of interests. The proposal from the resolution is de facto breaking the unity of the transatlantic alliance. past is clear: strong NATO means safe Poland. Whoever tries to soften the Alliance acts precisely as Moscow would like,” says the Euro MP.
The resolution states: "Europe must take on greater work within NATO, peculiarly as regards safety on the European continent", and "reemphasises the importance of EU-NATO cooperation, as NATO is an crucial pillar of collective defence for the countries that are its members; it stresses that EU-NATO cooperation should continue, in peculiar in areas specified as information exchange, planning, military mobility and exchange of best practices, and in order to strengthen deterrence, collective defence and interoperability; however, it calls for the improvement of a full operational European NATO pillar that would be able to act autonomously erstwhile needed".
Two points are crucial in the allegations of PiS politicians. Firstly, the resolution emphasises that It would be good to bet on European weapons production — and they do not like it, due to the fact that they think it is essential to buy arms from Americans [‘Creating a single European defence marketplace is simply a precedence due to the fact that so far the fragmentation and deficiency of competitiveness of European manufacture undermines the EU's ability to presume greater work as a safety guarantor (...) European preference must be the guiding rule and long-term nonsubjective of EU policies related to the European defence marketplace to make and defend European technological excellence; specified preference cannot be applied at the expense of the Union's defence readiness’.
The next point is to care whether or not The Union will not go against the United States. The resolution reads that "the fresh actions and statements of the US administration have further exacerbated concerns about the future position of the US towards Russia, NATO and Europe's security; it so deplores the vote of the US government, in agreement with the Russian Government, the UN General Assembly and the UN safety Council on resolutions on the 3rd anniversary of the Russian assault war against Ukraine; powerfully condemns the US's threats to Greenland".
This, as Mr Müller put it, erstwhile Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki, is “the pull of a tiger behind a mustache”, or the provoking of Trump. We can even agree with that — due to the fact that it is truly annoying for Trump to call things by their name, which he has found painful Volodymyr Zelenski, expelled from the White House. And let us quote in full the political-zoological poesy which Morawiecki described this situation. "International policy is peculiarly violent, it is simply a kind of jungle. If we can't decision in this jungle, the cobra will attack us on the right, and on the another hand the tiger with which we were friends (it) does not drag the tiger by the mustache, due to the fact that it is very dangerous”
Wonderful, indeed.
Filip Naumenko/Reporter / East NewsPiotr Mueller and Mateusz Morawiecki at the 1st session of the 10th Sejm, 11 December 2023.
The resolution, contrary to what politicians say, is not an EU law to be applied
Jacek Gądek, co-author of the “Excellent State”, reached the alleged message of the day, that is, the operatique sent by the centre of PiS to the MPs, so that they know what to say publically about Kaczyński's decisions. So what should they say about voting on the resolution on strengthening European defence? “The fact has come out! Euro MPs of Tusk's coalition voted to make crucial decisions about the Polish army without Poland's permission!", we read in the message. "This means in practice that crucial decisions on Polish safety will be made in Berlin and Paris. That was the vote,” he instructs. PiS Members are to repeat that their colleagues in Europe voted for the amendment concerning the east Shield — the problem is that they voted against the full resolution in the final. "We did not support the full resolution, which gives the chance to decide, among another things, on the acquisition of arms, on the various rules of the army's functioning for a qualified majority decision. This means that another countries will be able to decide on the acquisition of arms for Poland alternatively than Poland,” he explains. For Nowogrodzka, it is very crucial to emphasise that the EP resolution is an attack on Poland – it is rather a shovelling message for hard voters. "EP resolution is an attack on Polish sovereignty. They're trying to take distant our right to decide on defence, weaken NATO and take control of our weapons! ... This means in practice that crucial decisions on Polish safety will be taken in Berlin and Paris."
We don't realize this tip at all. The resolution, contrary to what PiS politicians say, is not an EU law to be applied. This is only an expression of the opinion of the European Parliament, and the another institutions — the European Commission or the European Council — can take this into account, but they do not have to.
