"Exclusive State". Nawrocki loves luxury. Trzaskowski turns right. Tusk worried about the campaign

First, this dynamic global policy. “It is not actual that I lived there 200 days. I led a very dynamic global policy, besides these apartments, these rooms sometimes served simply for business meetings, so these days must besides be counted with guests from abroad or with guests from Poland. These days should besides be counted as most likely registered ones, or booked in my name.

We have an irresistible feeling that Mr. Charles is making fools of us. We are peculiarly curious in his diplomatic offensive on weekends.

Second version — pandemic. “ Twice I had a ten-day quarantine in 1 of the rooms and for a minute in the apartment. I never lived there for more than 10 days while I remained in quarantine during COVID-19. I could've been home for 10 days of quarantine and not doing my occupation at the planet War II Museum, and I was just in my facility. all day I had specified folders to sign my decisions that I received from outside the door, right Nawrocki.

Except for the fact that the swimming in Deluxe began in 2018 erstwhile even the Chinese had not yet heard of the pandemic.

The current authorities of the Museum of the Second War issued a peculiar message in which they mention to and alleged dynamic abroad policy and pandemic.

"Karol Nawrocki claims that during the pandemic he was twice quarantined in the Deluxe apartment. According to the records, it was only erstwhile and lasted 10 days. We are besides amazed by Karol Nawrocki's message about the business meetings he held in the museum complex apartment. delight be advised that the museum's building contains an extended principal's office and a conference area designed to host guests from Poland and abroad. There is no request to usage apartments and guest rooms for specified purposes. Karol Nawrocki maintains that he occupied the Deluxe flat in order to fulfill his duties. In the meantime, he remained at his disposal for 16 days of his vacation, i.e. at a time erstwhile he did not supply work. Karol Nawrocki blocked the Deluxe flat for a full of 200 days. Among the 15 bookings he made, there were 10 ten-day or shorter and 5 for more than 10 days. (...) This is contrary to Charles Nawrocki's claim, who said, "I have never lived there for more than 10 days."

We are very entertained by the run outside Mr. Charles, who plays a simple gym boy. Mr. Charles, be yourself. There's nothing to hide that you and your ringmates — All those with rich, penitentiary biography — outside the gym you love luxury.

Will it substance to the voters? Depends on what else is in Mr. Charles' boxing locker room. due to the fact that — that is the impression that is bound to pass — the screening of Mr. Charles's rich ringing past is just beginning.

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Kaleta collects hooks on Trzaskowski. He made a presentation on the PiS staff

Nawrocki was late caught in Novgorod. Mr. Charles argued that he was there by accident and that does not mean that he fell into the office of the Law and Justice Office to kiss the president's ringing with devotion. We defend Mr. Charles — possibly the reason was a small different. As we find out, the "citizen" staff of the candidate is working intensively on a run of hooks aimed at Rafał Trzaskowski. During the staff meeting, a presentation on the substance was prepared by the citizen MP of PiS, Zionist Sebastian Kaleta, declared psychophan of Trzaskowski.

Wojciech Guardian/Reporter / East News

Karol Nawrocki and Jarosław Kaczyński on the unveiling of Lech Kaczyński's plaque at the IPN in Gdańsk, 12 February 2024.

The president of the capital will be attacked for supporting LGBT, grants to left-wing organizations in the capital, for his criticism of the CPK in the past, for concrete votes in the Sejm and Europarlament — 1 that can be presented to the right-wing electorate as anti-Polish and pro-German.

Raphael Guz / PAP

Sebastian Kaleta and Zbigniew Ziobro, 9 October 2023.

You can't deny your determination. During the erstwhile 2020 presidential campaign, the peasant sacrificed so much for the organization that he tried to climb into the faulty capital sewage treatment plant "Cchaik" to attack Trzaskovsky with dirt and stench.

At that time, there were conflict scenes. With a strong grip in the belt, he held back from storming Trzaskowski's cesspool — Sławomir Nitras, Minister of athletics today. Kaleta resented that Nitras was a sleaze on him, and Nitras was a sleaze that Kaleta had come to the sewer operation with a ministerial limousine.

Paweł Supernak / PAP

Sebastian Kaleta stopped by Sławomir Nitras before entering the area of the "Cchajka" sewage treatment plant in Warsaw, 2 July 2020.

To be honest, we can't wait to see the next dirty clashes between Kaleta and Nitras.

Four hard right candidates — all against Trzaskowski

Expecting attacks from the right, Trzaskowski changes political image — expressly withdraws from liberal-left positions. The problem is that besides extremist change can be incredible for voters. specified concerns can be heard from the surroundings of Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who himself has scored many changes in his political résumé.

