Last week was a show of political improvisation. The United States conducted another series of raids on Iranian military targets. Tehran responded by rockets and drones launched towards American bases in Kuwait, Bahrain and Jordan. The muslim Revolutionary defender Corps has declared to proceed the operation As long as enemy aggression continues. The Iranians besides announced the closure of the Ormuz Strait, which the Americans immediately denied. The planet of politics and business began again to nervously track the movement of tankers, which is an apparent signal of conflict. Trump, however, consistently built his own communicative of triumph. According to his assurances, Iranian representatives contacted him directly, asking him to halt the bombings. Tehran denied it. The US president then claimed that the agreement could be signed Very fast, possibly already on the weekendand even suggested that they were accepted by a fresh Iranian leader. spokesperson for the Iranian Ministry of abroad Affairs Esmaeil Baghaei stated decisively: – Iran does not intend to exceed its red lines.
It's not the first time Trump has announced success long before it happened. As CNN has calculated, the president of the United States has announced nearly 40 times since March of this year that an agreement with Iran will be reached soon. It was always meant to be. historical, sometimes practically ready, another time very close. However, the war continued, fuel prices rose, people died, American aviation regularly bombed Iranian targets. due to the fact that Trump's announcement of success is more crucial than his achievement. Experts don't hide skepticism. Seth Jones, Head of Defence and safety at the Center for strategical and global Studies, says: – At this stage, there is no credible evidence that we have concluded an agreement, and even if so, it is inactive unclear whether it will apply. Frank Kendall, erstwhile Secretary of the United States Air Force, adds: – It is truly crucial to realise that this is not the final agreement ending the war. This is an extension of the ceasefire, most likely for about 60 days, while negotiations are underway on Iran's atomic programme. Even any Republican hawks look at presidential enthusiasm at a distance. Mark Levin, Fox News commentator, notes with a bite: – It is hard to discuss an agreement (...) that we do not know.
The reality stubbornly refuses to fit the White House's message. Iran continues to retaliate, Israel underlines that it is not a organization to any agreement. The results of negotiations around the atomic program, if any are at all, stay a mystery, as do the blockade or deficiency of blockade of the Ormuz Strait. Trump urgently needs success. The war, which was expected to be a brief demonstration of force, is simply a burden of power, lowering Republican ratings before November's supplementary elections to Congress. Many observers fishy that the president is dreaming of a diplomatic surprise before his birthday, so that he can celebrate not only another year of life, but another An historical victory. However, its details and effects the planet can learn much later.