The Kaczynski brothers wanted a European army. And Jarosław Kaczyński even proposed partnership with Russia
Another thing is that if we trace the fresh activity of law and justice politicians in the context of security, Ukraine, relations with the US, it should be stated that Novogrodzka ordered a alternatively extremist change of the multiannual course. erstwhile Radosław Sikorski clashed in social media with Elon Musk and Marco Rubio On support for Ukraine, the PiS men... attacked Sikorski. It can be said that if anything spits out the Donald Trump administration, for the Jarosław Kaczyński organization it is simply a revealed truth. And even regardless of that, for example Musk challenges the head of the Polish Ministry of abroad Affairs to “small” people.
SIPA POOL / PAPDonald Trump and Elon Musk at the White home in Washington, D.C., 11 March 2025.
Finally, something about Lech and Jarosław Kaczyński. These are quotes from years ago that the president would like to forget. Lech Kaczyński as president in 2006 in an interview with the “Financial Times” said: “Poland proposes that the European Union establish a NATO-related army that could be utilized to defend Europe and send it to inflamed regions.”
Tomasz Gzell / PAPLech Kaczyński and Jarosław Kaczyński at the gathering of the PiS parliamentary club, 25 October 2005.
For years Jarosław Kaczyński spoke similarly. In a 2011 interview with the “Sunday Guest”, he stated: “We are for a Europe that will have its own, strong and efficient armed forces under the authority of the president of the European Union. This would give the Union a real position of planet power."
Earlier, in 2010 in an interview with the German (!!!) paper “Welt am Sonntag” stated that “The Union must make the creation of a common army and this task cannot be put off continuously”. He continued in “Welt” Kaczyński says: “It is not about the EU competing with NATO. The Union must make a common army and this task cannot be postponed. And Poles and Germans would like the changes that are taking place in Russia to be authentic. The European road to Ukraine remains a challenge. In both these cases, a lot has changed in fresh years. I have no uncertainty that it should now come from our side a fresh impetus for the implementation of the east Partnership but besides the Russia-oriented Partnership for Modernisation. The common denominator of these ideas should be the issue of the abolition of visas for Ukrainian citizens but besides for Russia and another east neighbours of Poland," Kaczyński proposed in a text that had aged poorly.
President Duda humiliated by J.D.Vance — but Trump loves never stop
The proposal of the outgoing president grew even faster. To shine internationally Andrzej Duda decided, like Lech Kaczyński almost 2 decades ago, to give an interview “Financial Times”. And our president sailed. Let us quote from this text:
"Duda said Trump decides where to deploy American atomic weapons, but recalled president Vladimir Putin's 2023 announcement that Russia would decision tactical atomic weapons to Belarus, which is Moscow's ally in the invasion of Ukraine.
“ Russia didn’t even hesitate to decision its atomic weapons to Belarus,” said Duda. “They didn’t ask anyone for permission,” he added.
Duda's call for atomic weapons highlights the increasing concern in Poland — shared with another countries in the region — that Russia will appear reinforced from the peace negotiations with Ukraine, in which Trump mediated".
In 1 edition of France Télécom is incorrect — and the president does not believe that his friend Trump could strengthen Putin. "This is the guy who's been moving a business in Manhattan for 50 years in the improvement manufacture steeped in the mafia, which had to be dealt with due to the fact that she was holding this business for a mouth. This is the negotiator of the super heavyweight that was not in politics. He simply wants to force the most favorable solutions for America" — specified quotes from Duda's stories we hear from his people.
BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI/AFP/East News / East NewsDonald Trump and Vladimir Putin before gathering in Helsinki, 16 July 2018.
Duda is simply a strong supporter of Trump. His relation with the American president resembles a unilateral addiction – full of admiration, fascination and even worship. The president truly believes Trump is playing a complex multilevel game about Ukraine. He is convinced that Trump will defeat Putin, even though there are presently no indications. Duda besides believes that if Trump had not lost the 2020 election, Putin would not dare invade Ukraine a year and a half later.
Leszek Szymanski / PAPAndrzej Duda and Donald Trump during talks at the White home Oval Office, 24 June 2020.
Yeah, it's definitely love. And blind. She won't even cool off the fact that Duda Trump's atomic thought just laughed.
"I have not talked to the president about this peculiar issue, but I would be shocked if he supported the proliferation of atomic weapons further east of Europe" — said Vice president J.D.Vance. We're assuming he won't even talk to Trump about Dudy's proposal. And Duda himself on Trump — contrary to the legends he is building — has no influence.
POLITICO POOL / PAPDonald Trump speaks alongside Vice president J.D. Vance at the Oval Office in the White House, on 21 February 2025.