Leszek Szymanski / PAP

Andrzej Duda and Donald Trump during a joint press conference in the White home Rose Garden, 24 June 2020.

The origin of this change is apparent — the presidential election will be right. These are the moods — from America to the largest countries of the European Union, the nationalist wave is rising. In the United States, Trump triumphs again, in France, the Marine Le Pen and its National Front are as strong as ever, and in Germany, the anti-immigration and anti-EU AfD becomes a key player — cheers her oligarch Trump and billionaire Elon Musk.

Alain ROBERT/SIPA/SIPA/East News / East News

Marine Le Pen and Jarosław Kaczyński at the gathering of the leaders of the European right, 4 December 2021.

In Poland against Trzaskowski as many as 4 candidates of hard righty: Karol Nawrocki, Sławomir Mentzen, Grzegorz Braun and Krzysztof Stanowski. Each of them will effort to impose circumstantial topics from the right-wing agenda – immigration, ecology, energy or Green Deal – to dominate the run and put Trzaskowski against the wall. erstwhile they compete, another time they secretly cooperate, but they connect 1 thing — they want to prevent Trzaskowski from winning. This informal comedy may prove crucial in the second round. Then Nawrocki will have an open way to take over the electorate of his right-wing comrades.

Lukasz Gagulski / PAP

Sławomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun during the final of the Confederate run in the Main marketplace Square in Krakow, 13 October 2023.

The Trzaskowski Staff understands what it is dealing with – hence the visible change of the candidate. Trzaskowski is teasing the political star disco-polo Zenka Martyniuk, meets with country housewives, farmers and firefighters. And he's starting to operate with the right tongue. This can be seen even after its distance to the Green Deal or the criticism of the EU's controversial deal with Mercosur, which angers farmers due to the fact that it allows for imports of inexpensive food from South America.

Moreover, Trzaskowski sends strong anti-migration signals. Recently, he offered to receive a benefit of 800+ Ukrainians who do not work in Poland permanently.

The Prime Minister was there to support him. "President Rafal Trzaskowski's proposal to pay 800 plus only to these migrants, including Ukrainians who actually live, work and pay taxes in our country, will be dealt with urgently by the government. I am on yes," he announced, taking a beating from the coalition Left, who criticized the plans of social cuts for Ukrainians by the mouth of the club head Anna Maria Żukowska.

Zbigniew Meissner / PAP

Vladimir Czarzasty and Anna Maria Żukowska at a press conference, October 5, 2023.

It is no coincidence that the Platform is racing with PiS politicians on this issue — they besides propose 800 plus limitation for UkrainiansThey even put together their own task in the Sejm.

One of the PiS staffmen tells us that investigation shows growing reluctance of Poles to Ukrainians surviving in our country — social services and access to social services specified as education and wellness services. Therefore, first Nawrocki joined the most powerful anti-Ukrainian slogans Mentzen and Braun.

He could not, like them, straight question aid to Ukraine. That's why he played Volyn “He said that as president without approval from the authorities in Kiev to exhume victims and apologize for genocide he would not agree to accept Ukraine into the Union and NATO. Tusk and Trzaskowski immediately attacked him for it, convincing that Ukraine outside Western structures would be exposed to absorption by Putin, which means Russian tanks under the Polish border.

But at the same time Trzaskowski besides reached for the anti-Ukrainian card. He chose another way — playing at the reluctance of Poles to share social benefits with foreigners.

A fewer dry facts about the Ukrainians and 800 plus. ZUS has the anticipation to verify

When asked about his change by the “Gazeta Wyborcza” Trzaskowski stated that he is acting in a Christian way, which only completes the image of his ideological volt.

"Since erstwhile are economical and patriotism, safety and coherent Poland right-wing topics? erstwhile I defended the affected minorities, people with disabilities, teachers, women's rights, was I a leftist politician, or was I guided by Christian values, according to which weaker and attacked people should be helped? Does everyone gotta take a shortcut present and look for simple labels? present in Poland, we just request common sense. I drive around Poland and talk to people. The situation is serious due to the fact that social sentiments are changing. Poles are tired of war and helping Ukrainians, and I say hard that questioning Ukraine's membership of NATO is the most irresponsible thing to imagine. At the same time, however, I hear from people that Poland has helped Ukraine as much as possible, and we request to consider what is next. For 3 years we have utilized the most generous solutions. But present common sense suggests that you should leave the automatic support of all guest from Ukraine. You come to Poland for work, not for social work. With this, we will convince the public that Ukraine should proceed to be supported and that we have control over everything. Looking at the experiences of Austria, Germany, Sweden, I think we just should be careful about what signals we send out. Angela Merkel, letting so many refugees into Germany, made a immense mistake,” said Trzaskowski.

