In the latest poll Pollster for the “Super Express” Civic Coalition with a score of 32.14% overtakes Law and Justice (31.94%) Difference? 2 tenths of a percent point – little than nothing in political practice, though adequate to announce media success.
This is simply a purely symbolic advantage, which does not change the fact that KO has been standing inactive for months, incapable to truly increase its range.
For PiS is simply a drop of 1 and a half percent points, which may propose a temporary weakening of electorate mobilisation. But for KO it is not a triumph, alternatively a reminder that despite the favorable media climate and Donald Tusk's presence in the debate, it does not convince fresh voters. The change at the top is the consequence of millimeter shifts, not a real breakthrough.
In the shadow of the 2 largest blocks, the Confederation grows – 11.98 percent support and unchangeable position of the 3rd force. The left with 6.2 percent balances on the political visibility threshold, and the remaining parties of the ruling coalition consistently fall below the electoral threshold. Poland 2050 with a score of 4.9% and PSL with 3.18% are present more ballast than support for KO.
It is besides worth noting the consequence of the Confederation of the Polish Crown. Although the survey gives her 4.79%, in erstwhile studies it was recorded at the level of 6–7%, which may mean that in this case besides a statistical mistake is decided. This group functions on the borderline of the threshold and it cannot be excluded that in subsequent measurements it will return above the entrance limit to the Sejm.
The survey was conducted by the CAWI method on 25–28 July 2025 on a example of 1047 adult Poles.