A fewer dry facts about the Ukrainians and 800 plus. Over PLN 2.8 billion were paid to Ukrainian citizens in 2024. As of December 2024, the benefit went to 292,000 Ukrainian children. At the same time, close to 800 1000 Ukrainians pay contributions to the Social safety Office – nearly 5% insured in Poland. ZUS has the anticipation to verify whether the benefits are granted to the applicant, due to the fact that data on entries and departures of Ukrainian citizens is obtained from Border Guard.

When last May the PiS made a proposal to limit 800 plus for Ukrainians, civilian Coalition was against. So why the abrupt change of heart? No, Trzaskowski does not mean that abruptly the voters of the Law and Justice Party, whether the Confederates are willing to vote for the "National Rafał". The game is about something else: demobilizing the voters of the right before the second round. The Trzaskowski Staff wants PiS and Confederacy supporters to halt fearing his presidency – due to the fact that if fear mobilizes them, they will massly vote for Nawrocki.

Tusk has a traumatized presidential election that he lost despite being a favorite

The Prime Minister is afraid about the Trzaskovsky campaign, according to the “Exception State” authors — You can clearly see the polling breath of the KO candidate. Tusk has a trauma to the 2005 presidential election, which he lost despite being a favorite. Although he won the first round, before the second circular his competitor from PiS Lech Kaczyński — after his brother's insistence — made a deal with populist Andrzej Lepper, leader of peasant self-defense, who was the 3rd at stake. In exchange for teasing populists and promising further cooperation Lepper supported Kaczyński.

Tomasz Gzell / PAP

Lech Kaczyński and Andrzej Lepper, October 9, 2006

Tusk lamented his defeat"I will not pretend: I am a small sad today," he said on 23 October 2005, after announcing the preliminary results of the election. Failure in 2005 was 1 of the hardest moments in life for Tusk. He took quite a few trouble. It was already at that time that it was hard for liberals to face the nationalist-populist-boy alliance.

Bartłomiej Zborowski / PAP

Donald Tusk during election evening at the Warsaw University of Technology Main Hall, October 23, 2005

In Poland, liberals are able to make governments due to the fact that they have large coalition abilities, which is why Tusk is the 3rd government leader. But at the same time they never had a president due to the fact that they simply were incapable to build support beyond 50% of society — and that's all it takes to win the presidency. Granted, Platform candidate Bronisław Komorowski erstwhile won the presidency, only that under peculiar circumstances (in 2010, just after Smolensk), besides, he was never a classical liberal (only a average conservative), and it shortly turned out that it was not a full success (because Komorowski lost his second word to right-wing rookie Andrzej Duda in 2015).

Piotr BLAWICKI/East News, Andras Szylagyi / East News

Bronisław Komorowski during the 2010 election evening.

In this sense, Trzaskowski would gotta break the negative trend for liberals.

Maybe? Yeah, but not easy, especially with specified right-wing moods. Therefore, the key is for any voters to believe that Trzaskowski is not the liberal he is.

Paweł Supernak / PAP

Rafał Trzaskowski among participants of the XXIII Parade of Equality in Warsaw, 15 June 2024.

For Tusk, the failure of Trzaskovsky would be a real drama.

To Tusk, Trzaskovsky's defeat would be a real drama. It is not that they have peculiarly close political ties — Trzaskowski has never been to the court of Tusk, and his career has accelerated After 2014, erstwhile Tusk left for Brussels. Moreover, erstwhile Tusk returned to Polish politics in 2021, Trzaskowski tried to throw him a glove in the race for the leadership of the Platform — which was doomed to failure in advance.

Paweł Supernak / PAP

Donald Tusk and Rafał Trzaskowski at “Wiecu 4 June” in Castle Square in Warsaw, 4 June 2024.

Today they both have an absolute community of interests. Failure could be the end of Trzaskovsky’s superb career — and surely the end of his dream of presidentship. But Trzaskovsky's defeat would besides be a defeat of Tusk and his full plan of a broad coalition against PiS. If he wins the Nawrocks, he will effort to overthrow the government with all the ringing and ringing methods.. Even if he does not succeed, due to the fact that he will be besides consumed with the consumption of presidential luxury — where the Deluxe suite in the museum is simply a basement — he will at least put everything in bulk. This means that by the next election in 2027, the government will not make the promises made to its voters. And that in turn smells like failure, due to the fact that in 2023 voters voted against the Law and Justice, but at the same time behind circumstantial promises by Tusk.

Marcin Gadomski / PAP

Karol Nawrocki and president of kickboxing club Rebelia Kartuzy Patryk Zaborowski during training with youth, 21 July 2023.

In the current situation, the election defeat of the coalition means the government of the Law and Justice organization with the Confederation. You don't gotta explain the rest.

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